I think Rove is facing some possible defections from the GOP - as well as wants to remove the Dems from putting a more centrist face on their leadership.
I wouldn't say the Dems will be in the minority for the next ten years, though. We have at least two years - but I think the numbrs (as far as re-elections) are stacked in the Dems favor in 2006.
I disagree.
The only GOP Senator in danger of losing might be Santorum, but that will depend on how this Specter debacle turns out.
OTOH several Democratic seats could be beaten.
I wouldn't say the Dems will be in the minority for the next ten years, though. We have at least two years - but I think the numbrs (as far as re-elections) are stacked in the Dems favor in 2006.
I would say your analysis is absurd.
First of all, who is going to defect from the GOP so that they can serve in the Minority?!? No one. Not even Chafee. These guys are all about power.
As for the RATs taking over in 2006, that is nothing more than a pipe dream. I will acknowledge that as things stand right now, we appear to have more tough seats to defend than they do, but at worst, I don't see us losing more than a net of two seats. If we knock off the Nelsons, we may even wind up with a net gain of two seats.
Not even Harry Reid would share your optimistic assessment of the RATs chances of regaining the Senate.
"I wouldn't say the Dems will be in the minority for the next ten years, though. We have at least two years - but I think the numbrs (as far as re-elections) are stacked in the Dems favor in 2006."
2006 could result in one or two net gains for us. There was posting today on this.
nick
Who?
Disagree. The class of 94 had their down year in 2000. All the tough seats except Santorum and Conrad Burns went democrat.
Abraham lost to Stabenow. Ashcroft lost to Carnahan. Corzine beat Franks. Bill Roth lost to Carper. Bill Nelson beat McCollum. Ben Nelson beat a Republican. Dayton defeated Grams.
The dems have a lot of tough defenses.
Actually, in 2006 almost all of the senate seats look secure for both parties. GOP may pick up 2. Nelson from Florida (only if Jeb wants it) and Byrd West Virginia if he croaks or retires.