Posted on 02/16/2015 4:32:24 PM PST by Nachum
With four weeks until elections for the 20th Knesset, Likud and Labor-Hatnua appear to be neck and neck.
According to a survey conducted by the Midgam Institute for Channel Two, Labor, running under the moniker the "Zionist Camp" just barely inches by Likud with 25 seats.
Likud is one behind with 24 mandates. It has been noted that even if Likud comes in behind, the party with the greatest chance of forming a coalition is given first crack, meaning the outcome of the close competition remains up in the air.
The joint Arab list comes in as the third largest party in the Knesset with 12 seats, a position formerly held on a steady basis by Jewish Home.
Jewish Home, though, is still stuck in a rut with 11 mandates, having fallen sharply from a predicted 15-17 in weeks-earlier polls. They are tied in fourth with center-left party Yesh Atid.
(Excerpt) Read more at israelnationalnews.com ...
51% want Bibi for their Prime Minister.
The closet one to him is at 37%.
Furthermore, 67% expect him to remain Prime Minister, whether they’re for him or not.
It is disgusting that Arab savages can "serve" in the Knesset, where they typically give aid and comfort to Hamas. Israelis see this as a wonderful symbol of democracy, but all it shows it weakness, when an enemy "party" can swing a government to the extreme left. Ben Gurion and other Socialist foudners were fools to embrace Arab representation.
First place party doesn’t always lead the government, but this is not good.
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Agreed
Could it be that the poll was paid for by the Democrat operatives from US interfering in the Israeli electoral process?
From what little I've heard, the general consensus is that Netanhayu is still likely to remain as PM.
Multiple polls had him behind before the Congress dustup. American interest aside, he’s been around a long time and there’s Bibi fatigue. His address to Congress is a gamble. He was behind so has nothing to lose and it might help Israel no matter which way the election goes.
Poll: Likud, Zionist Camp in dead heat
New poll puts center-left camp one seat ahead of Likud, as Bennett and Lapid tie for third biggest party spot, with elections almost month away. Ynet
A new poll has Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's Likud in a dead heat with its main rival for the leadership of Israel, with the Zionist Union actually leading on the Likud by a single seat.
The poll, by Israel's Channel 2 News, has the center-left Zionist Union at 25 Knesset seats and Likud trailing by one with 24. The poll has a 3.6 percent margin of error.
Israel's election system has different parties contend for spots in the 120-seat Knesset. Many times, the party with the most seats forms a governing coalition by forging alliances with the smaller parties. The next prime minister is the head of the party who manages to bring the different parties together.
The joint Arab List – a unified ticket of three different Israeli-Arab parties, including one which also touts a Jewish representative –took the third spot with 12; though it is unlikely it would join a governing coalition, even a left-wing one. In the past Arab parties have agreed to unofficially express support for a left-wing government, granting them the de facto majority they need to rule.
Tied for fourth with 11 Knesset seats were the right-wing Bayit Yehudi party and the centrist Yesh Atid, led respectively by Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid.
They were followed by the newly formed Kulanu party, which polled at 7 seats. The party, headed by former Likud minister Moshe Kahlon, is running on a socio-economic platform, and is considered a swing vote in the election, Kahlon could throw his support behind either the Likud or the Zionist Union.
Registering a small bump in polls was Avigdor Lieberman's Yisrael Beytenu party – which hold significant power in the current government but have plummeted in recent polls – now polling at 7.
The ultra-Orthodox Sephardic party Shas was polling at 6. The relatively low number is a result of the formation of splinter party, Yahad - Am Ehad, led by Eli Yishai and running on a more militant platform, and which is currently polling at 5, resulting in a loss in votes for Shas.
The left-wing Meretz party was standing solid at 5 – which puts them at risk for not crossing the threshold.
The ultra-Orthodox United Torah Judaism was polling at 7, the result it is expected to attain as it enjoys a stable voter base which always votes inside the political camp.
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Yair Lapid and Tzippi Livni are 2 extremely left wing jerks. It is their numbers in the polls which I think were enhanced by Obama's reprehensible interference in the Israeli elections. For this alone, he should hang.
Why is Labor changing its name and why is Labor suddenly gaining seats, compared to its most recent historical performances?
They’re not really, the Zionist Camp on the ticket is two parties running a combined list, Labor (Herzog, 15 seats currently) and Hatnuah (Livni, 6 seats currently). At 25 the combination is up 4 seats, not ten.
Remember 61 seats is needed for a coalition. More parties on the right than left.
Labor, running under the moniker the "Zionist Camp" just barely inches by Likud with 25 seats.
Why is Labor changing its name
To get more votes by being dishonest about what they stand for?
and why is Labor suddenly gaining seats, compared to its most recent historical performances?
Because they misleadingly changed their name?
Some leftists (like Livni) from Sharon’s Kadima have partnered with the shrinking Labor Party.
The Labor party is like the Left everywhere. They care more about power than the survival of the country. It is the same in the United States except America is much bigger and will take longer to destroy (I think).
In America, we weren't fooled by the name switch of global warming to climate change. The Israelis are so smart except when it comes to politics and geo politics? That is a very dangerous blind spot.
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