Skip to comments.Sabato: Democrats 4 seats short of locking down House win
Posted on 10/18/2018 2:06:47 PM PDT by SoFloFreeper
...A race-by-race analysis of Democratic House targets shows the party is close to winning the majority, but they do not have it put away, in our judgment, with Election Day less than three weeks away, said Kyle Kondik, managing editor of Sabato's Crystal Ball in his new post.
...the Democrats in a worst-case scenario could be four seats shy of the needed 23 needed to install Rep. Nancy Pelosi as speaker.
Of course there are caveats, such as the impact of the huge influx of money to Democrats and President Trumps decision to campaign furiously through Election Day, but the analysis is a bit of a wet towel on polls and reports declaring a blue wave blowout election.
Nonetheless, he predicts a good night for Democrats.
Barring a big, positive late change in the political environment in favor of Republicans, the bare minimum for Democratic House gains is in the mid-to-high teens.
(Excerpt) Read more at washingtonexaminer.com ...
Is this guy a RINO whore or what?
Thank God it’s Larry Sabato.
He hasn’t been right about an election in 15 years.
We still have the video of him smirking about how Trump can’t win.
And this moron actually teaches snowflakes who pay huge tuitions to hear him!
Just more manipulation.
Ignore polls and projections, just be sure and VOTE!!!!!!!!!!!
Bought and paid for Sabato to the rescue. There is no credit after discredit.
That won’t win the House for them! And we will win seats in the Senate! Sounds like they are backing off of the Blue Wave!
Yes I’m being a wet blanket, but we aren’t going to win every election based on 2016, and every negative poll isn’t going to be wrong. Let’s not have 2016 become our kool aid.
Yes Im being a wet blanket, but we arent going to win every election based on 2016, and every negative poll isnt going to be wrong. Lets not have 2016 become our kool aid.
Exactly!! Polls are only good for food for 24 hour news channels. Talking heads can go on and on and on about this poll and that poll.
And that’s why he’s President Hillary Clinton’s favorite pollster.
Unfortunately the blue wave is alive and well in NJ.
In 2014 our delegation was 6D-6R. We lost Garrett’s seat in 2016 and we have no hope of getting it back this year.
Now 2 of the remaining seats are certain Democratic pickups, and in 2 other seats, GOP incumbents are hanging by a thread.
We may end up 11D-1R after this election, if we are very lucky it might be 9D-3R.
Not to panic anyone, but if the dems win anything it’s RIP USA. Then again, I think we’re far beyond ballot box measures to remedy the corruption in ‘our’ govt.
Data, not polls.
We are kicking as just like 2016 according to the data.
Sabato is giving way too much weight to the Democrats. I suspect that many Democrats will vote, for Republican candidates. #WalkAway is gaining momentum with every Pelosi mouth fart.
His best case scenario at this date is they fall short by 4 and Trump rallys may make even that questionable
Thanks for that reminder. Sounds like Larry Sabato seriously doesn’t know how to create an accurate poll. Or, maybe he does and just doesn’t want to.
Sabato stinks. I would not lose any sleep of any analysis and predictions he does. Not very reliable.
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