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The Numbers Are Better for Donald Trump Than You Think. Here's Why
Time Magazine ^ | October 9, 2018 | Ryan Teague Beckwith

Posted on 10/10/2018 8:27:00 AM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet

If history holds true, President Donald Trump is about to enter a rougher period of his presidency.

The most current forecasts show Republicans are likely to lose the House of Representatives in the midterm elections, while maintaining their narrow majority in the Senate. That would mean new Democratic-led investigations and gridlock on his legislative agenda.

But that doesn’t mean that Trump is in trouble when it comes to his own re-election. In fact, there are a few numbers that might leave him optimistic about the overall state of his presidency as he heads into its next phase.

Here’s a closer look.

Trump’s approval ratings are holding steady

Most Americans have not approved of the job Trump is doing as president since shortly after inauguration.

After nearly two years, Trump’s job approval rating remains underwater. A FiveThirtyEight aggregation of polls shows Trump with a 52% disapproval and only 43% approval, while a RealClearPolitics poll average and Gallup’s weekly job approval poll show similar numbers.

But the big picture is that those numbers really haven’t changed much, which is uniquely among recent presidents. At times, Trump has dipped into the mid 30s on approval and he has seen his disapproval hit the low 60s, but the numbers return to normal after a while. Overall, his approval is like a well-built storm cellar: There’s a low ceiling, but the floor is stable.

Keep in mind that all this has happened even as Trump has done things that pundits argued would have hurt a typical president: arguing for moral equivalence between white supremacists and counter-protesters in Charlottesville, casting doubt on U.S. intelligence services while standing next to Russian President Vladimir Putin, mocking a woman who accused a Supreme Court nominee of sexual assault at a rally....

(Excerpt) Read more at time.com ...


TOPICS: Campaign News; Parties; State and Local; U.S. Congress
KEYWORDS: 2020; democrats; republicans; trump
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Translation: Trump is not Jeb Bush.
1 posted on 10/10/2018 8:27:00 AM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Fake news....


2 posted on 10/10/2018 8:28:01 AM PDT by Doogle (( USAF.68-73....8th TFW Ubon Thailand....never store a threat you should have eliminated)))
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To: Doogle

So you’re saying Trump won’t be re-elected?


3 posted on 10/10/2018 8:28:44 AM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet (You cannot invade the mainland US. There'd be a rifle behind every blade of grass.)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

No,I expect DJT to be reelected...what I’m saying is he has no reason to apologize to anyone...he did nothing wrong


4 posted on 10/10/2018 8:32:01 AM PDT by Doogle (( USAF.68-73....8th TFW Ubon Thailand....never store a threat you should have eliminated)))
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
which is uniquely among recent presidents

False, go look a Obozo number. Fake News from Time, yet again

5 posted on 10/10/2018 8:32:03 AM PDT by MNJohnnie (They would have to abandon leftism to achieve sanity. Freeper Olog-hai)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
More lying

e most current forecasts show Republicans are likely to lose the House of Representatives in the midterm elections, while maintaining their narrow majority in the Senate.

6 posted on 10/10/2018 8:32:50 AM PDT by MNJohnnie (They would have to abandon leftism to achieve sanity. Freeper Olog-hai)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Time magazine is still pushing polls that say the Democrats will win the House, even after failing miserably with their 2016 forecast that Hillary would win in a landslide. They must think someone will believe them now.


7 posted on 10/10/2018 8:32:52 AM PDT by txrefugee
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Time = Fake news


8 posted on 10/10/2018 8:36:13 AM PDT by Doogle (( USAF.68-73....8th TFW Ubon Thailand....never store a threat you should have eliminated)))
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

The planted assumption here is that Trump is only interested in his position as President. That, of course is the only motivation that the Left can conceive of because power i thee Left’s entire motivation for everything.


9 posted on 10/10/2018 8:37:47 AM PDT by arthurus (b)
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To: txrefugee

They fill their screed with anti Trump bullshit and expect us not to notice their bias. They still can’t admit that president Trump is kicking their ass on a daily basis. I’m sure the losers will keep trying to bring down president Trump.


10 posted on 10/10/2018 8:38:53 AM PDT by Peeps47 (Democrats are as corrupt as they are incompetent)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
The most current forecasts show Republicans are likely to lose the House of Representatives in the midterm elections,

By who? The latest Generic poll has the Democrat and GOP even.

This idiotic mantra has to be rejected as propaganda.

11 posted on 10/10/2018 8:40:46 AM PDT by fortheDeclaration
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To: MNJohnnie
"likely" to lose the house. No bias there.

And "narrow Senate majority". Even the most Biased Dem observer would admit that Republicans will be expanding the majority.

Fake news at its worst.

12 posted on 10/10/2018 8:41:26 AM PDT by wbill
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But looking at the numbers projected in individual races sems to contradict the narrative view. Even if the left manages to mobilize millions of dead and wetback voters it won’t matter much because the precincts in which this sort of thing is the norm are reliably Democrat anyway. Winning them by 90% is not different in effect frm winning by 1%.


13 posted on 10/10/2018 8:41:33 AM PDT by arthurus (g)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Time RAGazine. Morons leading morons.


14 posted on 10/10/2018 8:47:34 AM PDT by SoFloFreeper
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To: arthurus

I see no mention of Rasmussen which has Trump over 50%.

Wonder why the MSM never mentions that? Another outlier perhaps?


15 posted on 10/10/2018 8:49:52 AM PDT by EQAndyBuzz (Proud member of the DWN party. (Deplorable Wing Nut))
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To: wbill

RCP is still showing R having 51 in Senate when looking at no tossup map, because they average polls, including some old ones. In the RCP world, R’s get ND and MO, D’s get AZ, TN, FL, NJ, IN, NV, WV. Give it another week for older polls to drop off and even RCP will show R’s with 55-56.


16 posted on 10/10/2018 8:50:40 AM PDT by RainMan (rainman)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
But the big picture is that those numbers really haven’t changed much, which is uniquely among recent presidents.

Wouldn't it be grand if Time hired a proofreader?

17 posted on 10/10/2018 8:51:46 AM PDT by Lazamataz (On future maps, I suggest we remove the word "California" and substitute "Open-Air Asylum".)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
mocking a woman who accused a Supreme Court nominee of sexual assault at a rally....

I stopped right there:

As for mocking

That was the best MOCK EVAH.

Trump adds Mock Master to Tweet Master, Sting Mater as well as being the Master Brander.

18 posted on 10/10/2018 8:55:21 AM PDT by spokeshave2 (Trump’s building an underground railroad - a way off the plantation to freedom, jobs, and dignity)
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To: spokeshave2

Mater = Master...need more Covefefe


19 posted on 10/10/2018 8:57:39 AM PDT by spokeshave2 (Trump’s building an underground railroad - a way off the plantation to freedom, jobs, and dignity)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

Yep - Jeb Bush was a has-been before he entered the 2016 race......we should add a few seats to the Senate and “ill be so happy I might give a Howard dean scream if we hold the House....


20 posted on 10/10/2018 9:03:13 AM PDT by trebb (So many "experts" with so little experience in what they preach....even here...)
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