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Wave watch: Inside the Democratic primary turnout surge(Uh OK!)
hotair.com ^ | 10/10/2018 | unknown

Posted on 10/10/2018 12:15:41 PM PDT by rktman

Democratic voter turnout in this year’s House primaries increased in each of the 19 competitive, comparable House districts compared to 2014, and doubled in more than two thirds of them. That’s far better than Republican voter turnout, which increased in 14 of those districts but didn’t double in any of them.

Why it matters: Poor turnout has been the scourge of Democrats’ efforts to win congressional elections in the last decade. But this data suggests that a surge of anti-Trump enthusiasm could boost their turnout in November — and not just in already-blue areas, but in parts of the country that could deliver control of the House to the Democrats.

(Excerpt) Read more at hotair.com ...


TOPICS: Crime/Corruption; Philosophy; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2018midterms; bluewave; cheaters; liars
Just as long as they don't forget that their voting day is 11/13/2018 and not 11/6/2018. You know to avoid all those white supremacists people. Heard the moronialls are like--- MEH!
1 posted on 10/10/2018 12:15:41 PM PDT by rktman
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To: rktman

Hot Air is aptly named. Full of nothing but Hot Air.


2 posted on 10/10/2018 12:18:07 PM PDT by Robert DeLong
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To: rktman

Primaries for long term incumbents do not attract a lot of attention.


3 posted on 10/10/2018 12:20:25 PM PDT by Raycpa
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To: rktman
Keep in mind: For dems to increase their "turnout" their voters don't have to go to the polls, or even be alive - VOTE FRAUD is a major component of their campaign strategy.
4 posted on 10/10/2018 12:22:38 PM PDT by The Sons of Liberty (Twenty Years of Freeping!)
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To: rktman

Yep, and Allahpundit is a total D’bag.


5 posted on 10/10/2018 12:22:40 PM PDT by traderrob6
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To: rktman
This time they really really really think they are going to win. They aint no ways tired yet.

MAGA

6 posted on 10/10/2018 12:23:23 PM PDT by IC Ken (Stop making stupid people famous)
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To: IC Ken

Let them compare to pre-Trump figures. Plus GOP turnout would be low for an incumbent


7 posted on 10/10/2018 12:27:50 PM PDT by PSUGOP
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To: rktman

I will crawl naked through broken glass to get to the polls, but I do believe that the House is up for grabs. I think it could be a very close win for either party at this point.

I think, like others have stated, that the Dems are going all out. This will include all sorts of cheating.


8 posted on 10/10/2018 12:28:38 PM PDT by woweeitsme
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To: woweeitsme

Early voting starts here on 10/20. I plan to vote early and often. Hey, they do it.


9 posted on 10/10/2018 12:35:25 PM PDT by rktman (Enlisted in the Navy in '67 to protect folks rights to strip my rights. WTH?)
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To: rktman

Special elections, conducted on various days throughout the year, and throughout the country, are a different animal than mid-term elections the first Tuesday in November.


10 posted on 10/10/2018 1:29:17 PM PDT by Go Gordon (I gave my dog Grady a last name - Trump - because he loves tweets.)
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To: rktman

This study is not particularly earth-shattering. It compares Dem and Rep turnout in 2018 as compared to 2014 in midterm primaries. The big problem? In 2014, Republican turnout was through the roof and Dem turnout was completely depressed. So, naturally, the Dems huge increase in turnout—from shitty to very good—in the primaries is not particularly surprising. Equally unsurprisingly is that Republican turnout is only up marginally over 2014. The big news is that R turnout is UP over a huge turnout year in 2014. Its like saying a basketball player doubled his free throw percentage from 20% to 40% b/c he went from being 2 out of 10 from the line to 8 out of 20. Or, to compare Republican turnout, that Larry Bird only slightly increased his FT % from 92% to 93%.


11 posted on 10/10/2018 1:31:36 PM PDT by bort
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To: Go Gordon

These are the early mid term voting start. ;-)


12 posted on 10/10/2018 1:45:35 PM PDT by rktman (Enlisted in the Navy in '67 to protect folks rights to strip my rights. WTH?)
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To: Robert DeLong

Folks should operate on the principle that whatever extent the Kavanaugh event pissed off the pubbies, it energized the dems even more. They are out for blood. This is do or die for them.

Taking the House/Senate and then taking Trump down is an imperative for the left. The pubbies better start ramping up the the quantity and savagery of their adds. No more of the usual political pablum. You’re dealing with rabid animals now, not polite political opponents.


13 posted on 10/10/2018 2:21:38 PM PDT by pt17
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To: pt17

I haven’t even seen any ads, but that’s because what little TV I watch anymore is taped so I scoot by commercials.


14 posted on 10/10/2018 2:24:55 PM PDT by Robert DeLong
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To: rktman

Logical Fallacy: Axios bases their prediction on Primary voting increases.

Primaries occurred WAY BEFORE the Kavanaugh travesty.

If Republicans turned out reasonably well in the Primaries, picture them NOW.


15 posted on 10/10/2018 2:27:56 PM PDT by Lazamataz (On future maps, I suggest we remove the word "California" and substitute "Open-Air Asylum".)
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To: pt17
Folks should operate on the principle that whatever extent the Kavanaugh event pissed off the pubbies, it energized the dems even more. They are out for blood. This is do or die for them.

Correct. We can't afford to let up for one second. Get out and vote. Get out and get your R friends to vote.

I'd rather be branded a Cassandra and be proven wrong for fretting about a blue wave than the alternative.

16 posted on 10/10/2018 2:32:17 PM PDT by Sirius Lee (In God We Trust, In Trump We MAGA)
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To: rktman

Darn, I thought voter day for democrats was November 7th.

Learn something new every day.

5.56mm


17 posted on 10/10/2018 2:34:30 PM PDT by M Kehoe (DRAIN THE SWAMP!)
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To: rktman

High primary turnout usually indicates in the main dissatisfaction with the field of candidates offered to the voters in that race, with more voters showing up to try to select someone they value more than the likely candidate - if they don’t manage to dislodge the candidate they don’t favor they might be more likely to stay home and not vote in the general election....


18 posted on 10/10/2018 5:39:46 PM PDT by Intolerant in NJ
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