Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

2018: Democrats lead GOP by 12 million registered voters, 40% D, 29% R, 28% I
Washington Examiner ^ | July 13, 2018 | Paul Bedard

Posted on 07/13/2018 2:22:05 PM PDT by yesthatjallen

Democrats hold a massive voter lead in states that require party registration, a gap of 12 million that could be key to whether the party takes control of the House and Senate in the fall midterm congressional elections, according to a new analysis.

Overall, 40 percent of voters in 31 party registration states are Democrats, 29 percent are Republicans, and 28 percent are independents, according to a new report of July numbers from the University of Virginia’s Center for Politics. The states include several with key battles over House seats such as California, New York, Florida, and Pennsylvania.

The lead is significant, said Rhodes Cook’s analysis in Center Director Larry Sabato’s “Crystal Ball” newsletter, because in the past presidential election the majority party in 24 of the 31 states won, especially among Republican states.

In 2016, Trump won 11 of 12 majority Republican states, and took six of 19 Democratic states, said the analysis.

Of note, some of the states with registered Democrat advantages, like Louisiana, Kentucky, and West Virginia, have been functionally Republican at the presidential level for at least 15 years, said Kyle Kondik, the managing editor of the Crystal Ball.

That could be good news for the Republicans in the upcoming election, a sign that just being majority Democrat does not mean voters are in lock step, said the report which highlighted the growth of independent voters.

But it also noted that as the nation becomes more partisan, declaring party membership is an affirmative political stand.

“With the growth in independents, many voters seem to be saying to the two major parties: ‘a pox on both your houses,’” wrote Cook.

ETC...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; US: California; US: Florida; US: Kentucky; US: Louisiana; US: New York; US: Pennsylvania; US: West Virginia
KEYWORDS: 2018election; 2018midterms; 2020election; california; chart; democrats; election2018; election2020; florida; graphic; kentucky; louisiana; newyork; pennsylvania; republicans; westvirginia
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-4041-6061-8081-93 next last

1 posted on 07/13/2018 2:22:05 PM PDT by yesthatjallen
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: yesthatjallen

How many are illegals?

How many are dead?

How many are double-registered?


2 posted on 07/13/2018 2:23:31 PM PDT by BenLurkin (The above is not a statement of fact. It is either satire or opinion. Or both.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: yesthatjallen

It’s the delta that’s important.


3 posted on 07/13/2018 2:24:03 PM PDT by Drango (A liberal's compassion is limited only by the size of someone else's wallet.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: BenLurkin

And how much of a lead was there in 2016, and does such a lead really matter?


4 posted on 07/13/2018 2:25:17 PM PDT by Olog-hai ("No Republican, no matter how liberal, is going to woo a Democratic vote." -- Ronald Reagan, 1960)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: yesthatjallen

did you know that 126 million people voted in 2016. This data is meaningless— 12 million?? what a joke.


5 posted on 07/13/2018 2:25:37 PM PDT by raiderboy (Trump has assured us that he will shut down the government to get the WALL in Sept.ith the solar)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: yesthatjallen

Were American history properly taught in school this would not be the case.


6 posted on 07/13/2018 2:25:57 PM PDT by Ouchthatonehurt
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: yesthatjallen

Democrats register anyone with a pulse, and at times I think their lax on verification of the pulse. Their task is getting all those registered people to show up at the polls, since they only registered to shut a Democrat operative up.

Republicans register folks who seek them out to register. Generally, they can’t prevent their folks from voting, unless it’s a Bush or a McCain, at which point they go fishing instead.


7 posted on 07/13/2018 2:26:04 PM PDT by DoughtyOne (Take a look out there folks. Can you see evidence of a Left Wing Hate Group, perhaps fascist too?)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: LS

Ping.


8 posted on 07/13/2018 2:26:51 PM PDT by Black Agnes
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 6 | View Replies]

To: yesthatjallen

Why didn’t Hillary win by 500% then? Like Strock said she should have won 100 million to one! So I guess we’ll be seeing a huge blue wave in November then...or not.


9 posted on 07/13/2018 2:27:59 PM PDT by bigbob (Trust Sessions. Trust the Plan.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: yesthatjallen

The numbers for years has been R40 D40 and I20. Where these numbers coming from? Trying to rally the troops?


10 posted on 07/13/2018 2:28:26 PM PDT by joshua c (To disrupt the system, we must disrupt our lives. Do nothing and we lose.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: yesthatjallen

This is a perfect example of one of those ‘worthless stats’........In The South it is common for people to register opposite of their actual political beliefs so that they can vote in the opposite primary for a losing candidate.............


11 posted on 07/13/2018 2:28:42 PM PDT by Red Badger (July 2018 - the month the world discovered the TRUTH......Q Anon)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: yesthatjallen

Golly, I thought we had fifty States (not 32). And not 57? Democrat math is so confusing.


12 posted on 07/13/2018 2:29:14 PM PDT by katana
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: yesthatjallen

I like what the Democrats are doing to the independent voter. Many independents are conservative to begin with and the crazies on the left will drive many more “I” to the “R” column.


13 posted on 07/13/2018 2:29:32 PM PDT by Gahanna Bob
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: DoughtyOne

Why is SC not on there either which has many more republicans?


14 posted on 07/13/2018 2:29:42 PM PDT by manc ( If they want so called marriage equality then they should support polygamy too.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 7 | View Replies]

To: raiderboy

Read the first sentence of the article.


15 posted on 07/13/2018 2:29:54 PM PDT by TexasGator (Z1)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 5 | View Replies]

To: Olog-hai

If it’s not by congressional district, it’s not really meaningful. It might be more applicable for Senate seats.


16 posted on 07/13/2018 2:30:19 PM PDT by Repealthe17thAmendment
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: yesthatjallen
I'm part of the 28% I's.

Used to be R but after 15 years of disappointment seeong R's get elected and fail to fix anything changed to I.

Suspect a large percentage of I's are like me?

17 posted on 07/13/2018 2:30:37 PM PDT by TruthWillWin ([MSM])
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: yesthatjallen

well, 8 million of those are in CA, NJ,MA and NY. Big deal.


18 posted on 07/13/2018 2:31:04 PM PDT by martinidon
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: katana

Notice most states missing like SC, AL, MS are mostly republican and not on there?
Are we not supposed to notice that?


19 posted on 07/13/2018 2:31:12 PM PDT by manc ( If they want so called marriage equality then they should support polygamy too.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 12 | View Replies]

To: katana

“Democrat math is so confusing.”

You do realize we previously had an idiot pretending to be president who STATED we had 57 states. My math and history says 50. Of course I’m just a stoopid honky rightwing conservative...


20 posted on 07/13/2018 2:31:29 PM PDT by beergarden
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 12 | View Replies]


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first 1-2021-4041-6061-8081-93 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson