Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Dems are confident about House despite painful 2016 memories (Barf Alert!)
MSN ^ | November 4, 2018 | Mike Lillis

Posted on 11/04/2018 6:50:39 AM PST by Diana in Wisconsin

Democrats' growing confidence heading into Election Day bears echoes of 2016, leaving some liberals fretting that party leaders took no lessons from their drubbing that year - and are now measuring the drapes before the Speaker's office is secured.

House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.) made her boldest forecast of the year on Tuesday, vowing the Democrats will seize the lower chamber in the Nov. 6 elections - a shift from earlier sentiments that such a concrete prediction was premature.

"What now I'm saying is, 'We will win,'" Pelosi said on "The Late Show with Stephen Colbert."

The bullish message - being reinforced by other party leaders - is reminiscent of that emanating from Democrats two years ago, when they stormed into the polls with promises of big wins across the board, largely on the coattails of their presidential nominee, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton. Pelosi predicted Democrats would gain at least 25 House seats in 2016, only to see Clinton fall in stunning fashion to Donald Trump, while Republicans lost just six seats.

In the post-mortem that followed, some Democrats attributed the lackluster performance, at least in part, to an overconfidence that landslide wins were assured, dampening turnout among would-be Democratic voters.

Two years later, some voices are warning that renewed promises of inevitable victory could similarly backfire at the polls.

(Excerpt) Read more at msn.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections; US: District of Columbia
KEYWORDS:
OMG! Put down the crack pipe!

"At the same time, the factors shaping this year's election landscape are vastly different from those of 2016, and the winds have shifted almost exclusively in the Democrats' favor. On top of historical trends predicting big midterm gains for the party not in the White House, Trump's approval rating is deep underwater; Democratic candidates have a stark fundraising advantage over their GOP opponents; polls suggest Democratic voters are more energized than Republicans; and dozens of GOP incumbents are retiring, creating new pickup opportunities for Democrats where they otherwise would not have existed."

1 posted on 11/04/2018 6:50:39 AM PST by Diana in Wisconsin
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | View Replies]

To: Diana in Wisconsin

I wouldn’t call Trump’s approval rating “underwater”. Quite the contrary. And one look at Trump’s rallies would tell you how energized the GOP is.


2 posted on 11/04/2018 6:54:28 AM PST by fhayek
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: fhayek

51% approval is not underwater.


3 posted on 11/04/2018 6:55:22 AM PST by DarthVader (Not by speeches & majority decisions will the great issues of today be decided but by Blood & Iron)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: Diana in Wisconsin

[Trump’s approval rating is deep underwater; ]

With outright communists maybe.


4 posted on 11/04/2018 6:56:26 AM PST by headstamp 2
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Diana in Wisconsin

They are completely delusional. They are going to get annihilated this time.


5 posted on 11/04/2018 6:56:46 AM PST by DarthVader (Not by speeches & majority decisions will the great issues of today be decided but by Blood & Iron)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: DarthVader

Adjust it up 5-10% to what it really is and it’s even more overwater


6 posted on 11/04/2018 6:58:06 AM PST by Phil DiBasquette
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: Diana in Wisconsin

Large crowds gather this early morning, for Trump Rally to be held in Macon, Georgia at 4:00 PM local (EST). Thousands of Trump supporters will turn out to keep Georgia...Bright Trump Red!!!

IMHO....Texas, Florida, Georgia will lead the Trump GOP monster red wave victory this coming Tuesday, Election Day..USA!!!


7 posted on 11/04/2018 6:59:09 AM PST by JLAGRAYFOX (Defeat both the Republican (e) & Democrat (e) political parties....Forever!!!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: fhayek

“And one look at Trump’s rallies would tell you how energized the GOP is.”

They IGNORE the FACT that Biden, 0bama and ‘She Who Shall Not Be Named’ can’t even fill a High School Gym these days!

Red Tsunami, Ahead!


8 posted on 11/04/2018 6:59:49 AM PST by Diana in Wisconsin ( "Why can't you be more like Lloyd Braun?")
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 2 | View Replies]

To: DarthVader

51% approval is not underwater.
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

Just imagine what it would be if we had an honest media.


9 posted on 11/04/2018 7:01:08 AM PST by shelterguy
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: Diana in Wisconsin

As Reagan said ‘Are you better off now?’.


10 posted on 11/04/2018 7:01:47 AM PST by Nateman (If the left is not screaming, you are doing it wrong.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Diana in Wisconsin

Bring on da tears!
I am looking forward to fresh video clips of dim melt downs.


11 posted on 11/04/2018 7:02:02 AM PST by Leep
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: shelterguy

I think it is closer to 60%.


12 posted on 11/04/2018 7:04:35 AM PST by DarthVader (Not by speeches & majority decisions will the great issues of today be decided but by Blood & Iron)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 9 | View Replies]

To: Diana in Wisconsin
The bullish message...

Let's see now. How could we rephrase this?

13 posted on 11/04/2018 7:07:55 AM PST by stormhill
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Diana in Wisconsin; All

Dems lose their confidence only when they run out of somebody else’s money.


14 posted on 11/04/2018 7:08:04 AM PST by Amendment10
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: shelterguy

Just imagine what it would be if we had an honest media.


I’ve noticed more and more how the mainstream media is now “helpfully” adding comments to their news stories. For example, when President Trump says something like ‘democrats are encouraging the caravan’, they’ll add “with absolutely no proof” to their comments. I don’t remember their doing anything like this with the last President.

I don’t mind the fact that they aren’t acting as cheerleaders for the President and I don’t mind if they are critical in their editorials. But they seem to be incapable of just reporting the facts, which should be their job.


15 posted on 11/04/2018 7:42:05 AM PST by hanamizu
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 9 | View Replies]

To: DarthVader

Dem pollster Larry Sabato has said that you have to add ten points to Trump’s approval numbers because of the bias of the pollsters, etc.


16 posted on 11/04/2018 8:18:46 AM PST by july4thfreedomfoundation (Hey liberals! Trump in 2020. Because, 'eff you!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 12 | View Replies]

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson