Posted on 10/31/2012 10:36:36 AM PDT by Arthurio
· Governor Romney leads President Obama by three percentage points in Florida, 50 to 47 percent.
· Democrat Bill Nelson leads Connie Mack by three percentage points in the Florida Senate race, 49 to 46 percent.
· A majority of Florida likely voters (51 percent) do not approve of President Obama’s job performance. 43 percent approve of President Obama’s performance.
· Similarly, half (50 percent) of Florida likely voters think the United States of America is headed in the wrong direction. 39 percent think the country is headed in the right direction.
Gravis Marketing conducted an automated survey of 549 likely voters in Florida October 30, 2012. The margin of error for the survey is +/-4.2% and higher for subgroups.
(Excerpt) Read more at gravispolls.com ...
Very good even with a skewed turnout model.
Ouch. D+8, R up 3.
Notice the date.
Yeah...10/30.
D+8 ... I hope Gallup’s R+1 turnout holds true for FLA.
Mack down by 3. If the D+8 is incorrect, then both are in decent shape I think.
Florida’s voter registration leans about 5 points more Democratic. But that’s from 2-1 Democrat in the 1980s, and the surge in Republican registration is continuing, so it’s very probably that massive number of people who originally registered as Democrat now regard themselves as Republican.
Current voter registration in FL, I believe, is about D+4. Factor in the net difference between Republican enthusiasm on the one hand, and Massive Democrat Vote Fraud on the other, and I still don’t see FL turnout being anywhere near D+8.
Early voting numbers are between what they were in 2004 (R favored) and 2008 (Bonzo’s bounce) so I’ll say Romney wins about 52-46 and MAYBE we oust that scumbag Bill Nelson at last.
I live in central Florida and there has been a substantial change in advertising. It used to be wall to wall Obama ads on TV and radio. Now, its Romney and Mack. If they can keep up the pressure all the way through, which they have plenty of money for, we should be OK here.
I went to the polls in central Florida this morning at 10am and it was busy there. I’d estimate there were as many people voting today as on actual election day in 2008.
Really? So are you actually saying you are, dare I say, optimistic? :)
You know, I remember when we (the GOP) never had to worry about Florida. It was always solidly in our camp. Same with Virginia.
I’m trying...
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