The New Red Wall?

National Review ^ | 11/22/16 | Jeremy Carl

[randita]

In 2016 the path to victory for the GOP ran through the Midwest, and this may remain true for some time.

Over Labor Day weekend in 2015, four months before the first primary votes were cast in Iowa, a somewhat obscure policy analyst and strategist wrote a confidential memo to a presidential campaign he was informally advising. He outlined what he believed was the path to victory for the GOP in the 2016 presidential election, based on election simulations he had run using a couple of publicly available models. He attacked the GOP

[Alberta's Child]

I never understood the GOP’s fixation on pandering to Hispanics. For all the talk about demographic changes in the U.S., the final election results will likely show that more than 70% of the votes were cast by white people.

[jjotto]

Iowa is a state that has become more conservative overall. Likely other states are too.

Lost in all the BS over changing demographics is the fact that the demographics of native-born American citizens (the kind who vote) are changing much more slowly than the MSM-Government Complex claims or desires. Another ‘Great Awakening’ now would still be in time to preserve the American heritage.

[AndyJackson]

Has National Review seen the writing on the NY Times wall and realized that if it does not start facing some stark realities it is destined for obscurity and irrelevance. This is actually a pretty good article, for once, though the author, I note, is not a NR writer, but at the Hoover Institute.

And he nails it, that the Republican party was doing the bidding, not of the voters, but of the Chamber of Commerce attempting to win legal voters by pushing for a further influx of illegal aliens (who vote, if they follow Obama's direction).

[pieceofthepuzzle]

“And he nails it, that the Republican party was doing the bidding, not of the voters, but of the Chamber of Commerce attempting to win legal voters by pushing for a further influx of illegal aliens (who vote, if they follow Obama’s direction).”

Yes. Ironically, although many Republicans recognize how the Democrats have used minorities without actually helping them, the same has been happening to them by the Republican establishment.

[AndyJackson]

the Republican establishment

The big difference is that the Democrats actually want to govern, even if they can't. I have seen no evidence that Republicans want to govern. McConnell's and Ryan's / Boehner's philosophy seems to have been, you guys go do that. Just give us our cut and we're good.

It's just part of the crony capitialist backed nihilism of diversity. We all really stand for nothing. Now, pay us off please.

[pieceofthepuzzle]

“We all really stand for nothing. Now, pay us off please.”

Unfortunately, you’ve probably hit the nail on the head.

[GOPJ]

Democrats are a 'two prong' party: white liberal elites propped up by a sea of black African-American voters. That's now changing into a 'majority black' party...

Blacks push for inclusion when 'they're' being included but fall back to 'tribal mode' when dealing with other minority groups. Blacks (unlike white liberal elites) seldom push for 'rights or advantages' for Native Americans or Hispanics or any other minority groups.

The End Result?

Non-black minority voters - Hispanics, Native Americans, Asians, Native Hawaiians and other Pacific Islanders etc will gravitate toward the Republican Party.

[stremba]

Republicans cannot and do not win elections by being Democrats in disguise. McCain and Romney were good examples of this. Republicans win when, like Trump, they actually stand for conservative principles like border security.

Pandering to minorities doesn’t work; that’s what Democrats do. The minorities will never vote for Republicans who pander to them. Dems do the pandering thing much better. If you want minority votes, you need to go after the ones that are not just looking for handouts. You do that with the same policies that you use to win working class and midfle class white voters, namely low tax, pro-growth policies that lead to more and better economic opportunity for ALL Americans.

Some minorities, and to be honest probably most, will not be swayed. Some will, however, and combined with invcreasing numbers of white voters, it’s a winning formula. It also has the benefit of being good for the country.

[Lurkinanloomin]

The 2012 post-mortem was designed to convince us that amnesty was our only option. The Cheap Labor Express had a stranglehold on the GOP.

[Uncle Sam 911]

You’re hired!

[KC_Conspirator]

The Chamber of Commerce became the Chamber of Cheap Illegal Labor sometime during the Bush years. Sad.

[wildbill]

The first time I heard this theory/strategy was from Ann Coulter. She hasn’t been featured here on FR for some reason but she is pretty astute and can debate any liberal into the ground.

[comebacknewt]

Or, blacks break apart and form their own third party.

Either way works out well for our side.

[GOPJ]

The democrat Party IS black. It's just blacks and elite whites didn't figure it out until recently.

The Republican Party was ‘trump’ before Trump arrived on the scene... We didn't know it and the Republican Establishment didn't know it - well, until just recently.

[GOPJ]

The democrat Party IS black. It's just that blacks and elite whites didn't figure it out until recently.

The Republican Party was ‘trump’ before Trump arrived on the scene... We didn't know it and the Republican Establishment didn't know it - well, until just recently.