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An all out media blitz is on to convince people to vote against Trump. They have to keep the Dem voters engaged, and they are desperate to get blacks to vote for the plantation masters.

Which tells me they KNOW they are behind. Badly...

1 posted on 08/16/2018 3:34:12 PM PDT by tcrlaf
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To: tcrlaf

LOL! 538 has not a single atom of credibility left after their Shillary predictions.


2 posted on 08/16/2018 3:37:13 PM PDT by VictoryGal (Never give up, never surrender!)
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To: tcrlaf

The electorate is not unhappy with Pres Trump, only the press.

I suspect little or no R losses and few D gains.


3 posted on 08/16/2018 3:37:50 PM PDT by urbanpovertylawcenter (the law and poverty collide in an urban setting and sparks fly)
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To: tcrlaf

They might just win, especially when they vote early and often.


4 posted on 08/16/2018 3:38:18 PM PDT by bgill (CDC site, "We don't know how people are infected with Ebola.")
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To: tcrlaf

I will take bets that the Republicans retain control of the House. America isn’t the Media.


5 posted on 08/16/2018 3:38:29 PM PDT by fhayek
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To: tcrlaf

If GOP doesn’t start talking to folks outside their core traditional base, they will lose the house... so far they have shown they don’t even want to try to talk to the non traditional MAGA voter... and without them, they are going to lose a lot of purple and pink districts this fall.

The only hope the GOP has is the Dems so overplaying their hand that the Non traditional voters show up just to spite them.. because the GOP is not giving them a message or reason to show up


7 posted on 08/16/2018 3:40:00 PM PDT by HamiltonJay
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To: tcrlaf

This is really the meddling in the election. Attempting to discourage us from voting.


8 posted on 08/16/2018 3:41:18 PM PDT by ealgeone
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To: tcrlaf

90% chance Hillary would win 11/08/2016...

These folks love to write checks their ass can’t cash.


11 posted on 08/16/2018 3:46:52 PM PDT by DoughtyOne (01/26/18 DJIA 30 stocks $26,616.71 48.794% > open 11/07/16 215.71 from 50% increase 1.2183 yrs)
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To: tcrlaf

Wow, less than the odds of Hillary winning, LOL.


12 posted on 08/16/2018 3:51:54 PM PDT by dangerdoc
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To: tcrlaf

This is great news!

it’s less than the 99% chance hilLIARy was going to win!


13 posted on 08/16/2018 3:53:04 PM PDT by Mr. K (No consequence of repealing Obamacare is worse than Obamacare itself.)
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To: tcrlaf

didn’t 538 predict that Hillary Clinton had a 90 percent chance of winning in 2016? Just another dem feel good operation


14 posted on 08/16/2018 3:53:51 PM PDT by euram
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To: tcrlaf

538.com

The same pinheads that said Hillary had the 2016 election at 71.4% to Trump at 28.6%.


16 posted on 08/16/2018 3:55:21 PM PDT by CodeToad ( Hating on Trump is hating on me and America!)
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To: tcrlaf

538. The same clown Silver who got it LUCKY in 2012 and became the darling of the leftard crowd.

DID NOT GUESS CORRECTLY the remaining 4 elections afterwards. Lost credibility but has a thick skin and remains an ass clown saying his numbers were “not exact”.


17 posted on 08/16/2018 3:55:21 PM PDT by beergarden
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To: tcrlaf

LOL!! These guys could not hit the broadside of a barn from point blank range.


19 posted on 08/16/2018 3:56:40 PM PDT by DarthVader ("The biggest misconception on Free Republic is that the Deep State is invulnerable")
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To: tcrlaf

And a 95% chance that Hillary would be the president.


20 posted on 08/16/2018 3:56:59 PM PDT by Kozak (DIVERSITY+PROXIMITY=CONFLICT)
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To: tcrlaf

About 15% less chance than Hillary had?


21 posted on 08/16/2018 3:57:46 PM PDT by Raycpa
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To: tcrlaf

Chance Democrats get to 205... 210....215?


22 posted on 08/16/2018 4:00:30 PM PDT by SMGFan ( .)
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To: tcrlaf

I just want to know what President Hillary says about this.


23 posted on 08/16/2018 4:01:02 PM PDT by Yaelle
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To: tcrlaf

I’m going to make a mid-term election prediction using the same methodology as 538dotcom. Hmmmmmm, Hmmmmmmm, ok I’m thinking about it. Aha, I’ve got it; There is a 100% chance that the R’s pick up 10 to 15 House seats and they also pick up 6 to 12 Senate seats. See how easy that was. I’ll also predict that there is a 110% chance that my prediction is more accurate than their’s.


26 posted on 08/16/2018 4:03:37 PM PDT by fatman6502002 ((The Team The Team The Team - Bo Schembechler circa 1969))
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To: tcrlaf

What certainty do we have GOP will win most of these 25?

https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/25-districts-that-could-decide-the-house-in-2018/


27 posted on 08/16/2018 4:03:56 PM PDT by SMGFan ( .)
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To: tcrlaf

Here’s something to think about, if you keep track of the internals of these polls that keep showing the Dems with a large generic ballot lead for the House. Start taking notice of the size of the D sample, they have to keep adding dems to the sample in order to keep that lead. Also the fact that Trump is now favored by 39% of black people. If the R’s ever get just 20% of the black vote the Dems cannot win, in fact they would get swamped in any election, Presidential or mid-term or off year or special elections. At that point it would be over for the Dems.


30 posted on 08/16/2018 4:07:59 PM PDT by fatman6502002 ((The Team The Team The Team - Bo Schembechler circa 1969))
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