Current voter registration in FL, I believe, is about D+4. Factor in the net difference between Republican enthusiasm on the one hand, and Massive Democrat Vote Fraud on the other, and I still don’t see FL turnout being anywhere near D+8.
Early voting numbers are between what they were in 2004 (R favored) and 2008 (Bonzo’s bounce) so I’ll say Romney wins about 52-46 and MAYBE we oust that scumbag Bill Nelson at last.
I live in central Florida and there has been a substantial change in advertising. It used to be wall to wall Obama ads on TV and radio. Now, its Romney and Mack. If they can keep up the pressure all the way through, which they have plenty of money for, we should be OK here.