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My model shows Donald Trump has an 87 percent chance of beating Hillary Clinton
New York Newsday ^ | July 28, 2016 | Helmut Norpoth

Posted on 07/28/2016 12:13:59 PM PDT by 2ndDivisionVet

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To: Donglalinger

The bitter single white female vote will go through the roof after the speech.


41 posted on 07/28/2016 3:12:24 PM PDT by dp0622 (The only thing an upper crust conservative hates more than a liberal is a middle class conservative)
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

There are a few things these models don’t seem to factor in.

Millions of illegals voting

Electronic voting machines being tampered with

Other ways of cheating

There is no way this administration is going to hand over power to Trump. They already rigged the democrat primaries, so we know what they are capable of. They will do whatever it takes including steal the election.


42 posted on 07/28/2016 3:19:00 PM PDT by AC86UT89
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To: Donglalinger

LOL! Like my brother says, she has the same voice as a parrot! LOL LOL! When he said that I couldn’t stop laughing for half an hour, she DOES has a voice like a parrot! If you trained a parrot to say “WHAT DIFFERENCE DOES IT MAKE” it would sound JUST like her!


43 posted on 07/28/2016 3:19:09 PM PDT by GrandJediMasterYoda (By His wounds we are healed.)
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To: Red Badger

What’s that from?


44 posted on 07/28/2016 3:31:21 PM PDT by EEGator
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To: nwrep

Interesting perspective. BTW, I resemble your remark, lol


45 posted on 07/28/2016 3:33:29 PM PDT by indcons (Blue Lives Matter.)
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To: LS
What say you, FRiend? :-)

I'm worried about October surprises, voter fraud, and I hope Julian Assange didn't hack the RNC. Is it really possible to predict any U.S. election anymore?

46 posted on 07/28/2016 4:47:21 PM PDT by nutmeg (Hillary's Lies Matter)
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To: nutmeg

Entirely likely.

If the election were today, I think Trump would win. By November, he may win really big.

But there can be surprises, and I think the biggest x factor is Bill Clinton’s health.


47 posted on 07/28/2016 5:03:57 PM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually" (Hendrix))
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

This isn’t a “change election”. This a “we despise the permanent political establishment and we want to beat them within an inch of their worthless lives election”. If they only lose their position of power, they got off easy.


48 posted on 07/28/2016 5:12:25 PM PDT by upsdriver (I support Sarah Palin.)
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To: P-Marlowe

“I think there’s a lot of money to be made by betting on Trump”

I’ve got a cool grand riding on Trump on Predictit.com: I’ll win a dollar for every 34 cents I bet, clearing $2000.00.

I’m NOT a betting person, not in the least, but I consider this a sure bet, and besides if I lose, our country is done anyway and nothing really matters anymore.

BTW, the odds are insanely skewed against Trump because I suspect most of the money is being wagered by clueless Europeans.


49 posted on 07/28/2016 6:01:47 PM PDT by catnipman (Cat Nipman: Vote Republican in 2012 and only be called racist one more time!)
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To: Red Badger

OK what movie or tv show is that from?


50 posted on 07/28/2016 6:12:02 PM PDT by WildHighlander57 ((WildHighlander57, returning after lurking since 2000)
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To: P-Marlowe

LOL

I wish I had bet a $1000, but no, this was a one-time “call” on the words of an otherwise pretty smart guy who loudly proclaimed that he bet that Hillary would get elected and offered 10-1 odds on his prediction. Two of us took him up on it for $100 apiece.


51 posted on 07/28/2016 6:14:24 PM PDT by T. Rustin Noone (the angels wanna wear my red shoes......)
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To: nwrep

He’s applying numbers to what has been a very common argument on this board.


52 posted on 07/28/2016 7:11:18 PM PDT by lepton ("It is useless to attempt to reason a man out of a thing he was never reasoned into"--Jonathan Swift)
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To: WildHighlander57

I didn’t post it, but I think they’re the vampire babes from the Hugh Jackman Van Helsing film that came out about ten years ago.


53 posted on 07/28/2016 8:27:29 PM PDT by Mermaid Girl
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To: upsdriver

What do you mean “...we want to beat them within an inch of their worthless lives...?”

Whatever happened to hanging? How about drawing and quartering?


54 posted on 07/28/2016 9:33:39 PM PDT by Ancesthntr ("The right to buy weapons the right to be free." A. E. van Vogt)
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To: WildHighlander57

I think it’s from the movie “Van Helsing”

http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0338526/


55 posted on 07/29/2016 6:05:38 AM PDT by Red Badger (Make America AMERICA again!.........................)
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To: EEGator

http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0338526/


56 posted on 07/29/2016 6:06:15 AM PDT by Red Badger (Make America AMERICA again!.........................)
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To: LS

I wouldn’t put it past Hillary to have Bill offed just before election day if she felt it would give her enough of a sympathy bump to cross the finish line.


57 posted on 07/29/2016 7:10:05 AM PDT by Vigilanteman (ObaMao: Fake America, Fake Messiah, Fake Black man. How many fakes can you fit into one Zer0?)
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To: Vigilanteman

Nor would I. That’s why I mentioned it.

Or, she could merely suggest that “Gee, wouldn’t it be terrible if . . . “ and one of her henchmen, understanding Cankles-speak, would act.


58 posted on 07/29/2016 7:41:16 AM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually" (Hendrix))
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
Donald Trump will kick the bitches ass!!!
59 posted on 07/29/2016 8:47:04 AM PDT by AngelesCrestHighway
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

“Who can forget Tom Dewey defeating Harry Truman in 1948 polls — until he didn’t? Or Michael Dukakis leading George H.W. Bush in 1988 by 17 points this time of year? Or Mitt Romney edging Barack Obama in the final Gallup poll four years ago?”

Why leave out the biggie — Jimmy Carter, with pols showing he was poised to win reelection because Ronald Reagan was so hated by the voters?


60 posted on 07/29/2016 11:50:17 AM PDT by Heart of Georgia (#neverhellary)
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