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2008 Projected Presidential Electoral Votes as of 9/22/2008
InTrade ^ | Monday, September 22, 2008 | Momaw Nadon

Posted on 09/22/2008 7:10:03 AM PDT by Momaw Nadon



TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2008; 2008election; election; electionpresident; elections; electoral; electoralvotes; intrade; mccain; mccainpalin; obama; obamabiden; presidential; projected; votes
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Intrade.com is a futures market in which people bet on the outcomes of various things such as the results of elections.

According to the current trading prices of the futures contracts, an estimate can be found of what traders are betting will be the outcome of 2008 Presidential Election.

If the traders are correct, John McCain would receive 265 Electoral Votes and Barack Obama would receive 273 Electoral Votes.

If the weighted probabilities of John McCain winning in the states are added up, and then divided by 538, and multiplied by 100, then John McCain should get 260.79 Electoral Votes.

270 Electoral Votes are needed to win the Presidency.

Opinions and commentary are welcome.

1 posted on 09/22/2008 7:10:03 AM PDT by Momaw Nadon
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Previous projections:

2008 Projected Presidential Electoral Votes as of 9/15/2008
2008 Projected Presidential Electoral Votes as of 9/8/2008
2008 Projected Presidential Electoral Votes as of 9/1/2008
2008 Projected Presidential Electoral Votes as of 8/25/2008
2008 Projected Presidential Electoral Votes as of 8/18/2008
2008 Projected Presidential Electoral Votes as of 8/11/2008
2008 Projected Presidential Electoral Votes as of 8/4/2008
2008 Projected Presidential Electoral Votes as of 7/28/2008
2008 Projected Presidential Electoral Votes as of 7/21/2008
2008 Projected Presidential Electoral Votes as of 7/14/2008
2008 Projected Presidential Electoral Votes as of 7/7/2008
2008 Projected Presidential Electoral Votes as of 6/30/2008
2008 Projected Presidential Electoral Votes as of 6/23/2008
2008 Projected Presidential Electoral Votes as of 6/16/2008
2008 Projected Presidential Electoral Votes as of 6/9/2008
2008 Projected Presidential Electoral Votes as of 6/2/2008
2008 Projected Presidential Electoral Votes as of 5/26/2008
2008 Projected Presidential Electoral Votes as of 5/19/2008
2008 Projected Presidential Electoral Votes as of 5/12/2008
2008 Projected Presidential Electoral Votes as of 5/5/2008
2008 Projected Presidential Electoral Votes as of 4/28/2008
2008 Projected Presidential Electoral Votes as of 4/21/2008
2008 Projected Presidential Electoral Votes as of 4/14/2008
2008 Projected Presidential Electoral Votes as of 4/7/2008
2008 Projected Presidential Electoral Votes as of 3/31/2008
2008 Projected Presidential Electoral Votes as of 3/24/2008
2008 Projected Presidential Electoral Votes as of 3/17/2008
2008 Projected Presidential Electoral Votes as of 3/10/2008
2008 Projected Presidential Electoral Votes as of 3/3/2008
2008 Projected Presidential Electoral Votes as of 2/25/2008
2008 Projected Presidential Electoral Votes as of 2/18/2008
2008 Projected Presidential Electoral Votes as of 2/11/2008
2008 Projected Presidential Electoral Votes as of 2/4/2008
2008 Projected Presidential Electoral Votes as of 1/28/2008
2008 Projected Presidential Electoral Votes as of 1/21/2008
2008 Projected Presidential Electoral Votes as of 1/14/2008
2008 Projected Presidential Electoral Votes as of 1/7/2008

2 posted on 09/22/2008 7:10:19 AM PDT by Momaw Nadon ("...with the ultimate goal of ending tyranny in our world.")
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3 posted on 09/22/2008 7:10:41 AM PDT by Momaw Nadon ("...with the ultimate goal of ending tyranny in our world.")
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To: Aeronaut; amigatec; angkor; annyokie; beckysueb; billva; BlessedByLiberty; bluefish; ...


If you want on (or off) of the weekly InTrade Projected Presidential Electoral Vote ping list, please let me know via FREEPmail.


