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No American babies, no greatness: The average number of kids per U.S. woman has dropped in the past 10 years
American Thinker ^ | 07/01/2020 | Alejandro Macarron

Posted on 07/01/2020 5:47:00 AM PDT by SeekAndFind

How can America be great in the future with fewer babies every year? In the long term, no way, José. The average number of kids per U.S. woman has dropped from 2.12 in 2007 to 1.71 in 2019, the lowest ever. In the case of whites, it's 1.61. This baby deficit continues to grow, and with it, America's greatness potential shrinks. The U.S. share of world births is one third less than in 1960. This looks good only compared to Europe, where the decline is one half less.

Immigrants haven't provided a sufficient solution to the social undermining that entails too-low birth rates in any developed nation, even in the United States, a nation that still has worldwide comparative advantages to attract high-skilled workers from other countries, with its buoyant economy, high-tech industries, limited welfare state, and powerful cultural draw.

Fewer children have many consequences. Accelerated social aging is one of them. Half of Americans in 2020 were 38 years old or younger, a median age that is 10 years higher than in 1970. Two factors account for this aging: fewer children and a longer life expectancy. By far, the first of the two is the more important contributor. Aged societies, non-dynamic by essence, face a terrible dilemma: either they transfer an increasing share of wealth created by a shrinking working population to the elderly, or the growing ranks of pensioners are poorer and with deteriorating health care. Fewer children also contribute to another problem: loneliness. Fifty years ago, 5% of Americans lived alone. Now, 11% do.

Internationally, a shrinking demographic weight endangers America's leadership. In 1900, Europe (including Russia) had 25% of the world population; now that that is less than 10%, it is an increasingly marginal geopolitical player. China has more than four times as many working-age people

(Excerpt) Read more at americanthinker.com ...


TOPICS: Society
KEYWORDS: births; children; demographics; usa
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1 posted on 07/01/2020 5:47:00 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind

These demographics are why the GOP supports all forms of immigration, they need workers for the businesses they invest in.


2 posted on 07/01/2020 5:49:56 AM PDT by JungleGoat77 (.)
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To: SeekAndFind

Careers, and pets are great replacements for being homemakers, and mothers for the ladies today. Will that dog be there for you when you are on your death-bed? When your biological time clock stops ticking, will you just say, oh well, no kids for me?


3 posted on 07/01/2020 5:50:12 AM PDT by EvilCapitalist (Fire Fauci)
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To: SeekAndFind

Let it be known that White women destroyed America.


4 posted on 07/01/2020 5:51:45 AM PDT by EEGator
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To: SeekAndFind

A finance writer that I like, William Bernstein, wrote an example many years ago that illustrates the problem of too many old people and not enough workers.

http://www.efficientfrontier.com/ef/103/hell4.htm

...Imagine, if you will, a desert island on which there are only five inhabitants—four workers and one older retired person. Each of the four workers does several odd jobs: growing various foodstuffs, building shelter, providing rudimentary medical care, and the like. The medium of exchange is coconuts. Every month, each of the four workers gives a few of his coconuts to the retiree.

One day, one of the remaining four workers turns sixty-five and decides that he, too, wishes to retire. If he does so, instead of each worker supporting 0.25 retirees, each would be supporting 0.67 retirees. Not only that, but the total GDP of the island would fall by 25%; so would per capita GDP. What do you suppose the response of the remaining three workers will be to an apparently healthy-looking colleague who demands that they support his idleness?

Let us further assume that the candidate-retiree has planned for his nonproductive years by accumulating a disproportionate number of the coconuts. In doing so, he has done nothing to increase the productivity of the island. Now that he must spend the coconuts, the island will find an increased number of them chasing 25% less goods and services. The result is a predictable bear market in coconuts and dramatically more expensive goods and services.

Worse yet, to the extent that he has planned ahead and saved, he sows social discord, for even if he himself has accumulated enough coconuts to counteract the effects of higher prices, he has raised prices for everyone else in the process.

This example was not arbitrarily chosen. The 4:1 and 3:2 ratio of workers to retirees is about what was the case in 1990 and what will be the case in 2050, respectively.

