NEW STUDY: OVER 16.3 MILLION CONCEALED HANDGUN PERMITS, LAST YEAR SAW THE LARGEST INCREASE EVER

Crime Prevention Research Center ^ | Crime Prevention Research Center

[richardb72]

The CPRC has just issued our newest annual report on the number of concealed handgun permits in the US. A copy of the report is available for download here. Some updated numbers are shown at the bottom of this post. Past reports can be viewed here. Part of the executive summary is shown here:

During President Obama’s administration, the number of concealed handgun permits soared to over 16.36 million – a 256% increase since 2007. Unlike surveys that may be affected by people’s unwillingness to answer some personal questions, concealed handgun permit data is the only really “hard data” that we have on gun ownership across the United States. Among the findings of our report: . . .

[Renegade]

Scout Motto “Be Prepared”

[DIRTYSECRET]

They should use them.

[surroundedbyblue]

Mine just expired. Time to renew but I have to trek downtown for that with two babies. Anyone up for babysitting while I go renew my CCW??

[DesertRhino]

And the next study, the places with the highest participation rate are the lowest in crime.

The more a state prohibits and interferes with ccw, the more crime they have. It’s linear.

[Yosemitest]

Excerpt from John R. Lott Jr., Crime Prevention Research Center, 61 Page Paper, written: July 18, 2017 .

From Page 25

Instead of just comparing states that don’t require permits with those that do, it is also possible to look just at states that require permits. After accounting for the per capita number of police, new prison admissions, and demographics, this state level permit data suggests that each 20 percent increase in the rate of adults with permits (about one percentage point) is roughly associated with a 15 percent drop in the murder rate. Since the latest state level crime data is only available through 2014, the 2011 and 2014. (27)

Using permit and murder data from 2011 through 2014, we find that states with the sharpest increases in permits had the largest percentage drops in murder rates. A 10 percent increase in the share of the adult population with permits reduces the murder rate by 1.4 percent. (28)



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ln(murder rate) = -.2499 (7.15) percent of adults with permits -.8197 (5.50) police per 1,000 Americans – 0.0023 (3.41) Prison Population per 100,000 people + 0.0068 (2.51) year time trend -8.95 (1.76) Constant

Using the percent of the population in prison instead of a time trend produced very similar results.

(27) To estimate this we ran a couple simple regressions on the murder rate on the percentage of adult population with permits as well as with and without state and year fixed effects. There is a lot of noise in these estimates both because the permit numbers come from many different years as well as the estimated number of murders in 2013. These estimates have a great deal of measurement error and should only be taken as suggestive. That said, the simplest estimate regressing the murder rate on the percentage of the adult population with permits produces a coefficient and absolute t-statistics of - 12.68 (1.66). With fixed effects, the estimate was 6.8 (0.82).

(28) Regressing the percent change in murder rates on the percent change in the share of the adult population between 2011 and 2014 gives us this:

Percent change in murder rates = -.136 (1.38) the percent change in the share of the adult population + .212 (0.99) Constant

F-statistics = 1.92, Adjusted R-squared = 0.0242

We used the GAO report on percent of the population with permits for 2011 (http://www.gao.gov/assets/600/592552.pdf). There were obvious errors in the GAO report for Maine and Connecticut. For example, in 2011, the GAO states that there were only 4,000 concealed handgun permits. That would imply an amazing 725 percent increase in permits between 2011 and 2013. For a permitting system that had been around for decades and no recent change in their laws, it would be surprising to have any state see that type of change. Maine’s Special Investigations Unit told us that there were in fact 24,000 in 2011. Possibly the GAO simply left off the number “2” when then recorded this information. In Connecticut, we had a smaller number of permits in 2011 (115,000).

[Davy Crocket]

Back door of weapon registration...

[Pollster1]

America’s concealed carry numbers are 12 times as big as our armed forces, and our number of deer hunters is twice that.

“You cannot invade the mainland United States. There would be a rifle behind every blade of grass.”
Whether or not Admiral Isoroku Yamamoto really said this, it’s close enough to true. It’s the reason America’s enemies, foreign or domestic, cannot ever conquer the American people - and thus the reason why leftists want decent people disarmed.

[mabarker1]

16.3 million more people on the 1st Confiscation List.

[dljordan]

“16.3 million more people on the 1st Confiscation List.”

Well, that should be interesting.

[TigersEye]

Yes, it would be interesting.
How many people could they confiscate guns from before the rest opened fire?

If there is ever a betting pool on it I’m picking a number well below 50K.

[joma89]

With over 16 million CCWs, what is a possible end result of the situation in the video below if it had occurred in the United States?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EByegEhw8l0

Discuss.

JoMa

[Kickass Conservative]

There are a few States that allow Constitutional Carry, so no “permits”. I believe AZ and MS were added to the list during the Obama regime.

That 16.36 Million number is low.

[richardb72]

If you actually read the report, you would see that all that is addressed in the discussion. In fact, there is even a graph that shows you information on the states that you mention.

[CodeToad]

“Back door of weapon registration...”

With the number of gun owners, any confiscation attempt will be met with extreme violence. That ship has sailed for the liberals. NO way in Hell they can pull it off and they know it.

[Kickass Conservative]

>>>If you actually read the report<<<

To keep the FR tradition alive, I only respond to the Headlines. LOL

[Davy Crocket]

I believe in the second amendment that the right of the people to keep and bear arms shall not be infringed.. in other words you should be able to pack without a concealed weapons permit..

[caww]

Looks like America’s arming up just as Trump is our leadership. Far too many foreigners in this country from hostile nations...and those who might become so. Islamists aren’t the only enemy coming here.....large nation states ‘putting’ their people here in the thousands as well, and this not to help our country.

[mabarker1]

Yes

[Big Red Badger]

Every Blade of Grass.

Love That Visual!