Posted on 10/22/2006 8:47:02 PM PDT by HAL9000
BULLETIN
HURRICANE PAUL ADVISORY NUMBER 8
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP172006
800 PM PDT SUN OCT 22 2006
...PAUL BECOMES A HURRICANE...THREATENS SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA...
AT 8 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FOR BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM CABO SAN LUCAS NORTHWARD TO AGUA BLANCA ON THE WEST COAST...AND TO LA PAZ ON THE EAST COAST. A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
A HURRICANE WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO ALONG THE SEA OF CORTES ON MONDAY.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 800 PM PDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE PAUL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 111.1 WEST OR ABOUT 460 MILES ...745 KM...SOUTHWEST OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO AND ABOUT 475 MILES ...765 KM...SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA.
PAUL IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/HR...AND THIS SLOW MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TONIGHT WITH A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTHWEST ON MONDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 85 MPH...140 KM/HR... WITH HIGHER GUSTS. PAUL IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES...35 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 979 MB...28.91 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 800 PM PDT POSITION...16.1 N...111.1 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 5 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...979 MB.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 1100 PM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 200 AM PDT.
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
Global...Bush's etc..
Aren't they typhoons when in the Pacific?
Or cyclones?
I think the boundary line for hurricanes/typhoons is west of Hawaii.
What are the chances for this to end up in the Gulf?
If it would only move northward and into Arizona as we need the rain.
Wishful thinking..............
Much appreciated.
Adult viewers only, please.
YEE HAW!!! This proves "global warming" DOES exist!!!
Isn't that "Paulo"?
What's one more disaster when you're Mexico? BTW, how is it that Mexico is so impoverished, yet has a meterological center & warning system.
Hmm... I know a couple of Pauls who are somewhat destructive when drunk, but none of them would rate a hurricane designation.
A cat 5, magnitude 8.9, F5, 50 megaton no brainer, Bush lied.
LOL
Karl Rove......
"What we have here is a failure to communicate!"
Hey Hal do you think it effect SO CAL weather maybe be our first big winter storm here in SO CAL
Heather's accusations/revelations may have pushed him over the edge....
Finally, a hurricane named Paul!
I've been waiting for this since I was a little boy!
Paul
Jim Cantori has wood over this.
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