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Two Elections: Democrats’ Chance of Taking the Senate Fading, House Likely to Flip
rollcall ^ | October 12, 2018

Posted on 10/12/2018 9:41:51 AM PDT by SMGFan

Senate results in midterms crucial for GOP and Democratic prospects in 2020

ANALYSIS | The Democrats’ chances of netting at least two Senate seats always seemed like a long shot. But a month ago, the stars looked to be aligning for Democrats. Today, those stars tell a different story.

With Republican challenger Kevin Cramer opening up a clear margin over incumbent Heidi Heitkamp, the North Dakota Senate race looks all but over now, according to multiple insiders. That means Democrats will need to swipe at least three GOP seats to take back the Senate — an outcome that currently appears somewhere between unlikely and impossible.

Democratic prospects have also faded over the past couple of weeks in two important states, Tennessee and Arizona. And in Nevada, a state that went for Hillary Clinton two years ago, Republican incumbent Dean Heller is running even or slightly ahead of Democratic challenger Jacky Rosen. In Texas, where Democratic enthusiasm for Democratic challenger Beto O’Rourke is off the charts, incumbent Ted Cruz continues to hold a clear and consistent advantage, with no sign that Lone Star state voters are going to fire him.

(Excerpt) Read more at rollcall.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections; US: North Dakota
KEYWORDS: 2018midterms; heitkamp; houseissafe; kevincramer; nd2018
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Limited by excerpt rules, not able to post House analysis.
1 posted on 10/12/2018 9:41:51 AM PDT by SMGFan
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To: SMGFan

I’m not buying it. No one wants so see Speaker Pelosi.

The economy is going great. Republicans are going to pick up seats in both the House and Senate.


2 posted on 10/12/2018 9:45:06 AM PDT by sipow
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To: SMGFan

And with tight races in Montana, Missouri, Indiana, and Florida, Democrats have to win all four of those to even have a chance.


3 posted on 10/12/2018 9:45:08 AM PDT by Dilbert San Diego
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To: SMGFan

NEVER VOTE FOR ANY DEMOCRAT....EVER!!


4 posted on 10/12/2018 9:45:52 AM PDT by Ann Archy (Abortion....... The HUMAN Sacrifice to the god of Convenience.)
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To: SMGFan

I’m feeling good about the Senate, but I think we’re going to lose the House..


5 posted on 10/12/2018 9:46:14 AM PDT by Simon Green ("Arm your daughter, sir, and pay no attention to petty bureaucrats.")
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To: SMGFan

That’s laughable!

There is no way that the Democrats can win the House.


6 posted on 10/12/2018 9:47:16 AM PDT by Blue House Sue
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Comment #7 Removed by Moderator

To: SMGFan
I've got a better chance of winning the Powerball lottery than the Democrats do of winning back the Senate.

the House looks almost guaranteed to flip to the Democrats next month.

Which is the same Roll Call and their phony pollsters said about Trump's chance of beating Hillary.

The reality is that Republicans at least a 50-50 chance of holding the House.

8 posted on 10/12/2018 9:48:28 AM PDT by Kazan
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Comment #9 Removed by Moderator

To: SMGFan

There are 35 tossup seats up for grabs. The Democrats would need to win every tossup race to flip the house. Not gonna happen!


10 posted on 10/12/2018 9:49:59 AM PDT by rwoodward ("god, guns and more ammo")
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To: rwoodward

See LS..ignore the rest


11 posted on 10/12/2018 9:50:54 AM PDT by ground_fog ( My God this was from today!)
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To: sipow

The Left going down to defeat would be great.


12 posted on 10/12/2018 9:53:29 AM PDT by Rurudyne (Standup Philosopher)
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To: Crazy Little Woman

No need to wait.

It won’t happen, the Republicans will gain a dozen or two seats in the House.


13 posted on 10/12/2018 9:53:40 AM PDT by Blue House Sue
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To: ground_fog

Last I saw, the house seats were trending GOP.

I have not seen a good case yet wherein the enthusiasm that has buoyed the GOP’s Senate chances is not transferring to the House races.


14 posted on 10/12/2018 9:54:57 AM PDT by FlipWilson
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Comment #15 Removed by Moderator

To: sipow

“Republicans are going to pick up seats in both the House and Senate.”

I’ll take this opportunity to say I disagree, and believe Republicans will lose House seats. Maybe enough to flip control, maybe not.

But I won’t argue the point.


16 posted on 10/12/2018 9:56:28 AM PDT by Mariner (War Criminal #18)
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To: rwoodward

I guarantee you that the district Shalala is running in was considered a sure-fire Dem seat, but she’s behind as of now. I wonder if there are any others like this?


17 posted on 10/12/2018 9:58:47 AM PDT by woweeitsme
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To: SMGFan

Rasmussen Reports 10.10.2018

“With less than a month to Election Day, the Generic Congressional Ballot is now dead even.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone and online survey finds that 45% of Likely U.S. Voters would choose the Democratic candidate if the elections for Congress were held today. Another 45% would opt for the Republican. Three percent (3%) prefer some other candidate, and eight percent (8%) are undecided.”

If this is accurate and holds, the Dims will not regain control of the House.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/mood_of_america/generic_congressional_ballot_oct10


18 posted on 10/12/2018 10:00:57 AM PDT by Signalman
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To: woweeitsme

The toss-up Senate seats have now all shifted Republican post-Kav. I wonder if the same thing is happening in the House.


19 posted on 10/12/2018 10:01:25 AM PDT by jalisco555 ("In a Time of Universal Deceit Telling the Truth Is a Revolutionary Act" - George Orwell)
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To: Simon Green

Let me get this straight. Currently, in the HOUSE, the GOP has 238 and the Dimms have 197. This Dude is predicting that the Dimms are going to win 42 seats?


20 posted on 10/12/2018 10:02:29 AM PDT by nikos1121 (With Trump, we have our own Age of Pericles)
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