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Simple Math Shows America Is Headed for an Economic Disaster
The Daily Reckoning ^ | March 30, 2016 | Jody Chudley

Posted on 04/18/2016 7:21:40 PM PDT by george76

Stan Druckenmiller ... when I look at the current picture of expected tax revenues combined with benefits promised to future generations, this is the most unsustainable situation I have seen ever in my career.

The disaster that Druckenmiller sees coming for the United States is all about changing demographics and entitlement spending. They don’t add up to a sustainable situation.

In 1940, entitlement payments, which include everything from disability payments to Social Security to Medicare, amounted to just over 20% of annual government spending in the United States.

Today, entitlement spending has swelled to nearly 70% of the annual federal budget.

Things are about to get a whole lot more complicated. The 20-year baby boom that took place after World War II is now beginning to result in a retiree boom.

...

Corporations are required to disclose on their balance sheet the future defined pension obligations that their employees have earned.

Those are very real liabilities for companies that are going to have to be paid, so they should be included.

The balance sheet of the United States, meanwhile, doesn’t account for the future payments that it has promised ... They should be recorded as liabilities of the United States.

(Excerpt) Read more at dailyreckoning.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Government; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: disabilitypayments; druckenmiller; economy; entitlementpayments; entitlements; medicare; nationaldebt; socialsecurity; standruckenmiller; taxes; taxrevenues; uscrisis; welfare
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1 posted on 04/18/2016 7:21:40 PM PDT by george76
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To: george76

We need to be taxing at about 19 or 20 percent of GDP and spending at about 17 percent. Instead, we are spending at 24 percent GDP and taxing at about 19 percent.


2 posted on 04/18/2016 7:23:26 PM PDT by taxcontrol ( The GOPe treats the conservative base like slaves by taking their votes and refuses to pay)
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To: george76

I am not going to get more generous.

Government was never intended to be wealth redistributor charity.


3 posted on 04/18/2016 7:24:16 PM PDT by Secret Agent Man (Gone Galt; Not averse to Going Bronson.)
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To: george76

“Either tax rates rise or generosity falls”

I vote for falling generosity.


4 posted on 04/18/2016 7:24:23 PM PDT by JPJones ( You can't help the working class by paying the non-working class.)
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To: george76

Fed.gov needs to have a debt crisis and failure - the sooner the better while Americans still have some notion of states’ rights and local governance to step into the vacuum, and while some people still remember what the Constitution is.


5 posted on 04/18/2016 7:28:12 PM PDT by PGR88
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To: george76

The free sh*t army votes.

We all know the answer.


6 posted on 04/18/2016 7:30:15 PM PDT by 2banana (My common ground with terrorists - they want to die for islam and we want to kill them)
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To: george76

Aborting 2 million future wage earners/taxpayers per year since 1973 has not helped.

The beginning of the “aborted generations” would now be in their prime earning years.


7 posted on 04/18/2016 7:34:17 PM PDT by lightman (I'm nothing special...just a follower of the siren call of the Ison.)
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To: 2banana

I think, eventually, you’re going to have to take the vote away from anyone who doesn’t pay taxes. It will require a Revolution, however.


8 posted on 04/18/2016 7:35:40 PM PDT by rbg81 (Truth is stranger than fiction)
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To: rbg81
The vote should be limited to property/taxpayer vs. the Gimme crowd, including the newbies just arriving.
9 posted on 04/18/2016 7:41:27 PM PDT by Eric in the Ozarks (Baseball players, gangsters and musicians are remembered. But journalists are forgotten.)
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To: george76

“Generosity falls” — After paying libenty-zillion bucks into this stinking ponzi scheme and being able to get a tiny fraction out, I’m the beneficiary of “generosity”

FU whoever put that lousy caption on that graph. If I’d been able to opt out and put away my own money for my benefit, I could have retired years ago.

Socialism sucks big time.


