I see a good chance of Bayit Yehudi overtaking Labor to become #2. The Likud isn’t worried about Labor so much as parties to its right, which are siphoning off votes.
If trends hold up, Bibi will still be re-elected but his preference for a centrist government probably won’t be realized.
And Israel is entering the home of the stretch of the election campaign.
“The Likud isn’t worried about Labor so much as parties to its right, which are siphoning off votes.”
I would worry too, if I were Bibi. He’d prefer a coalition with Labor, because then he could be “centrist” (great series of Latma sketches on the abuse of that term). Parties to Likud’s right are right wing. Likud merely poses as right wing, so genuinely right wing voters who twig that fact then look for a real right wing party.