Skip to comments.PPP IA: Trump back in the lead, 22-21 over Carson, Cruz 14, Rubio 10
Posted on 11/02/2015 3:00:10 PM PST by LS
Cruz is rising in Iowa; Clinton Back Out to Dominant Lead
PPP's newest Iowa poll finds a tight race on the Republican side in the state with Donald Trump at 22%, Ben Carson at 21%, Ted Cruz at 14%, Marco Rubio at 10%, Mike Huckabee and Bobby Jindal each at 6%, and Jeb Bush and Carly Fiorina each at 5%. Polling further back are Chris Christie at 3%, John Kasich, Rand Paul, and Rick Santorum each at 2%, Lindsey Graham with less than 1%, and Jim Gilmore and George Pataki each with no supporters.
Compared to our last Iowa poll in mid-September Trump's support is down 2 points (from 24% to 22%), while Carson's support is up 4 points (from 17% to 21%) putting them in the deadlock. The big gainer from a month ago is Ted Cruz though. He's gone from 8% to 14%, and also seen his favorability rating improve from 51/23 to 62/16. Cruz is now leading the field in Iowa among Tea Party voters (34% to 24% for Trump and 22% for Carson), and voters who identify themselves as 'very conservative' (24% to 22% for Carson and 21% for Trump.)
Oh good, a poll the Trumpophiles can believe.
I prefer the other one where Trump is leading by 7 in Iowa. The idea that Ben Carson was leading by 8 points is nuts. Even if the entire piety police aka the Church Lady Voter Brigade was opposed to Trump, that shouldn't happen.
No, this is the poll us Trump/Cruz supporters believe in. Hehehehe
You need to read the write up. This poll actually has Trump DOWN 2 points and Carson UP 4 points from their last poll. So while it still shows a dead heat between Carson and Trump, it does NOT show Trump regaining ground on Carson, but still reflects a loss in his support in Iowa from previous polls by the same firm.
That poll is done by Gravis, that only does automated polling. They were off by a significant amount in the 2012 election final polls, so their track record is not good...
Mannatech Ben, pro-amnesty FReepers hit hardest.
Not really. For all of their final week state polls except one, and for the national poll, they were within 3 points or less of the actual final results, which is as good as any of the other houses. The only one they missed significantly was New Hampshire, which they missed by 5 points.
They *do* tend to have a systematic rightward bias, it is true. But one would think Carson supporters (at least) would interpret that as favouring their candidate in the current polls...
i’m voting cruz in the primary. trump if he wins the primary.
carson, and his pal sharpton, never.
God forbid, rubio, I will sit in church and pray for guidance,
I’m mostly with you.
I don’t think Carson will get far enough, so I don’t expect to be faced with that dilemma.
I think it’s going to come down to Cruz and Rubio. I like different things about them both.
Many if not most people under the age of Trump don’t have a landline, so they don’t get polled as often. Polling companies have to pay for polling cell phones so they don’t do it very often, and in addition, most young cell phone users are more resistant to answering robo-dialed polls.
So I think most of the polls are totally worthless. Trump pays for a lot of them himself but they’re pretty selective; however, as an entertainer, he knows that giving the appearance of success is even more important than succeeding.
I’ve enjoyed your posts. Coming from you that’s high praise :)
Cruz and Trump!
Hmmm. This headline does not match the poll results. Nor does it match the headline of the actual article at the link which is: “Cruz rising in Iowa; Clinton back out to dominant lead”
According to this survey Trump’s support is down 2 points and Carson’s support is up 4. Ted Cruz is actually the big gainer having gone from 8% support to 14% and his favorables are up as well.
Why change the headline of the story? Why not just post what it actually says?
IA doesn’t matter.
Trump will run the table starting with NH.
The actual title of the article was: "Cruz rising in Iowa; Clinton back out to dominant lead".
Could it be that the neither the title nor the content of the article actually supports the narrative you are trying to present?
The key line form the article: " The big gainer from a month ago is Ted Cruz though. He's gone from 8% to 14%, and also seen his favorability rating improve from 51/23 to 62/16. Cruz is now leading the field in Iowa among Tea Party voters (34% to 24% for Trump and 22% for Carson), and voters who identify themselves as 'very conservative' (24% to 22% for Carson and 21% for Trump.)"
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