Posted on 03/06/2018 4:42:30 PM PST by lasereye
With the way Republican voters are not coming out to vote, and the way Democtats are coming out to vote in droves, it seems likely the Dems will hold all their Senate seats....Also keep in mind Thad Cochrans seat is up for grabs now
You’re delusional, troll.
That’s funny. I don’t remember writing anything with respect to polling, in 2016.
I don’t get any buyers remorse for Trump, so this is just more anti Trump bs in that regard. However, the Dems have been working 24/7 keeping their base upset and energized.
Dems did this in 2008 - found attractive “moderate” candidates to run. Pelosi marched them all off the cliff passing Obama Care etc.
If the pubbie will get out and talk to the people, he can point out how the Pelosi does not represent their values, and address their concerns. A few years ago, we had a reliable Dem area for 70 years finally flip to Republican.
The candidate spent many long days going house to house and talking one on one with the people-not just having rallies etc. He got 70% of the vote.
The one and only thing that had stopped many of these people before was their support of the union. He told them he would not do anything that would hurt jobs for his constituents.
Like most news, this is just a piece of propaganda Psops. The Dem may win, or the Dem may lose. Better pay attention to who counts those votes.
A series of special elections where a party wins a bunch of seats they haven’t held in a long time have been a pretty good predictor of mid-terms. Maybe this year is the big exception.
AZ and TX weren’t the general. They have been winning all these specials precisely because their base is turning out very heavily, which is due to two things, neither of which apply in primary elections:
1) The Dems’ methods for turning people out to the polls, which are very good. The Democrats aren’t trying to get people out to the polls in primaries. Individual candidates might be but not the Dem organization, which is very different.
2) The Democrat base’s hatred for Trump. That motivates high turnout with no need for the Democrats to even do anything.
There was no comment on any polls there.
I’ve said Saccone should make it about impeachment. Lamb would say he’s not in favor of it - but if the Dems take over the House, Trump’s going to be impeached. Saccone has to pound that point, and also basically call Lamb a liar.
That’s true too. Several points he could pound on.
It was. That was not a comment on any poll. But if you want to say it was then I’m not going to argue the point.
I haven’t commented on any specific polls in this post either. My prediction of a Democrat wave in November is not based on polls.
Are you 16?
Midterms are always difficult for incumbent first term Presidents.
Wave ? LMAO
I said if you want to say I was commenting on polls there I won't argue the point. Your point is what exactly? As I said I am not predicting what happens this Nov. based on any poll.
Your prediction of a Democrat wave would be consistent with your expectation of a Clinton victory.
What's that supposed to mean? If I was wrong then, then I must be wrong now?
The point of this discussion is eluding me. Good night.
Well, yes and no.
In most of these special state elections, the turnout has actually been exceptionally low: CT was 3000 people, with the D winning by 51 votes; GA senate was 9%.
As best I can tell, ONLY the FL Sarasota race had even decent turnout. So, no, the left is NOT “mobilizing their base.” The conservatives are, as I’ve been saying, back to normal lives and sick of constant electioneering.
Second, the left has been pouring ridiculous amounts of money into races such as AL, GA congressional seat they lost, VA, and most recently Sarasota. GOP on the other had has been saving it for the 2018 generals, and they have a lot of it. about 5-10 times MORE than the Ds.
Third, when you get to elections that “matter,” we are 6-1. The only loss-—while a big one in AL-—was 100% candidate related. Moore got 685,000 FEWER votes than Shelby did just one year earlier, and 350,000 fewer than Sessions did when he ran UNOPPOSED six years earlier. AL was entirely on Moore.
But AZCD8, the GOP buried the Ds in turnout 2:1. In TX, despite MOST of the GOP running unopposed, Rs had 500,000 more . . . in a state supposedly going blue.
In short, these seemingly unending low-level specials not only do not excite our side, they irritate us.
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