4 posted on 09/22/2008 7:11:20 AM PDT by Momaw Nadon ("...with the ultimate goal of ending tyranny in our world.")
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To: Momaw Nadon

McCain’s best hope is to flip Minnisota, Michigan, Pennsylvania, or Wisconsin to his side.


5 posted on 09/22/2008 7:12:04 AM PDT by Always Right (Obama: more arrogant than Bill Clinton, more naive than Jimmy Carter, and more liberal than LBJ.)
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To: Momaw Nadon

If the traders are correct,....................


6 posted on 09/22/2008 7:13:56 AM PDT by Red Badger (I'm gonna use "Sarah!" from NOW ON since Hillary uses "Hillary!"......)
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To: Red Badger

Gee, they’ve been spot-on till now, haven’t they? Especially last week/sarc.

Colonel, USAFR


7 posted on 09/22/2008 7:16:08 AM PDT by jagusafr ("Bugs, Mr. Rico! Zillions of 'em!" - Robert Heinlein)
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To: Momaw Nadon; mombyprofession

UGH! I hate Wayne County deciding for the whole rest of the state every election!


8 posted on 09/22/2008 7:16:20 AM PDT by FreedomHammer (Just ring? ... let freedom ROAR!)
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To: Always Right

If he doesn’t, we could be effed.


9 posted on 09/22/2008 7:16:34 AM PDT by Perdogg (Sen Robert Byrd - Ex community organizer)
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To: FreedomHammer

Sorry, “whole rest of the state” would be Michigan.


10 posted on 09/22/2008 7:17:19 AM PDT by FreedomHammer (Just ring? ... let freedom ROAR!)
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To: Momaw Nadon

It’s coming down to holding Colorado. Bambi’s strategy depends on turning NM, IA, and CO blue. He will succeed with NM and IA. We need to prevail in CO.


11 posted on 09/22/2008 7:17:22 AM PDT by freespirited
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To: Red Badger
If the traders are correct,....................

They haven't been correct lately, have they?

12 posted on 09/22/2008 7:17:52 AM PDT by mlocher (USA is a sovereign state.)
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To: Momaw Nadon

Nice overview of the mental health status of our nation.

Geeze.


13 posted on 09/22/2008 7:17:55 AM PDT by vietvet67
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To: jagusafr

If Obama wins, can we blame the speculators?............


14 posted on 09/22/2008 7:18:13 AM PDT by Red Badger (I'm gonna use "Sarah!" from NOW ON since Hillary uses "Hillary!"......)
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To: freespirited

yep
hold colorado and its over for bambi
we have to fight like hell there
but bambi has to fight for MI WI and PENN i think


15 posted on 09/22/2008 7:19:02 AM PDT by housedeep
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To: Always Right

If the traders are correct, all he has to do is keep what he’s got and flip New Hampshire. It’s lighter blue than PA...


16 posted on 09/22/2008 7:20:54 AM PDT by HeadOn (So when do "I" get to be rich? I'm waiting...)
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To: mlocher
They haven't been correct lately, have they?

Especially at Lehman Brothers..................

17 posted on 09/22/2008 7:22:08 AM PDT by Red Badger (I'm gonna use "Sarah!" from NOW ON since Hillary uses "Hillary!"......)
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To: Momaw Nadon

McCain will win PA. End of discussion.


18 posted on 09/22/2008 7:26:31 AM PDT by NoobRep
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To: Red Badger
I wonder just how many of the rabid Obama supporters are going to vote for McCain when the curtain closes? That is a figure that must be considered.
19 posted on 09/22/2008 7:26:32 AM PDT by ANGGAPO (Layte Gulf Beach Club)
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To: Momaw Nadon
this map is behind - Florida is ‘true red’ now - and others are far closer to red than depicted...

McC is way up in Flor...for one example, 70,000 came yesterday to see/hear “Sarah” - Plugs got 2,000.

That tells a lot more than any polls or projections.

GO SARAH!

20 posted on 09/22/2008 7:27:32 AM PDT by maine-iac7 (No trees were killed in sending this message but a lot of electrons were terribly agitated)
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