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To: summer

The Lieberman situation is a classic test of loyalty, ideology and power.

All of the pieces are on the board for great political drama.

The Democrats name a guy who is a pure anti-war ideologue, and a thin majority of voting Democrats choose him, on that one single issue, over a proven liberal Democrat.

The Republicans, knowing they could never beat Lieberman, let an ethically-challenged compulsive gambler have the slot. Now the race is wide open, but the ethically-challenged gambler is stubbornly holding onto the spot on the ticket, refusing to relinquish it.

Independents outnumber everybody, but in the normal two-party lock-up, they have to choose one party's candidate over the other.

And then you have Lieberman himself, a Liberal hawk, in the FDR mode. Were he not an Orthodox Jew, he might not be such a hawk, and he almost certainly would not have been the Vice-Presidential nominee. But he is, and he was, and the drama of a narrow wedge of bitter-enders on the war tossing the Democrat Vice-Presidential candidate out of the party is national news.

So, Republicans (like me) are going to skip party loyalty to vote for the closest thing to an FDR Democrat (hey, FDR WAS right on World War II, and along with Lincoln is one of the top two wartime Presidents in our history).

Partisan Democrats have a mini-civil war: is the Democratic Party really just an anti-war party? Will the pro-war Democrats and the Dems who like and respect Lieberman really throw him under the bus because the party says so?
How about the Jewish Democrats? The whole Jewish community was intensely proud of Joe Lieberman, with reason. Plenty of Jewish Democrats get the Iraq/Israel link and see what Joe Lieberman sees. Are THEY going to vote against Israel in order to remain loyal Democrats this election?

And Independents are going to come stomping out of the woodwork and DECISIVELY win this election for Lieberman, demonstrating to anybody who cares to look that Independents are actually the political plurality in the country, and the majority-makers, and that if someone runs appealing directly to them (and to hell with Republican OR Democratic partisans) he wins.

Big time drama in little Connecticut.

Lieberman will be the winner, decisively, and the lessons taught by this will reverberate in a whole lot of interesting ways all across the country for fellows like Bloomberg.


5 posted on 08/30/2006 7:27:55 AM PDT by Vicomte13 (The Crown is amused.)
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To: Vicomte13

I meant to tell you, I thought that was a good summary of what is happening here. But I also think Lieberman just wants to keep his job. He's not ready to retire. Or be fired.


17 posted on 08/31/2006 11:56:48 AM PDT by summer
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