Posted on 09/05/2014 5:56:39 AM PDT by cotton1706
Republican Congressman Bill Cassidy has edged ahead of incumbent Democrat Mary Landrieu in Louisiana’s hotly contested U.S. Senate race.
A new Rasmussen Reports statewide telephone survey of Likely Louisiana Voters finds Cassidy with 44% of the vote and Landrieu with 41%. Nine percent (9%) like some other candidate in the race, while six percent (6%) are undecided.
(To see survey question wording, click here.) (Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook. The survey of 800 Likely Voters in Louisiana was conducted on September 2-3, 2014 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.
(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...
The amazing thing is that Ms. Piggy isn’t further behind.
that’s because you can’t poll inmates and the dead.
Still close enough to pull a Franken in the courts and steal another Senate seat.
I’m not thrilled with Cassidy, but Mary has got to go.
Why is this a close race?
There isn’t a third party candidate. There are two republicans, Cassidy (establishment moderate) and Maness (Conservative Tea Party). Then there will be a one on one runoff in December with the top two. Essentially, what’s election day for the rest of us is primary day in Louisiana.
Maness is the one that got the residency issue going. Cassidy hasn’t laid a glove on Landrieu. I’d like to see Maness top Cassidy and be in the runoff with Landrieu.
We need Colorado, North Carolina, Alaska and Iowa too.
Percentages don’t count, votes do. Even more importantly, its those who COUNT the votes that make the big difference.
Nate Silver has Landrieu at only a 27% chance to hold this seat. This is a must win for us.
http://fivethirtyeight.com/interactives/senate-forecast/
I hear Cassidy is not perfect, but who is? We have to keep moving in the Right direction.
Silver also has us as an almost 64% chance to gain the majority. From his site:
“The Republicans’ edge comes from an abundance of opportunity. They are almost certain to win the Democratic-held seats in Montana and West Virginia, and very likely to do so in South Dakota. That gives them three of the six seats they need. Beyond that, they have few guarantees but a lot of good prospects:
Republicans are slightly favored, though far from certain, to oust Democratic incumbents in Louisiana and Arkansas.
Four more Democratic-held seats — in Alaska, Colorado, Iowa and North Carolina — rate as tossups.
While Democrats are favored in Michigan and New Hampshire, Republicans retain some chances to win those states as well.”
$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$
So, according to Nate, we need to gain six. Three are likely - MT, WV, SD. We likely lose no contested seats. LA is critical - all the close races are. GOTV.
And pray without ceasing.
“I hear Cassidy is not perfect, but who is? We have to keep moving in the Right direction.”
This is Cassidy’s conservative record, which is why the Establishment got behind him.
Cassidy - 69%(Average) - 60%(Heritage) - 64%(CFG) - 80%(ACU) - 73%(FreedomWorks)
“This is Cassidy’s conservative record, which is why the Establishment got behind him.
Cassidy - 69%(Average) - 60%(Heritage) - 64%(CFG) - 80%(ACU) - 73%(FreedomWorks)”
$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$
Understood - but ACU has Landrieu at a 12 this past year, with a lifetime rating of 20.
So, if your choice is an 80 vs a 20 on the ACU scale, with whom are you better off?
This is not very good. Need at least 10 points to overcome Dem cheating
“So, if your choice is an 80 vs a 20 on the ACU scale, with whom are you better off?”
Well, ACU always overrates moderates, which is why I created the average. I want Maness to be in the top two in November. But if it turns out to be Cassidy against Landrieu, of course I’d be for Cassidy.
But Cassidy will be a moderate-voting McConnellite. No two ways about it.
I’m sick of dynastic politics. The Landrieus et.al. in Louisiana are ensconced generationally, and the ignorant keep voting on name recognition. I hope this is true, but never underestimate crooked Louisiana politics or the stupidity of the voters.
Agreed on all points.
I would add, though, that even if we elect Cassidy, and the R’s take the Senate majority, while Cassidy would not be as conservative as Maness, the R majority would give much more conservative power to guys like Cruz and Lee.
I know you are on board, Cotton, but my plea and prayer to the rest of our conservative brothers and sisters here is that if your November choice is between a RINO and a Liberal, GOTV for the RINO. You’ll be helping Ted Cruz and Mike Lee, and all the other real conservatives.
Yours may be a minority opinion here on FR. The knuckleheads will urge conservatives to go out there and vote for Landrieu.
“I know you are on board, Cotton, but my plea and prayer to the rest of our conservative brothers and sisters here is that if your November choice is between a RINO and a Liberal, GOTV for the RINO. You’ll be helping Ted Cruz and Mike Lee, and all the other real conservatives.”
I agree with you for the most part. But I have advocated for the defeat, one way or the other, of two republicans: Mitch McConnell and Lindsey Graham. They are both vile and insidious oligarchs, and the US Senate will be far more conservative with democrats sitting in their seats. And after Mississippi, I would advocate for the defeat of Thad Cochran as well. We simply can’t continue to put up with such betrayals.
I think we can still take the senate even with the loss of these three. IA, LA, NC, NH, CO, MI, AR, AK, WV, SD, with VA, MN, OR and NJ thrown in for good measure to bleed money from the other races.
Amazing Landrieu is still living in Mommy’s basement at her
age.......
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