Then why the irrelevancy?
You’re also aware that Estes won the special election by just 6% ?
So MSNBC loves to crow about and wave as evidence of their blue wave. I'm mildly surprised you sign on to it. Look, it was a special election without an incumbent. There were 122,000 total votes cast for all three candidates; Pompeo won his last re-election with 167,000 votes alone. It is indicative of nothing. Estes, either one, will win by double digits in the fall.
In any event, I wouldn’t be making comments like yours, especially when the seat was held for a good stretch by the Democrats in the recent era, and the Republican candidates for Congress (like Estes and even Tiahrt) have badly underperformed.
Well I'm not you.
I don’t know why you’re acting so hostile and defensive. I merely pointed out your comment was ill-advised and gave you specific stats and figures to underline why. I analyze races all over the country, both present and historic. KS-4, on paper, SHOULD be solid for a Republican nominee, but it’s not impossible for a Democrat, as they have been known to overperform in the district.
As for MSNBC, I couldn’t give a damn. I don’t watch mindless brain rot fake news. I analyze real facts and figures. As for their suggestion of a “Blue” (sic) wave (note I don’t play those Orwellian newspeak colors game. Red is the color of the far-left party, thank you), anyone can make a claim that the midterms for the party in the White House can go against them. Whether it does depends on the political climate. Since the 1970s, Carter’s ‘78 midterms barely registered a blip, Reagan’s ‘82 midterms was an utter fiasco for the GOP (both based on the fact that the economic upturn wasn’t reported (however conveniently) until AFTER the elections and the Dems controlled redistricting in virtually every state), Bush’s ‘90 midterms was status quo, Bubba’s in ‘94 was the first Dem Congressional loss in 42 years, Dubya’s in ‘02 managed to reclaim the Senate thanks to the Funerally for Wellstone, Zero’s in ‘10 lost the House.
Personally, I expect there will be Senate gains and perhaps some mild House losses. That might change and the latter remains a status quo with considerable Senate gains (perhaps 6 seats or more).