Skip to comments.Ted Cruz vs. Beto O'Rourke | How poll results can be so different
Posted on 09/20/2018 4:13:50 AM PDT by a fool in paradise
There are now conflicting polls in the race to represent Texas in the U.S. Senate. On Tuesday, Quinnipiac University released a poll showing Ted Cruz with a nine-point lead. But Wednesday, an Ipsos poll put Beto O'Rourke up by two points...
...Tuesday, Cruz was up by nine points in the polls and then Wednesday, a different poll had O'Rourke up by two points. That's a significant shift because Wednesday's poll is the first to give O'Rourke the the lead...
...But how can the polls have such different results?
"There are different polling techniques," said Sherri Greenberg , Clinical Professor at the LBJ School of Public Affairs at the University of Texas Austin.
An important thing to know about both polls is the Quinnipiac University Poll, that has Cruz up by nine points, and the Ipsos Poll, that gives O'Rourke a two-point lead, can't be compared to polls we've seen in the past because of who the researchers are polling.
"Up to this point, most, if not all the polls, have been of registered voters," explained Jim Henson, director of the Texas Politics Project at the UT. "This is a poll of likely voters in which polling companies use different methods of, if you will, filtering the pool of voters that most of us have been polling through spring and summer to begin to try to make a judgment about who is more likely to show up and actually vote on election day."
So, the pollsters likely have different criteria for who's likely to vote.
Another factor is how the poll is conducted. Quinnipiac pollsters called people, while the Ipsos poll was done online...
(Excerpt) Read more at kvue.com ...
If your a democrat then your a likely voter. If your a republican then but are you really going to show up and vote and vote for an R? Nope not a likely voter.
Online = Unreliable
The young folks working for “research firms” who have called me about the matter won’t be calling me back. They were educated after the call.
Liberal projection and suppression of votes is proof Nov elections will be like 2016 PDJT election.
Al Reuters was behind the fake poll and it gave them the headlines they wanted with Beta “in the lead”.
Online = out of state/twitterbots/netrage
Online was the “base” for Howard Dean...
Its a online poll of anyone like kids or foreigners ...
Its useless dog crap.
Reuters used the same garbage poll to spit out that FLA GOV poll that is so wildly off and Left Wing The Hill spread far and wide thanks to Drudge ! Drudge is a fake poll and news broadcaster . Reuters pulled the same push poll games during Brexit and was 20 pts off .
Its called psych ops thru push polling .
correct and I made sure to look for an article that discussed what Reuters was doing without giving Reuters the fake “Pinto Leads!” headline they were seeking.
We need Laws to stop this Corruption of out Elections.
These fraudulent polls need to be stopped .
They are put of control .
Reuters just makes stuff and calls it a Poll and Drudge will do his part.
Polls always reflect the opinion of those paying for them. Mostly polls are 🐂💩.
Polls are all propaganda. Since the Brown SHirt MEdia controls most polls and gets to interpret literally all of them is anyone surprised they all have a 7-8 point libtard bias?
Pollster: "Wow the media is saying how fired up democrats are to go out and vote while Republicans don't like their candidates and are going to sit at home, I better adjust my sample of democrats up by another 10%"
Media: Wow the pollsters now show democrats SURGING since their last poll, we better do a report on how fired up they are compared to Republicans." (Rinse and Repeat)
Id heard about that Ipsos poll yesterday. The fact its done online completely invalidates it.
Fakebook is okay with this Fake News designed to influence political elections
At my local YMCA, one of the guys I hang out with in the weight room does polls for a living.
I asked him, “Why are pollsters usually so wrong about political stuff?”
He told me “A lot of pollsters ask the wrong people the questions. For example, let’s say that I want to know who is going to be the president the next election. Before I ask you who will you vote for, I will first ask you these questions:
Did you vote in the 2016 election? Did you vote in the 2012 election? Did you vote in the 2008 election? Did you vote in the 2004 election?”
He went on to say, “Only if someone tells me they have voted for the last four presidental elections will I ask them who they intend to vote for in the coming election.”
Made sense to me, and explains why all these online polls are lousy.
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