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Could a Democrat win the Kansas governor's race? It's looking possible.
MySA ^ | Oct 24, 2018 | Amber Phillips

Posted on 10/24/2018 6:34:23 AM PDT by centurion316

Kansas is a state entirely controlled by Republicans now and one that voted for President Donald Trump in 2016 by 20 points. And yet in a couple of weeks, voters there could elect a Democrat to be their governor for the first time in eight years - just in time to have a hand in the upcoming redistricting battle that could shape control of the state for the next decade.

Snip

Republicans' fears have so far become reality. Polls show Democrat Laura Kelly and Kobach running about even, with a third-party candidate, Greg Orman, taking about 9 percent of the vote (mostly from the Democrat, theorize election watchers).

Kobach has struggled to get out from under the Brownback legacy, but he also brings new baggage. Kobach is perhaps best known nationally and in Kansas as the voter-fraud guy. Voter ID laws are popular in Republican states, but Kobach took that to a new level in the past two years.

Snip

Democrats in Kansas agree that the race is basically about everything they're not. That's evidenced on the campaign trail, where Kelly - a decidedly less flashy character than Kobach - talks about how, as a legislator in the state Senate, she helped push the tax increase package that was a rebuke to Brownback.

Her campaign has gotten some serious momentum in the final weeks after being endorsed by every living former Republican governor of Kansas, save Brownback.

Kobach is doubling down on Trump, trying to drum up his and the president's shared base. One analyst watching the race said Trump's approval is about 50 percent, which isn't nearly as high as other conservative states - but at least the president is more popular than Kobach now, who polls in the 30 and 40 percent favorability rating.

(Excerpt) Read more at mysanantonio.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Kansas
KEYWORDS: 2018midterms; democrats; kansasgovernor; kobach; ks2018; laurakelly
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This is a very close race and could go either way. Suburban women do not like Kobach and most will vote Democrat. Kansas has the reputation of a solid Red state at all levels except for Lawrence and Wyandotte County, but the reality is that many Kansas Republicans are not really very conservative.
1 posted on 10/24/2018 6:34:23 AM PDT by centurion316
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To: centurion316

I am predicting they either will or they won’t.


2 posted on 10/24/2018 6:36:27 AM PDT by Leep (Th)
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To: centurion316

How can we lose Kansas and Iowa in this environment?


3 posted on 10/24/2018 6:37:24 AM PDT by Shadow44
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To: centurion316

Too many self-righteous Mennonites.


4 posted on 10/24/2018 6:37:32 AM PDT by Fai Mao (There is no rule of law in the US until The PIAPS is executed.)
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To: centurion316

I am glad that three of my great-great uncles participated in the sacking of Lawrence, Kansas (i.e. the liberal hell hole of Kansas).


5 posted on 10/24/2018 6:40:09 AM PDT by ohioman
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To: Leep

I think Kobach will sqeekit out


6 posted on 10/24/2018 6:41:30 AM PDT by ncfool (America Reborn 1/20/2017. Lets make sure we don't screw up,the opportunity to MAGA.)
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To: Leep

I think Kobach will sqeek it out. Wild card is Johnson county


7 posted on 10/24/2018 6:42:10 AM PDT by ncfool (America Reborn 1/20/2017. Lets make sure we don't screw up,the opportunity to MAGA.)
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To: ohioman

Kobach needs Executive experience before he runs for POTUS. Same as DeSantis. Hopefully the voters of Kansas give him the chance. I don’t see how Brownback could have given the GOP such a bad name in that state. He checked all the conservative boxes.


8 posted on 10/24/2018 6:45:03 AM PDT by DIRTYSECRET (urope. Why do they put up with this.)
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To: centurion316

Sure thing! Keep using fake polls to get there.


9 posted on 10/24/2018 6:45:31 AM PDT by jmaroneps37 (Conservatism is truth. Liberal is lies.)
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To: centurion316

I haven’t seen any polls on the Kansas gubernatorial race, have you? I interpret lack of published polls as a good sign for Kobach.


10 posted on 10/24/2018 6:46:03 AM PDT by Dan in Wichita
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To: Shadow44

Many people have no idea what is going on within the Democrat Party and who really runs that organized criminal enterprise. They believe the Democrat political ads and don’t go beyond. Free Stuff and the magic bean that will deliver wonderful health care that won’t cost them a thing.


11 posted on 10/24/2018 6:47:17 AM PDT by centurion316 (,)
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To: centurion316

If Kobach wins then Greg Orman deserves the credit. Without him the race wouldn’t even be close.


12 posted on 10/24/2018 6:47:47 AM PDT by DoodleDawg
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To: DIRTYSECRET

Has Kansas had a recent influx of transplants (i.e. Liberal Locusts) from Colorado or California?


13 posted on 10/24/2018 6:48:56 AM PDT by ohioman
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To: centurion316
Kobach has struggled to get out from under the Brownback legacy...

Kobach hasn't struggled to get out of anything. He's embraced the Brownback legacy and plans on reintroducing it to a much greater extent.

14 posted on 10/24/2018 6:49:14 AM PDT by DoodleDawg
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To: DoodleDawg

Yes. He is pulling 9% right now and apparently most of them are Democrats. He’s the different flavor magic bean, for those who don’t like the Democrat magic bean.


15 posted on 10/24/2018 6:50:25 AM PDT by centurion316 (,)
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To: Fai Mao

Mennonites? Hardly. I’m guessing you are not in the Midwest.

Kansas City Kansas (Wyandotte county) is a die hard democrat county.
Lawrence (home of KU) is liberal.
A minority faction of Johnson County is Democrat.

Kansas will stay Red unless this independent guy pulls enough votes away from Kobach.


16 posted on 10/24/2018 6:50:49 AM PDT by Romans Nine
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To: DIRTYSECRET
I don’t see how Brownback could have given the GOP such a bad name in that state. He checked all the conservative boxes.

Six years of budget deficits resulting in large cuts to education and infrastructure spending.

17 posted on 10/24/2018 6:51:05 AM PDT by DoodleDawg
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To: centurion316

To my “suburban” sisters: what joy I feel as we approach the centennial of when we gave you suffrage. Make sure you exercise your sacred right to vote on Election Day, Wednesday, November 7! Love, j.havenfarm


18 posted on 10/24/2018 6:51:07 AM PDT by j.havenfarm ( 1,500 posts as of 8/10/18. A FReeper since 2000; never shutting up!)
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To: centurion316

“This is a very close race and could go either way. Suburban women do not like Kobach and most will vote Democrat.”

Agreed. Johnson County (IOW suburban KC) will be a battleground. It’s full of soccer moms and millennials who “feel” about an issue instead of “think” about an issue. Whenever a Dem has won statewide in Kansas, it’s because they performed better than expected in Johnson County. Heck, from ‘98 to ‘10, that area was represented by a Dem in Congress, Dennis Moore.

I also wonder if there’s some residual bad blood because of the primary between Jeff Colyer and Kobach. Given how really close that race was, it wouldn’t surprise me.


19 posted on 10/24/2018 6:52:52 AM PDT by MplsSteve
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To: Dan in Wichita

Emerson and PPP polled in September. Kobach was up by 1. KC TV has been dominated by Democrat ads.


20 posted on 10/24/2018 6:53:30 AM PDT by centurion316 (,)
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