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12 years after launch, New Horizons probe zeroes in on mysterious Ultima Thule
Geek Wire ^ | 12/02/18 | Alan Boyle

Posted on 12/02/2018 8:47:33 PM PST by Simon Green

Act Two of the 12-year-old New Horizons mission to Pluto and the solar system’s icy Kuiper Belt is heating up, with less than a month to go before NASA’s piano-sized spacecraft makes history’s farthest-out close encounter with a celestial object.

The New Year’s flyby of a mysterious Kuiper Belt object (or objects) known as Ultima Thule (UL-ti-ma THOO-lee) follows up on the mission’s first act, which hit a climax three years ago with a history-making flyby of Pluto.

Launched in 2006, New Horizons was never meant to be a one-shot deal. Even before the Pluto flyby, mission managers used the Hubble Space Telescope to identify its next quarry, a billion miles farther out in the Kuiper Belt. Now it’s crunch time for New Horizons principal investigator Alan Stern and his team.

Again.

“This flyby is a lot harder than Pluto,” Stern said. “Ultima is tiny, and faint, much harder to navigate on. … Another difficulty, or challenge, really, is that we’re farther away, and that means communication times are longer. Bit rates are lower.”

Today the team beamed out commands to fine-tune New Horizons’ trajectory using the spacecraft’s navigational thrusters (which, by the way, were built at Aerojet Rocketdyne’s facility in Redmond, Wash.). It took more than six hours for the commands to reach the probe at the speed of light, at a rate of 1,000 bits per second.

By the time mission managers get confirmation that their commands have been executed (or not), New Horizons will have traveled hundreds of thousands of miles farther on its path (or off its path).

“It’s a one-shot, ‘get it right or go home’ deal, because there’s no U-turn to go back and have a re-do. … You have to plan every chess move with the spacecraft more carefully,” said Stern, a planetary scientist at the Southwest Research Institute.

Dozens of scientists and engineers are due to converge on Johns Hopkins University’s Applied Physics Laboratory in Maryland to get set for the flyby, which is scheduled to come closest to Ultima Thule at 12:33 a.m. ET Jan. 1 (9:33 p.m. PT Dec. 31).

If all goes according to plan, New Horizons will pass by Ultima at a distance of 2,200 miles, or less than a third of the distance used for the Pluto flyby, But the mission team is on the watch for any mini-moons that would force a shift to a safer, more distant trajectory.

During a recent rehearsal, the team had to cope with a worst-case scenario in which New Horizons spotted 11 satellites in Ultima’s vicinity. “It was just flying into a hornet’s nest,” Stern recalled.

Neither Stern nor anyone else knows exactly what New Horizons will actually see.

“We don’t know what a primordial, ancient, perfectly preserved object like Ultima is, because no one’s ever been to something like this,” Stern explained. “It’s terra incognita. It is pure exploration. We’ll just see what it’s all about — if it’s got rings, if it’s got a swarm of satellites.”

The Hubble imagery suggests that Ultima Thule (also known as 2014 MU69) measures roughly 20 miles wide — and might consist of two or more mutually orbiting objects. The dearth of knowledge leaves plenty of room for surprises.

“Considering how much we knew about Pluto, and how much it astounded us, here we’re starting from complete scratch,” Stern said. “We barely know its size and its color. We can’t tell you anything about its composition or its atmosphere, or satellites, any of that. But we’re going to find out. To find out, the plutonium-powered New Horizons probe will employ the same suite of scientific instruments that worked so well to study Pluto and its moons more than three years earlier.

New Horizons’ long-range camera, known as LORRI, currently sees Ultima as a mere speck, but it should be able to make out its shape starting a few days before the flyby. During the closest phase of the encounter, LORRI could detect features as small as the boats floating on the lake in New York’s Central Park, Stern said.

New Horizons will make use of an ultraviolet imager called Alice and an infrared and visible-light imaging spectrometer called Ralph to characterize Ultima’s composition. A radio science experiment will take its temperature, and other instruments will analyze particles in Ultima’s cosmic neighborhood.

It’s likely to take months to send back all the data from the Ultima flyby, just as it did in the wake of 2015’s Pluto flyby. But eventually, Act Two of the New Horizons mission is expected to add to Act One’s already-substantial record of revelations about the icy worlds on the solar system’s edge.

Will there be an Act Three? Stern said he and his colleagues fully intend to ask NASA for another mission extension once Ultima is behind them.

He noted that at its current speed, New Horizons will be flying through the Kuiper Belt for almost a decade longer.

“We’re going to look for another flyby target, and we’re going to continue to observe Kuiper Belt objects with the telescopes on board,” he said. “If NASA approves that, there will be a third act.”


TOPICS: Astronomy; Science
KEYWORDS: 2014mu69; alanstern; astronomy; kbo; kuiperbelt; lorri; nasa; newhorizons; pluto; science; tno; ultimathule; xplanets
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1 posted on 12/02/2018 8:47:33 PM PST by Simon Green
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To: Simon Green
Today the team beamed out commands to fine-tune New Horizons’ trajectory using the spacecraft’s navigational thrusters (which, by the way, were built at Aerojet Rocketdyne’s facility in Redmond, Wash.). It took more than six hours for the commands to reach the probe at the speed of light, at a rate of 1,000 bits per second.

