Translation—Democrats are burnt toast.
It won’t be when more and more democrat crimes get exposed before then.
Do they seriously think that seats like TX-7, KY-6, and WV-3 are too close to call?
And yesterday, Larry Sabato (sp?) Moved a bunch of House races from leaning Republican into the too close to call category.
Is this orchestrated, to have multiple alleged experts report that it looks good for the Democrats????
Marsha Blackburn in Tennessee is a toss up? I thought recent polls had her ahead , by a bit more than the margin of error.
Hmmmn.
Last night, the GA run-off election showed that the Trump-supported nominee for Gov got nearly twice the votes that the GROPElite (and highly favored!) candidate did.
And the democrat vote totals for their candidates were abysmally low.
Now, you’d expect fewer democrat voters anyway, since the three big races were on the republican three runoff’s for Governor, Lt Governor, and Sec of State. But still, nobody showed on the democrat sides.
The reporting orders have gone out from the old JuornoList emails: Claiming the “Blue Wave” will sweep democrats into power in October has failed to either energize the dumbocrat voters and it has failed to demoralize the conservative/pro-Trump voters. (It HAS energized the failing and hysterical GROPElite consultants in Washington DC!)
So now the JournoList email orders are: Energize the democrat voters by stressing that the mid-term elections could be “lost” to unnamed republican candidates, so we (the democrat voters) are encouraged and turn out nationally.
Uh huh. Didn’t we just see a special election the LSM was calling basically a tie, then te Trump supporting candidate won by 60+% to just over 30%? Why yes, we did.
CA10 CA25 CA39 CA45 CA48 CO6 FL26 IA1 IL6 IL12 KS2 KS3 MI11 MN1 MN2 MN3 MN8 MTAL NC9 NJ7 NJ11 NM2 NY19 NY22 PA1 PA7 PA17 TX7 TX23 TX32 UT4 WA8 WI1 WV3
WAY TOO EARLY to tell.
Stay Tuned.
Real Clear burned their integrity a long time ago. They pick and choose which polls they will accept to fit the narrative they want. They would accept a summary written in crayon if it should Democrats winning. Be very careful with RCP.
wishful thinking to get democrats off their butts and in the booths. repubs are going to vote no matter what. likely dem voters and independents will think twice about voting for socialism.
i see the senate going gop with 58 senators and the house expanding to the right.
It’s possible, but perhaps not most likely. It’s useful to keep in mind how Real Clear Politics do their maths. They take most (if not all) the polls and calculate an average. That’s were they get the color of the state/districts. Very few of the polls systematically and habitually skew to the Republicans, but several do exactly that for the Democrats. That’s why these averages aren’t worth much, except as a marker of the trends. The measure of enthusiasm demonstrated by primary elections are at odds with the story that the media is telling. Both cannot be right.
Realclearpolitics had George H.W. Bush beating Bill Clinton by a mile.
Virtually ALL the tossups went to Clinton, and leaning Bush went to Clinton.
Realclearpolitics SUCKS. It averages in very old polls and dubious polls with a few legitimate polls.
IT IS WORTHLESS!
There was an Axios/Survey Monkey poll a couple of weeks ago showing Marsha Blackburn up 14 that wasn’t included in the polls that were averaged at RCP. Thus, RCP still has Tennessee as a toss up.
The evangelical Christians who stayed home in 2016 because they didn’t believe Trump’s would not keep his promises regarding religious liberty and appointing pro-life Justices to the Supreme Court will votes in far larger numbers.
RCP Average: 7/15 - 7/22 51.3 - 37.3 Kemp +14.0
Kemp won by 36 points (22 points better then they predicted). Enough said.
Aren’t they the ones who amalgamate a select group of polls and then average them out? If you have a couple of kook polls, it’ll skew.
2016 was all we need to know about polls.
People worry about Demonrats and media surprises in October? They pulled that deal on Trump with the Access Hollywood tape in October 2016 and it burned them. All this Trump hate in the media is only energizing that vote they didn’t see or want to see in the last election.
Only ¡YEB! can defeat Hillary.
Trump will never be the Republican nominee.
The Fake Media, that their polling stooges, create “polling samples” by pulling numbers out of thin air that always, like magic, shift strongly to the GOP once Oct rolls around.
The purpose of the polls right now is to draw attention to the media outlet so it can sell advertising time and to hamper GOP fund raising and volunteer recruitment.
It is meaningless garbage designed for marketing, not forecasting.
What going to get more media buzz and attention”
“Oh it all over the Dems/GOP are skunked this year” or “It's neck and neck but it looks good for your team and bad for the other guys”