Posted on 10/14/2004 8:14:00 PM PDT by ElRushbo
During election night I want to have the latest exit poll data for states like Ohio and Florida-- does anyone know of any exit poll services? I am mostly interested in Florida and Ohio but I'd probably purchase data for all 50 states if available.
Any suggestions would be appreciated
is there anything other than VNS?
I bet Drudge will keep us all pretty well updated.
Since there is no more VNS who will be polling? Someone has to pay for it.
VNS was disbanded in 2002.
The news orgs are using someone new this year.
no more VNS? so where will the networks get their data from?
do you know who?
RHPS (Rather-Halperin Polling Service)
Check with Torie, he's the resident exit poll genius.
AP.
What is the National Election Pool?ABC, AP, CBS, CNN, Fox, and NBC, have created the National Election Pool to provide tabulated vote counts and exit poll surveys for the 2004 major presidential primaries and the November general election.
These six major news organization, in a joint decision, have appointed Edison Media Research and Mitofsky International as the sole provider of exit polls for the most important political races of 2004. The AP will tally the vote
The exit poll data is available for purchase by TV-affiliates, newspapers, internet sites and other news outlets. The polling data will be delivered through a secure web application directly to subscribers on primary and election days. Political candidates may subscribe as well, but the data is available one week past voting day.
I read it in an article on here within the past week or so, but I don't remember.
The exit polls can be expected to be both more biased
(or fraudulent) and less inclusive this season.
The legacy media will attempt to influence the election.
The polls also won't include the absentee vote (largely
military), which is higher this year, and won't include
a possibly larger number of early voters.
I'm encouraging everyone to vote early.
Anyone that does good exit polling will try to weigh in absentee ballots by phone surveys.
Great! Thank you-- my google search didn't yield this result
VNS couldn't be trusted, and I doubt whether the new outfit can be trusted either. There's just too much bias and corruption out there. It's gotten to be absolutely shameless.
Will be watching election results overseas and CNN will have them live.
Does anyone know what time ET we will start to know state by state results?
You need to find a leak source. They usually pop up on the internet, but not always. Drudge sometimes gets leaks, but if he does, it will pop up on FR aeo instante, so just monitor FR for Drudge. I found a leak source that had McCain stomping Bush in New Hampshire 2000, which pleased me at the time, and I sent McCain 200 bucks soon thereafter. That was a regrettable mistake in hindsight. Torie ain't perfect, but for a near atheist I think I do pretty well given my attendant handicaps, both secular and spiritual. Cheers.
You know, when you Google "aeo instante," only three pages show up, and they are all FR posts by you. :)
Here's the link for the National Election Pool: http://www.exit-poll.net/index.html
All the main media organizations will be using them on election night. But like others have said, the early voting, and absentee ballots will make exit polls even less accurate than they have been in the past. There only be useful to show a general demographic breakdown of how certain groups are voting, such as if more minorities or women are voting for Bush.
But is best to just look at the returns as they come in, and not worry about exit polls or any polls for that matter.
Check out this site if your interested on how the race is going in key battleground states: http://www.jaycost.blogspot.com/
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