Posted on 10/19/2017 10:54:31 AM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
Republican Roy Moore leads Democrat Doug Jones by 11 percentage points in a new Raycom News Network Senate Election poll conducted by Strategy Research.
The survey of 3,000 likely Alabama voters finds Moore receiving 51% support to 40% for Jones. Nine percent remain undecided in the exclusive poll conducted on Monday.
"The value of a poll depends on a range of circumstances. A number of recent polls have shown us with a strong lead, but at the end of the day, the one poll that matters above all others is taken on Election Day," Moore campaign chairman Bill Armistead said. “The people of Alabama strongly supported President Trump in 2016 and Judge Moore is the conservative leader Alabama needs in Washington to support the president’s reform agenda.”
The survey also asked voters about President Trump’s job approval. Overall, 55% approve of the president’s job performance.
“Trump’s approval numbers are on par for what I would have expected them to be,” said pollster Jonathan Gray of Strategy Research. “I think there are a lot of people in Alabama that voted for Donald Trump because they didn’t like Hillary Clinton and I don’t think they were ever in love with Donald Trump to begin with.”
Ninety-three percent of those surveyed who approve of President Trump’s job performance identify themselves as Moore voters. Eighty-seven percent of those who disapprove of the president said they would vote for Jones. The survey has a margin of error of plus or minus two – three percent.
"Polls will go up and down,” Jones said in a statement. “We are focused on working hard for every vote from the top of the state to the bottom. We just spent all day in north Alabama on Monday. We are spending today and tomorrow in Mobile and Baldwin counties talking about issues and meeting as many people as possible. There is definitely an energy and momentum."
“I think the challenge for the Jones campaign is bigger than what these numbers show,” Gray said. “Even if he were able to close the gap, how do you turn out Democrats in a state that hasn't had a viable Democratic Party in almost a dozen years?”
The winner of the December 12th election will complete the term of former Sen. Jeff Sessions, who left the Senate in February to serve as U.S. Attorney General. The term ends in 2020.
Gov. Robert Bentley appointed Alabama Attorney General Luther Strange to fill the seat until a special election could be held with other statewide races in 2018. Once Bentley resigned from office, Gov. Kay Ivey moved the special election to December.
Strange, who lost to Moore in a runoff, will serve as senator until the December election is decided.
but .. but.. the FOX NEWS poll showed the Democrat leading!
(TUNE IN AT 11 ! )
ROFL
So NOT “neck and neck”...
I guess it all depends on how long the necks are.
I don’t much like him, either, BUT he is the one that is most feared and hated by McConnell and the GOPe.
In other words, all the right people hate him . . . and that is good enough for me.
I live five miles from the AL border, and that sounds about right. Some non-liberals don’t like Moore, but in an off year election 11 points sounds about right.
I’ve learned in the last ten years that I shouldn’t look to who I like when I vote, but who hates the candidates. That tells me way more than who I like.
Don’t get cocky.
Here they have averaged three polls:
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2017/senate/al/alabama_senate_special_election_moore_vs_jones-6271.html
And they get:
RCP Average 9/27 - 10/16 — — 46.7 42.3 Moore +4.4
FOX News 10/14 - 10/16 801 RV 3.5 42 42 Tie
JMC Analytics 9/30 - 10/1 500 LV 4.4 48 40 Moore +8
Opinion Savvy 9/27 - 9/28 590 LV 4.0 50 45 Moore +5
“I think the challenge for the Jones campaign is bigger than what these numbers show,” Gray said. “Even if he were able to close the gap, how do you turn out Democrats in a state that hasn’t had a viable Democratic Party in almost a dozen years?”
I am sure Mitch McConnel and team will get right on it.
No way. Fox says they’re tied.
Assume it is.
Yeah, what happened to that Fake News Poll that said Moore was losing by 60 points LOL. Brought to you by the same geniuses who polled Hillary winning the election hahaha
Amazing, I just saw on FOX cuck( Dana Perino ) show that they were neck and neck 42% 42%. . Fake news / fake poll
Good news story for the day. I will be sending Roy some money a few weeks before the election. Screw the RNSC.
Polls are worthless. Big data died Nov 8th, 2016. Go out there and vote, folks!
JoMa
Can’t be!!!
The recent Fox News poll claims this race is tied.
Why isn’t he 50 Points ahead you might ask?
Never mind, I was thinking of Hillary.
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