I'm amazed the spacecraft can receive at that bandwidth, given the incredible distance.

Remarkable technology.

2 posted on 12/02/2018 8:51:18 PM PST by Steely Tom ([Seth Rich] == [the Democrat's John Dean])
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To: Simon Green
piano-sized spacecraft

Grand or spinet?

3 posted on 12/02/2018 8:55:05 PM PST by yesthatjallen
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To: Simon Green

SO.... by this time they should know if they were successful. Any news on that ?


4 posted on 12/02/2018 8:55:16 PM PST by UCANSEE2 (Lost my tagline on Flight MH370. Sorry for the inconvenience.)
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To: Simon Green
New Horizons has delivered the goods. The pictures back from Pluto were awesome.

Further, the probe went into "safe mode" less than a week before Pluto's flyby - the team kept their cool and made the flyby work flawlessly...AND they aren't afraid to wave the American flag.


5 posted on 12/02/2018 8:57:29 PM PST by DoodleBob
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To: Simon Green

Amazing!! And NASA must certainly be boosting Muslims’ egos


6 posted on 12/02/2018 9:09:26 PM PST by faithhopecharity ("Politicians aren't born, they're excreted." -Marcus Tillius Cicero (3 BCE))
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To: UCANSEE2
SO.... by this time they should know if they were successful. Any news on that ?

It doesn't get there until Jan. 1st. We'll know later that day.

7 posted on 12/02/2018 9:31:46 PM PST by Simon Green ("Arm your daughter, sir, and pay no attention to petty bureaucrats.”)
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To: DoodleBob; All

Very interesting vid describing many of New Horizons’ discoveries @ Pluto. I don’t think any Sci-Fi writer even imagined so much there...


8 posted on 12/02/2018 9:35:46 PM PST by Paul R.
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To: DoodleBob; All

Very interesting vid describing many of New Horizons’ discoveries @ Pluto. I don’t think any Sci-Fi writer even imagined so much there...

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6l4kr36TzQ4


9 posted on 12/02/2018 9:36:27 PM PST by Paul R.
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To: Simon Green

It’s exciting to see something get that far out there. Thanks for the news!


10 posted on 12/02/2018 9:41:46 PM PST by bluejean (I'm becoming a cranky old person. It really annoys me.)
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To: yesthatjallen
Grand or spinet?

Desktop digital, of course

That quip aside, this whole thing is amazing.

Odd how many Sci-Fi books I have read recently have the Kuiper belt objects as part of the plot.

11 posted on 12/02/2018 9:55:34 PM PST by doorgunner69
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To: Simon Green

Cool as hell.


12 posted on 12/02/2018 10:55:15 PM PST by freedomjusticeruleoflaw
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To: Simon Green

Let’s make it a planet.


13 posted on 12/02/2018 10:56:23 PM PST by Telepathic Intruder
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To: Simon Green
One of the things I thought was neat about the New Horizons probe was that it was powered by Plutonium. Uranium was named after Uranus which was recently discovered at the time (The Constitution is about as old). When the next element was created, #93, it was named Neptunium. Since #94 was next planet it got the name Plutonium.

Although Pluto lost its lofty place in the sky as a planet, as an element it has the higher honor. Long after mankind has moved to other stars that element will retain that name . That Plutonium powered the first visit to Pluto highlights the honor!

14 posted on 12/02/2018 11:10:05 PM PST by Nateman (If the left is not screaming, you are doing it wrong)
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Two NASA Missions to Study Small Worlds
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MyQp5tckyEw
https://i.ytimg.com/vi/MyQp5tckyEw/maxresdefault.jpg


15 posted on 12/02/2018 11:52:40 PM PST by SunkenCiv (and btw -- https://www.gofundme.com/for-rotator-cuff-repair-surgery)
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To: ETL

http://www.freerepublic.com/tag/2014mu69/index


16 posted on 12/03/2018 12:00:08 AM PST by SunkenCiv (and btw -- https://www.gofundme.com/for-rotator-cuff-repair-surgery)
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To: Nateman

That’s a cool bit of trivia.


17 posted on 12/03/2018 12:15:43 AM PST by Moonman62 (Give a man a fish and he'll be a Democrat. Teach a man to fish and he'll be a responsible citizen.)
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To: Simon Green

We’ve been watching astronomer Spike Psarris videos on astronomy on YouTube. Amazing information!


18 posted on 12/03/2018 12:51:10 AM PST by Flaming Conservative ((Pray without ceasing))
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To: Simon Green

In the 1930 or so movie, “Ultima Thule” was the term the Romans used for the Scottish island of St. Kilda. “The edge of the world.”


19 posted on 12/03/2018 4:03:28 AM PST by yarddog
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To: yesthatjallen

piano-sized spacecraft
Grand or spinet?

Weigha in just under 900 lbs (401 kg)

instrument package weighs only 30 kg (~70 lbs)

Amazing can receive data at that distance


20 posted on 12/03/2018 5:11:51 AM PST by njslim
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