10 posted on 04/18/2016 7:43:07 PM PDT by ProtectOurFreedom
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To: george76

The Socialist solution is to raise taxes and kill the old, infirm and poor.


11 posted on 04/18/2016 7:44:32 PM PDT by MrBambaLaMamba (Obama - "I will stand with the Muslims")
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To: george76
The level of fraud in SSI and Medicaid, and Medicare is extremely high as is the number of employees currently employed to run them. There's lots of money to be saved before we move into ending the entitlements (Because no one’s going to get elected running on cutting/ending entitlements). I'm pretty confident that Trump can make a dent in some of the problems.

Ultimately the solution to a socialist scheme like Medicare/Medicare is rationing with such long wait times that people opt for private solutions which is what works in places like Singapore. In Singapore the poor get poor healthcare from their medicaid system and the middle class and up buy cheap full on capitalist healthcare. Capitalism is the solution to bad systems like this but we need to get a reformer in there for a chance to fix the broken systems.

12 posted on 04/18/2016 7:44:44 PM PDT by RedWulf
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To: 2banana

This is the way it always ends. Politicians figure out they can buy votes by giving away the treasury. This works “well” for awhile. Then it fails spectacularly.


13 posted on 04/18/2016 7:46:46 PM PDT by Flick Lives (One should not attend even the end of the world without a good breakfast. -- Heinlein)
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To: lightman
Aborting 2 million future wage earners/taxpayers per year since 1973 has not helped. The beginning of the “aborted generations” would now be in their prime

Assuming..., that is..., that they were productive working citizens and not additional members of the "Givzee me Dat" class...

14 posted on 04/18/2016 7:46:56 PM PDT by ExSES (the "bottom-line")
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To: george76

“either tax rates rise or GENEROSITY falls..”

GENEROSITY..! You get that?

When Uncle Sam robs you and pays another guy, Uncle Sam is GENEROUS.

Just takes your breath away.


15 posted on 04/18/2016 7:48:17 PM PDT by gaijin
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To: george76

What can’t go on forever, won’t. The question is how many more generations are we bankrupting with entitlement spending, gargantuan government, and pension promises that cannot be honored.


16 posted on 04/18/2016 7:51:33 PM PDT by sparklite2 ( "The white man is the Jew of Liberal Fascism." -Jonah Goldberg)
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To: gaijin

The government under Obama for three years of his Presidency denied SS recipients and federal and postal retirees a COLA cost of living increase. Hasn’t happened in forty years but Obama cuts it three times. Now they have money to bring in illegal aliens and Syrian refugees. While retirees and the middle class see their savings dwindle and no return but pennies on savings and CDs.


17 posted on 04/18/2016 8:00:30 PM PDT by Ciexyz ("You know who gets hurt? The people who worked hard, lived frugally, and saved their money."- Trump)
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To: sparklite2

You beat me to it.

I think that was a quote by Herb Stein, the father of Ben Stein.


18 posted on 04/18/2016 8:00:52 PM PDT by JohnnyP
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To: lightman

The horror of abortion can’t hold a candle in pure numbers to the number of Americans “lost” via artificial contraception; besides the financial disaster, the related demographic disaster (which can’t be addressed with printing presses) continues to rapidly unfold. The election of Obama in 2008, and especially the re-election four years later (after four years of utter failure) really demonstrate how quickly this country is changing to a Third World socialist toilet with no semblance of the country founded 200+ years ago. Language, religion, politics - all drastically turned upside down is a couple of decades (and worsening BY THE DAY).


19 posted on 04/18/2016 8:02:09 PM PDT by kearnyirish2 (Affirmative action is economic warfare against white males (and therefore white families).)
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To: 2banana
The free sh*t army votes.

Yup, the finally figured out they could vote their way to the nation's treasure. Won't be long now before it is all gone.

20 posted on 04/18/2016 8:13:11 PM PDT by Ghost of SVR4 (So many are so hopelessly dependent on the government that they will fight to protect it.)
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