NHC forecasts possible Hurricane Michael in NE Gulf of Mexico by Tuesday or Wednesday

National Hurricane Center ^ | 10/7/2018 | National Hurricane Center

[varina davis]

National Hurricane Center is forecasting the possibility of a Hurricane in the NE Gulf of Mexico by Tuesday or Wednesday. It would be Hurricane Michael. Landfill is uncertain, but appears to be headed toward Florida Panhandle/Alabama Coasts.

[Parley Baer]

Joe Bastardi has been on it for a week.

[tomkat]

Landfill is uncertain

Prolly won't fit.

[freedom1st]

Joe’s the best.

[hercuroc]

This Blue Wave will probably peter out too.

[Alas Babylon!]

Ping.

Do you believe it?

This is too close to Alabama. Had Opal in Oct 1995.

[varina davis]

“DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK

---

At 1000 AM CDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression
Fourteen was located near latitude 19.2 North, longitude 86.9 West.
The depression is moving toward the north near 6 mph (9 km/h). This
general motion with some increase in forward speed is expected
over the next few days. On the forecast track, the center will move
near the northeastern tip of the Yucatan Peninsula Monday morning,
and then across the eastern Gulf of Mexico late Monday through
Wednesday morning.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Strengthening is forecast during the next several days, and the
depression is expected to become a tropical storm later today. The
system could become a hurricane by Tuesday night or Wednesday.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches).” -— NHC Oct. 7 at 10 a.m .

[varina davis]

“DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK

---

At 1000 AM CDT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression
Fourteen was located near latitude 19.2 North, longitude 86.9 West.
The depression is moving toward the north near 6 mph (9 km/h). This
general motion with some increase in forward speed is expected
over the next few days. On the forecast track, the center will move
near the northeastern tip of the Yucatan Peninsula Monday morning,
and then across the eastern Gulf of Mexico late Monday through
Wednesday morning.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Strengthening is forecast during the next several days, and the
depression is expected to become a tropical storm later today. The
system could become a hurricane by Tuesday night or Wednesday.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches).” -— NHC Oct. 7 at 10 a.m .

[Right Wing Assault]

https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php

https://www.accuweather.com/en/hurricane/tracker

As much as I don’t like accuweather, they have a nice tracker.

Basin Atlantic. Storm fourteen.

(Their historical track is very cool. You can pick a basin, year, and storm. Sometimes it gets stuck. Just close it and start fresh.)

[Alas Babylon!]

[Raebie]

Just what NC needs...more rain.

[NautiNurse]

Yes, it is believable. NHC forecasts 80 mph winds at 72 hours. I’ll be posting a thread at the 5PM update.

[oldasrocks]

I object to a hurricane being named after me. Unless of course I could pick out the areas that actually needed flushed.

[Oldexpat]

Tropical storms have become major political events for the Rats to use to push their globull warming and anti Trump agenda. They are hoping disaster strikes.

[mabarker1]

Charlotte, NC needs a good flushing. God keeps trying but they’re bitter clingons down there.

[Rebelbase]

I like how he’s calling the disturbance headed towards the Carolinas a “sideshow”.

[Rebelbase]

You’re probably already heads up on this.

[blam]

"You’re probably already heads up on this."

Yup. Thanks.

I haven't put my shutters away for the year yet. Almost did Friday.