Alaska Ping.
Well done Ms. Downing..
TL.DR Like everywhere else, Reps doing better in Alaska than Dems (with this comparison being 2014)
I know the Indy Gov dropped out but it looks like Dunleavy (R) is still favored
Alaska Ping.
Alaska early vote info...
Don Young’s at large seat is safe.
Rs like to pick up governorship and increase their hold on the statehouse.
More from article:
TAKEAWAY 2: BALLOTS CAST ON DAY 1 OF VOTING
Of the 3,280 ballots cast on Monday, Oct. 22, the Republicans and conservative voters are favored:
944 – Republican (conservative)
915 – Undeclared (these voters lean conservative)
716 – Non-Partisan (these voters are heavily liberal)
631 – Democrat (liberal)
52 – AIP (conservatives)
13 – Libertarians (conservatives)
8 – Green (liberals)
TAKEAWAY 3: ABSENTEE NUMBERS SUPPORT REPUBLICAN CANDIDATES
In 2014, immediately after Labor Day, some 2,453 Democrats requested absentee ballots, while 7,500 Republicans requested absentee ballots.
This year, in the same September snapshot, only 1,006 Democrats and 7,425 Republicans requested absentee ballots.
Democrats lost more than half of their absentee ballot program in four years, while Republicans remained essentially flat.
By Oct. 8, in 2014, Democrat voters had requested 4,955 absentee ballots.
This year, by Oct. 8, Democrats had only requested 2,252. Again — their absentee ballot efforts collapsed.
Republicans, in the same October snapshot, had requested 9,696 in 2014.
This year, by Oct. 9, Republicans had requested 9,537 absentee ballots.
It’s too late for Democrats to make up the lost ground on the absentee voter front. They don’t have the manpower or enough time on the calendar to get absentee ballots out to people, and to get them returned in time. They’ll have to focus on getting out the vote by employing their usual methods.
One robin does not a spring make for Republicans, but early voting and absentee voting numbers look good for their candidates.
Alaska has some weird politics!
Great article. Thanks.
Coincidentally, I was sitting on the Alaska Survey Research facebook page (https://www.facebook.com/alaskasurvey/) yesterday. I knew they were coming out with a new poll. Maybe the first since the Gov dropped out. So the pollster posted a “contest” there, asking people to submit their prediction for the poll results. Then the pollster named the “winners” - those closest to the actual poll results. I then looked up the winner’s predictions and had a good idea what the poll results would be.
So before the numbers were officially released, I went on PredictIt and put more money on Dunleavy.
The poll numbers were released about 10-15 minutes later. It confirmed what we already know. Dunleavy ahead by 5-6 points.
That Murkowski is mentally disturbed (something probably did happen to her in the past) and Alaskans should help her by voting her out whenever the opportunity arises.
please please can we retire Murkowski!? please?
Bump