Posted on 10/09/2018 11:58:59 AM PDT by RevelationDavid
Methodology-——
A total of 1,009 adults were interviewed by telephone nationwide by live interviewers calling both landline and cell phones. Interviews were conducted in English and Spanish. Among the entire sample, 31% described themselves as Democrats, 25% described themselves as Republicans, and 44% described themselves as independents or members of another party.
All respondents were asked questions concerning basic demographics, and the entire sample was weighted to reflect national Census figures for gender, race, age, education, region of country, and telephone usage.
Results for the full sample have a margin of sampling error of +/- 3.8 percentage points. For the sample of 920 registered voters and adults who plan to register to vote before Election Day, it is +/- 4.0 percentage points. For the sample of 739 likely voters, it is +/- 4.4 percentage points.
Crosstabs on the following pages only include results for subgroups with enough unweighted cases to produce a sampling error of +/-8.5 percentage points or less once adjusted for design effect. Some subgroups represent too small a share of the national population to produce crosstabs with an acceptable sampling error. Interviews were conducted among these subgroups, but results for groups with a design-effect adjusted sampling error larger than +/-8.5 percentage points are not displayed and instead are denoted with “N/A”.
“They must think we’re all good now, going back to reading our bibles and plotting against taxes and illegal immigration....”
Actually, that’s their image of us rightwingers. They think we go home and talk to our guns and wear white hoods when we go to WalMart. Leftard Dummycraps are the dumbest people on earth.
PERFECT Meme....lol
Certainly Credible News.
CCN.
I want to see the results of the poll on election day.
All this is just propaganda, trying to energize the Dems to go vote.
But I hope Republicans are energized to turn up and VOTE, help president Trump MAGA.
The question that needs to be asked is:
Have the dems come up with a way to cheat here? (Whatever districts they are getting these results from.)
If they have come up with a way to cheat- they would need "polls" showing they are ahead, to cover up that they cheated.
Conspiracy Nuts Network
Yeh, check this out.
http://cdn.cnn.com/cnn/2018/images/10/09/rel9b.-.2018.midterms.pdf
> A total of 1,009 adults were interviewed by telephone nationwide by live interviewers calling both landline and cell phones. Interviews were conducted in English and Spanish. Among the entire sample, 31% described themselves as Democrats, 25% described themselves as Republicans, and 44% described themselves as independents or members of another party
Takeaways: they used every trick in the book to skew the results.
“Adults” (vs. the more reliable “likely voters”;
31D/25R/44I breakdown vs. Gallup’s 27/26/44. https://news.gallup.com/poll/15370/party-affiliation.aspx
Interviews conducted in Spanish.
I would bet that the sample is 60% female and younger than the electorate too since they mysteriously decline to print the M/F and age bracket percentages.
Surely cunun meant a 113% lead right?
Adults.
6% Dem bias.
3.8 MOE
“If they have come up with a way to cheat- they would need “polls” showing they are ahead, to cover up that they cheated. “
That doesnt even make any sense.
Worth repeating, with emphasis.
Well in deep red California, an unknown businessman, Cox, is 6 points behind Garvin Newsom, Kimberly Guilfoyle ex’s. Two weeks ago it was 12 point gap. If it’s 6 points here, no way America is going blue. It is going deeper red.
Oversampling of Democrats, usually by over polling heavily Democrat districts, is one way these are skewed. Population is concentrated in the major cities but Congress (nor the Presidency) is not determined by population concentration.
Maybe not in this poll but for 2016 one of the polling faults was assuming independents would break 8 or 10 points for the Democrats when the reality is independents break pretty close to the same ratio as party affiliation. They also over-sampled independents in most of those polls, probably on purpose because they knew that would “look fair” on paper but give their results a strong skew to the Dem candidate.
Pollsters usually want to get results that get them headlines, attention and money (jobs/contracts). Accuracy is less important. They want to be hired not just for political polls but for all kinds of private enterprises, market analysis etc. And the final analysis it doesn’t matter much if they are 7% off in their “do you prefer Coke or Pepsi” polls. But in political polls they are trying to psychologically manipulate people because they think people will want to vote with the majority (or the majority as they are told it to be).
Trump does not call these suppression polls for no reason.
What does concern me is that I think the democrats have been pulling out all the stops on their voter fraud operations. The DOJ at least needs to make severe threats for anyone committing vote fraud.
'But crowds don't always translate into votes.'
Also CNN:
“Why, Hillary could even win in TEXAS!! Yes, Trump is losing that badly.”
Generic ballot polls are absolutely worthless. Nobody anywhere votes on a generic ballot.
I will do my part. Tomorrow I will remind everyone in Michigan that the last day to register to vote is the 9th of October.
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