Skip to comments.Blue Wave Check: Cruz Now Up Double Digits Over Beto In Quinnipiac
Posted on 05/31/2018 8:04:03 AM PDT by mandaladon
The big blue wave may have already crested, according to numbers coming out of Texas today in a US Senate race that has attracted a lot of media attention. Democrat Beto ORourke has been boosted as the kind of Democrat who can compete in deep-red states like Texas in his challenge to incumbent Republican Sen. Ted Cruz. And for a while, that looked like it might be true; an early April poll from Quinnipiac had the race within the margin of error.
So what happened? Quinnipiac cites a nationwide Republican mini-move over the last few weeks, thanks in part to an improvement in Donald Trumps performance rating. He went from 43/52 in April to 47/47 now, which certainly looks as if it has lifted all boats in Texas. Cruz has also improved his job approval rating, which stands at 52/39 after an eyebrow-raising 47/45 in April. That improved standing has perhaps shown up mostly among independent voters. In early April, he trailed 37/51, but today the split among indies as 41/43, a virtual tie.
Incumbents usually need to get to 50% to feel secure in their re-election bids. The fact that its still an issue for Cruz in deep-red Texas suggests that more work needs to be done, but Republicans appear to be gaining momentum across the board. Greg Abbott is running for re-election as governor, and his lead over Dallas County Sheriff Lupe Valdez went from 49/40 in April to 53/34. Abbott is now leading in most demos, including among women (48/40) against a female candidate.
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I see “Beto” signs all over the place around my college area of my large city, and in the “artsy” district. But my county will go overwhelmingly for Cruz.
So what happened?
Gee, I dunno. Could some of it be from Beto signing on to a semi-auto ban? Stupid is as stupid Dems do.
Goodbye to the Beto-male.
Cruz will cruise. Dreams of a Democrat Texas continue to be elusive for the communist party.
Loved some of the comments. “Dildo Beto” is a keeper.
A double-digit lead for the Republican candidate, particularly the incumbent, is what I expect to see more of come mid-October when polling outfits try once again to salvage their reputations.
The only thing I know about Beto is he loves to use the F word in public, in his campaign rally’s and interviews. That may play well in the liberal communities and college campuses but it is a huge turn off for average Texans.
There is one house on my block with a Beto yard sign. We recently had city elections and while there were signs for the mayoral candidates in various yards, this one doofus was still sporting his Beto sign, which he has had since the primary. There are no signs for other candidates in my neighborhood (including my yard).
Quinnipiac wow I wonder what the real spread is.
Cruz always was comfortably ahead of this “Beto.” Any polls showing otherwise were fake. And Cruz playing along with them was purely for fundraising.
Hispanics will vote for Hispanics and Cruz has the right kind of name. No statewide offices in Texas had a Hispanic surname elected to office previously, that I can recall meaning Senators and Governor.
Amazing how a D trend is a Blue wave and an R trend is a mini-move.
The longer you don’t hear the names Mitch McConnell or Paul Ryan in the news, the better Republicans do in polls.
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