In an era when a small number of people lived past sixty-five, society could easily support them for the very few years they survived beyond that point. Now that citizens are routinely living two decades longer, it is simply not mathematically possible, let alone politically feasible, to expect each worker to support 0.67 retirees, no matter how many coconuts, dollar bills, stock certificates, or Krugerrands they save up in the meantime. It is also not reasonable to expect productive younger individuals to support large numbers of healthy older non-workers...


5 posted on 07/01/2020 5:53:06 AM PDT by FewsOrange
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To: SeekAndFind

So what? Judging by the ANTIFA spawn that infests America’s colleges and is now rioting all over the place, I don’t think we are missing much.


6 posted on 07/01/2020 5:53:34 AM PDT by Sans-Culotte (With every passing day, I am a little bit gladder that Romney lost in 2012.)
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To: EvilCapitalist


7 posted on 07/01/2020 5:53:58 AM PDT by EEGator
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To: SeekAndFind

I’ll volunteer to do MY part!.................


8 posted on 07/01/2020 5:54:38 AM PDT by Red Badger (To a liberal, 9-11 was 'illegal fireworks activity'..........................)
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To: SeekAndFind

Well, the inescapable fact is that having children has become way too expensive for a lot of working-class people. You either have to be financially well-off, or be popping them out on government assistance, because it’s ‘marginally profitable’ to do so.

Same with the fact that most folks in the western world no longer live on farms, where the more children you have, the more farm workers you eventually have.

Yes, I know I have grossly overs-simplified things, but I think most people get the point. Vague assurances about full quivers and “G-d will Provide” aren’t really things that most people, who can’t pay their bills, are prepared to accept on faith these days.


9 posted on 07/01/2020 5:54:47 AM PDT by Kriggerel ("All great truths are hard and bitter, but lies... are sweeter than wild honey" (Ragnar Redbeard))
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To: EEGator

So, you’re blaming it on ugly cats and cheap wines?.................


10 posted on 07/01/2020 5:55:43 AM PDT by Red Badger (To a liberal, 9-11 was 'illegal fireworks activity'..........................)
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To: EEGator

And a lot of those babies from white women are...well....how shall I say...ever listen to Steely Dan’s “Haitian Divorce”?


11 posted on 07/01/2020 5:56:37 AM PDT by dfwgator (Endut! Hoch Hech!)
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To: Red Badger
"Careers, and pets are great replacements for being homemakers, and mothers for the ladies today."

Boxed wine and cats replaces motherhood today.

12 posted on 07/01/2020 5:57:07 AM PDT by EEGator
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To: EEGator

liberal , or white guilt white women I would say and my also says the same about women.


13 posted on 07/01/2020 5:57:10 AM PDT by manc ( If they want so called marriage equality then they should support polygamy too.)
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To: dfwgator

Yep.

I’m starting to check out Iceland or Costa Rica as a final destination for myself.


14 posted on 07/01/2020 5:58:39 AM PDT by EEGator
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To: EEGator; EvilCapitalist

Blame the birth control pill and the development of “Frontier”. (A flea-control product).


15 posted on 07/01/2020 6:00:38 AM PDT by Does so (Neo-Venezuelans = Democrats = Rioters = Looters)
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To: JungleGoat77

And the little pampered 1.6 child brats are Not willing to work beyond their video game controller


16 posted on 07/01/2020 6:01:52 AM PDT by Jan_Sobieski (Sanctification)
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To: SeekAndFind

Considering what’s going on in America now, fewer children might be a blessing in disguise. In 10-15 years the female babies now will be sporting burqas, and having forced clitorectomies, and how is that a good thing?


17 posted on 07/01/2020 6:04:07 AM PDT by MayflowerMadam (Fauci and China can KMA.)
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To: Does so

Birth control allowed women to become more promiscuous, like men. I’m not specifically blaming the ladies. Men are at fault too. Lack of a belief in God. Immaturity on the part of both sexes. Rampant promiscuity. No fault divorce. And just a general lack of morals.


18 posted on 07/01/2020 6:04:28 AM PDT by EvilCapitalist (Fire Fauci)
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To: dfwgator

Some babies grow in a peculiar way.


19 posted on 07/01/2020 6:05:00 AM PDT by HartleyMBaldwin
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To: SeekAndFind

Young White women = the most ‘woke’ and biggest traitors to our cause.


20 posted on 07/01/2020 6:06:23 AM PDT by Levy78
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