I’ve never understood why the results of a senate race in Florida would be predictive of, say, the results of a governor’s race in Wisconsin. To me it’s just more punditry trying to appear more knowledgeable than the rest of us.
Actually it is indicative for a very odd reason. With rare exceptions most polls are political and not legitimate. They poll to achieve a political objective of influence on the electorate.
When Florida comes in, if they are radically wrong on their predictions they will be radically wrong in the predictions on other states.
Election night 2016 I thought I was attending a funeral for Donald Trump. When Florida came in and the pollsters were radically wrong I realized their polls for other states using the same methodology were Bull S--t also. I then had hope. Then Iowa and Ohio in the bag followed by Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania and the game was over.
It should also be noted that Hillary Clinton's campaign canceled the great fireworks display on the East River a few days before the election. They had real polls that are private and cost big bucks. They knew.
If voter fraud fails in Florida, it's going to indicate poor showings in other districts.