Posted on 06/20/2018 1:52:13 PM PDT by SMGFan
Trump popular, but not decisive factor
West Long Branch, NJ – Incumbent Joe Manchin holds a small lead over GOP challenger Patrick Morrisey in the race for U.S. Senate in the deep red state of West Virginia. Even though Donald Trump is widely popular in West Virginia, the Democrat holds a lead because many voters are separating their feelings about the incumbent senator from their views of the president. The Monmouth University Poll also finds that the closely watched 3rd Congressional District contest is tighter, with Democrat Richard Ojeda having a very slight lead over Republican Carol Miller at this time.
West Virginia Senate In the race for U.S. Senate, Manchin holds a 48% to 39% lead over Morrisey among all potential voters – that is voters who have participated in an election since 2010 or have newly registered to vote (a group that represents about 73% of all registered voters). Another 4% support Don Blankenship, who is seeking to run as the Constitution Party candidate after losing his bid for the GOP nomination. West Virginia has a “sore loser” law that may prevent him from appearing on the general election ballot. When Blankenship’s supporters are reallocated to their second choice, Manchin maintains a 49% to 42% lead.
(Excerpt) Read more at monmouth.edu ...
West Virginians MUST be DUMBASSES or GULLIBLE AS HELL to RE-ELECT THIS PHONEY CONSERVATIVE!!! HE:S A LEFTY, YOU DUMBASSES!!
How heavy did they oversample Dems this time?
Trump's brand in WV may become damaged as China appears ready to back out of a $80 billion dollar deal for natural gas production in the state. If the deal collapses, the voters may well blame the President and his tariffs. Other factors favoring Uncle Joe:
Manchin is native and many perceive Morrissey as an out of state carpet bagger from New Jersey.
Alleged corruption in Governor Justice's now Republican administration.
Morrissey seems to come off as a weak campaigner.
Things can change in five months, but Manchin's seat appears safe for now.
Ha ha ha ha ha Manchin could not break 65 in his own primary. This is pile of crap
Half the potential voters currently live in Mexico and Central America.
Incumbent can’t break 50% = in trouble.
Sound like President Trump.
One of the worst pollsters out there. They got exposed pretty bad in 2016.
Not good.
Monmouth is a liberal poll.
It’s sheer bunk.
True.
Here we go again with your interminable hand-wringing. It's as predictable as the sun rising. It's the 2016 election all over again.
I don't know if you're aware of this, but Joe Manchin is a Democrat who has already won election to a U.S. Senate seat from West Virginia.
I presume you are aware of the fact, however, that Senatorial incumbents—not to mention all other varieties—nearly always win reelection. Indeed, that advantage is one of the best things about being an incumbent.
So it's "not good" that incumbent Senator Joe Manchin is leading his no-name GOP challenger? It's entirely predictable, and something to be expected. But don't let me ruin your depressing day... ;-)
Manchin is already running campaign spots, along with Citizens United-type groups.
Haven’t seen Morrisey fire back anything. Yet.
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