Skip to comments.Tight House races also trending GOP recently
Posted on 10/13/2018 10:27:28 AM PDT by freeper_cwh
With the election less than 24 days away, Republicans are seeing momentum in polls after the Kavanaugh hearings and a new path to holding their majority in the House. To do this, they need to stop Democrats from reaching a net pickup of 23 seats, which will likely require raising more last-minute money. Currently, many election watchers believe Democrats will gain anywhere from 20 to 40 seats. However, if their loss of momentum persists, the lower end of that range becomes more likely and Republicans would maintain a slender majority.
(Excerpt) Read more at realclearpolitics.com ...
My guess is Dems gain less than a dozen House seats.
The problem with the RCP averages is that they include polls that are a month old. That is ancient history in politics.
I am convinced there never was a "blue wave" except in the fondest dreams of democratic operatives and their sycophant [fraudulent] polling outfits.
I don't know how you do an accurate poll anyway. Trump supporters work for a living and are too busy to answer junk calls especially now that they are all labled spam. Second, who wants to answer a poll and discover that Antifa is visiting to give you some helpful educational literature and what a deplorable miscreant you are for suggesting you are voting Republican.
this needs to be a mantra!
The Orange wave is overtaking the blue wave. Hahahahaha
The message must be constantly repeated that not one Democratic candidate anywhere had the courage to stand up and denounce the vile character assassination and the attempt to destroy the life, career and family of a decent Christian man. All women who have fathers, sons and husbands must be constantly reminded how the Democrats behaved. The voters must also be reminded that the Democrats are the Party of sanctuary cities and states, open borders, globalism and socialism.
RCP reports poll results, but their tracking numbers are based on averages. That works fine early in the election season, but starts to show problem close to election day, especially when the mood of the country makes a big turn. The results of the incredible Democrat screw up over Kavanaugh are showing up across the country, but the effect is being dampened by the use of averages.
I believe that the Republicans are ahead in the House race right now and will gain more in the days ahead. The undecided races are likely to break in one direction, toward the Republicans. The chances of the GOP keeping control of the House is well above 50%. The media will not tell us that.
11 House seats moved toward GOP in last 10 days on RCP site. Biggest moves all year. https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2018/house/2018_elections_house_map.html .
As usual this momentum shift has been ignored by the press, where they are still claiming that House is moving toward Dems (though they do generally acknowledge the huge moves toward GOP in the Senate).
Yes, that’s true for the race averages, but recent BIG moves can still move an average, and we’re seeing some big moves recently.
It looks increasingly likely the GOP will defy the mid-term itch woes.
For the Democrats, the polling numbers are a disaster and it doesnt matter theyre flush with cash.
Basically, their sole argument for change is hate Trump and you cant beat something with nothing.
It may get their angry base out to the polls but its not going to swing a majority of the American people over to the side.
People dont like to turn the country over to a raging mob and its being reflected in the polls.
I agree. The Dems might gain 8-10 in the House. We gain 3-5 in the Senate.
All things considered, the Rats are in trouble in many ways.
I hope you are right on your prediction. It will be very chaotic if they take the house back.
If they do not regain the house it will be fascinating to see what the reaction of the DNC will be - do they stay on the current path that veers towards the far left and obstruction or do the more sober among them admit defeat and calm things down. The big money bet (those behind the current chaos) is that they double down on obstruct, resist, and mob-like behavior.
At some point the mushy middle and their moderates turn against them. Trump needs to continue to hammer that it does not matter what they say on the campaign trail - they vote as a block against his policies that are succeeding.
The only place in the US where a large blue wave or waves will be seen in November is off the north coasts of Oahu and Maui when the winter swells start rolling in. Around the same time much of the continental US will be swept in a red tide.
Nice, but the O in MOBS needs a strike through over the donkey.
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