Skip to comments.Wave watch: Inside the Democratic primary turnout surge(Uh OK!)
Posted on 10/10/2018 12:15:41 PM PDT by rktman
Democratic voter turnout in this years House primaries increased in each of the 19 competitive, comparable House districts compared to 2014, and doubled in more than two thirds of them. Thats far better than Republican voter turnout, which increased in 14 of those districts but didnt double in any of them.
Why it matters: Poor turnout has been the scourge of Democrats efforts to win congressional elections in the last decade. But this data suggests that a surge of anti-Trump enthusiasm could boost their turnout in November and not just in already-blue areas, but in parts of the country that could deliver control of the House to the Democrats.
(Excerpt) Read more at hotair.com ...
Hot Air is aptly named. Full of nothing but Hot Air.
Primaries for long term incumbents do not attract a lot of attention.
Yep, and Allahpundit is a total D’bag.
Let them compare to pre-Trump figures. Plus GOP turnout would be low for an incumbent
I will crawl naked through broken glass to get to the polls, but I do believe that the House is up for grabs. I think it could be a very close win for either party at this point.
I think, like others have stated, that the Dems are going all out. This will include all sorts of cheating.
Early voting starts here on 10/20. I plan to vote early and often. Hey, they do it.
Special elections, conducted on various days throughout the year, and throughout the country, are a different animal than mid-term elections the first Tuesday in November.
This study is not particularly earth-shattering. It compares Dem and Rep turnout in 2018 as compared to 2014 in midterm primaries. The big problem? In 2014, Republican turnout was through the roof and Dem turnout was completely depressed. So, naturally, the Dems huge increase in turnout—from shitty to very good—in the primaries is not particularly surprising. Equally unsurprisingly is that Republican turnout is only up marginally over 2014. The big news is that R turnout is UP over a huge turnout year in 2014. Its like saying a basketball player doubled his free throw percentage from 20% to 40% b/c he went from being 2 out of 10 from the line to 8 out of 20. Or, to compare Republican turnout, that Larry Bird only slightly increased his FT % from 92% to 93%.
These are the early mid term voting start. ;-)
Folks should operate on the principle that whatever extent the Kavanaugh event pissed off the pubbies, it energized the dems even more. They are out for blood. This is do or die for them.
Taking the House/Senate and then taking Trump down is an imperative for the left. The pubbies better start ramping up the the quantity and savagery of their adds. No more of the usual political pablum. You’re dealing with rabid animals now, not polite political opponents.
I haven’t even seen any ads, but that’s because what little TV I watch anymore is taped so I scoot by commercials.
Logical Fallacy: Axios bases their prediction on Primary voting increases.
Primaries occurred WAY BEFORE the Kavanaugh travesty.
If Republicans turned out reasonably well in the Primaries, picture them NOW.
Correct. We can't afford to let up for one second. Get out and vote. Get out and get your R friends to vote.
I'd rather be branded a Cassandra and be proven wrong for fretting about a blue wave than the alternative.
Darn, I thought voter day for democrats was November 7th.
Learn something new every day.
High primary turnout usually indicates in the main dissatisfaction with the field of candidates offered to the voters in that race, with more voters showing up to try to select someone they value more than the likely candidate - if they don’t manage to dislodge the candidate they don’t favor they might be more likely to stay home and not vote in the general election....
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