Posted on 09/19/2018 6:59:49 AM PDT by 11th_VA
fine. let’s hope the Rs are under represented in the poll and Heller the sometimes RINO is up by 10 or more.
Brace yourself for months of post-election media analysis that “the voters of this country are just a bunch of damned bigots and racists”.
Great News! Especially coming from Ralston, who is absolute scum
Hey LS, I’m doing some stuff behind the scenes with New Mexico people and Gary Johnson versus Martin Heinrich. I know, Johnson is a flake, but much better than Heinrich and the Repub has zero chance. This might be a sleeper to watch.
Hint, Joule Unlimited run by John Podesta and funded by Putin’s Rusnano had their pilot plant in Hobbs New Mexico.
Absolutely this is coming.
Yet, on the good side, this is itself more cheese in the maze.
Brace yourself for months of post-election media analysis that “the voters of this country are just a bunch of damned bigots and racists”.
Oh c’mon, that’s so 2016. In the event that the blue wave doesn’t make it to shore, the narrative will be that this is proof that the Russians have hacked the election.
That’s why we are going to start seeing a bunch of bogus media polls showing a blue wave leading right up to the election. Stoke the narrative after the loss.
...just watch. Calls for election reform and liberals rioting in the streets.
The Lord surely knows that for all the evil in this nation — mostly embodied by the political Left — America is still the last best hope.
We can win this, but only with His help.
I heard one “prophet”-—and I know, a prophet is only valid if his word comes true AND is in line with the Word-—say that we are in a time of judgment and that the judgment of the libs is that they are “being given over completely” to their craziness and literally are going insane.
This is similar to what Rush has been saying for a while. I just found that interesting. Hard to argue with that.
“Whom the gods would destroy, they first make mad.”
I always thought that was from Shakespeare. It turns out that it was Henry Wadsworth Longfellow.
More
Another in MN that has Erik Paulsen down big, PPP has it 52-39 Bad turnout model?
Leonard Lance only down 3 in NJ despite heavy fire. Monmouth
CT Governor (Sacred Heart Univ): Red Ned Lamont (D) 43%, Bob Stefanowski (R) 37%, Others 4%
I heard this Paulsen number. PPP is a D pollster, and the guys in MN think this is pretty close.
Is Lance an incumbent?
Saw SC5 the R said something about sexual abuse & opponent attacked, except opponent himself has been charged with sexual abuse!
Was this on the list of “lost” seats? I guess there is one in IA (not King’s) that is considered a loss. That brings me to 8-9 sure losses, but 2 pickups, for a net of 6-8. Not seeing 23 no matter how I do the math.
NV4 right now is a tossup.
Antonio Sabato hasn’t done polling in 3 months, thinks he’s only down 5 if that in CA26.
“is Lance an incumbent?”
Yes. NJ-7. The open seats in NJ are C-11 and CD-2. CD-2 looks like a sure loss.
I just saw a poll in IA-1 that had Rod Blum (R) down big but I wouldn’t write him off.
Which do you have losses?
In SC-5 Ralph Norman (R) made a joke that Ruth B-G claimed she’s was groped by Abe Lincoln. His rat opponent beat his wife or something. That’a rematch of last year’s special election, which was close. Should be totally safe this time.
Except in SC5 the opponent IS an abuser . . . .
So you have NJ2 a flip, and NJ7 a flip? Yes, I counted IA1, FL27, 3 in PA (although hearing that one may be coming around), Coffman in CO, Comstock in VA. That’s 9. There are two MN D-R flips. That’s 7. Let’s toss in 2 from CA for good measure. Back to 9.
Where are the other losses? NY19 now safe. King appears safe in IA. Roskam and Bost appear safe in IL, but close. Yost, I’m told by Kansans, is safe, and the other KS seat, the D Davis just got hit with the same porn charges that did in his governor race.Faso already had a lead, and Diane Neal now in as the whackjob workers candidate who will siphon off D votes. BTW, ALL NY districts how have the worker party siphoning votes. All three TX seats are now safe. OH GOP thinks both OH GOP seats are safe. Andy Barr in KY is polling ahead. Young Kim in CA39 now 10 points up. Callifornians think Rohrabacher is safe, could lose Issa’s seat.
So where are you seeing a net 13 more flips?
Still flippable to us: McSally, NV4, a couple of CA races. Baris isn’t quite ruling out the possibility we may hold FL27. NV 4 a tossup, and that would be a flip to us. Antonio Sabato in CA26 thinks he’s easily within 5 and will win. The third MN district was thought flippable-—while the R is polling well behind, surprisingly Minnesotans all think this race is still tight. So I see an additional 2-3 flips to us.
I’m not at all convinced we’ll lose NJ-7.
In NJ-2 our candidate said some racial stuff that got him disavowed by the party. Poll out has him (Seth Grossman) down huge. Seems like a certain loss, along with 2 court-gerrymandered seats in PA (districts 5 and 6). Other than those 3 I’m not sure I’d write off any other seat. I think Comstock (VA) will probably lose but she certainly has a chance.
NRCC cancelled all remaining ads for Keith Rothfus in his race against Connor Lambchop. I think that’s a mistake. A politico article about that
Alleges the party also views Comstock, Paulsen, and Blum (who they haven’t been funding at all) as lost causes.
I’d call FL-27 50/50 at this point. Gun to my head and I’d say we hold it.
Some better news in IA, the lone rat in the delegation Loesbeck (District 2) is up only 6 in a new poll.
Certain R gain is PA 14 (which Lambchop is abandoning to run against Rothfus) and MN-1 and MN-8 are likely gains
Possible Gain I think is getting less attention than it should is PA-8 (Cartwright) might be the next best target after the 2 open seats in MN.
“Still flippable to us: McSally, “
McSallys seat is currently occupied by...McSally so we obviously can’t flip what we already have. ;)
I think that the open NH-01, NV-01 and NV-02 are all likelier pickups for us than Cartwright’s PA-08.
I agree that Lance will be reelected, but NJ-02 is gone; we lost that one when Grossman won the nomination.
And I think that we’ll hold FL-27. We’re running an attractive, popular Cuban-Americsn with outstanding communication skills in Spanish and English, and they’re running Donna Shalala.
NV-2 and 3 you mean (NV-1 is the Vegas seat_, yes you’re right those 2 open seats are strong targets.
I think Cartwright might be the most vulnerable rat incumbent (not including Lambchop).
Her house district which she is not running for.
Oops, it should be NV-03 (the suburban seat that Rosen is vacating and for which Tark is running) and NV-04 (the North Las Vegas/Cow Counties CD where we’ll get a Hardy/Horsford rematch).
Haha, I tried to correct you and got it wrong myself, classic!
Well, to be fair, you probably didn’t expect me to have gotten *both* district numbers wrong. : )
(A partial explanation for my screw-up: I had written a reply and it all got erased before I hit submit, so I rewrote everything without really thinking it through.)
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