Republican opportunity with young blacks

onenewsnow.com ^ | Wednesday, November 14, 2018 | Star Parker

[Red Badger]

Buried in the mounds of data fleshing out what happened in the midterm elections is an interesting take on blacks.

Nationwide data on black voting in this election cycle do not point to much change. Various polls over recent months seemed to indicate that blacks were starting to warm up to Republicans and President Donald Trump. But blacks went 90 percent for Democrats and 8 percent for Republicans. Pretty much business as usual.

However, digging down, we find something interesting.

Blacks ages 18 to 29 voted 82 percent for Democrats and 14 percent for Republicans. That seems to point to change taking place among young blacks.

Lending support to this conclusion is the fact that in the 2014 midterms, 18-to-29-year-old blacks voted in concert with the overall average, 88 percent for Democrats and 11 percent for Republicans.

Either we have a fluke in this year's midterms or some kind of change in political thinking is taking hold among young African-Americans.

I think there is good reason to believe the latter. Of course, where it goes depends on how Republicans choose to think about and handle the situation.

Adding to this curiosity is something else of interest. The inclination to vote Republican as a function of age is the complete reverse for blacks as it is for whites.

Younger blacks vote Republican at higher percentages than older blacks. Younger whites vote Republican at lower percentages than older whites.

Compared with the 14 percent of 18-to-29-year-old blacks who voted Republican in the midterms, 6.5 percent of blacks 45 or older voted Republican.

Compared with the 43 percent of 18-to-29-year-old whites who voted Republican, 58.5 percent of whites 45 or older voted Republican.

[Red Badger]

Star Parker

[The Pack Knight]

I’m not sure 14% of young black men vs. 8% of black voters overall is anything to get super-excited about. But at some point black Americans have to see through the lie that the Democrat Party is looking out for them, and maybe this is the start.

[BenLurkin]

Better hope these potential Republicans don’t browse the “dindu” posts here.

[FreedomPoster]

More likely to be at https://www.reddit.com/r/The_Donald/

Young blacks are very much welcome, and folks like Candace Owens are regularly posted about.

[cowboyusa]

Blacks elected Gillum and Deselentas in Florida.

[wastoute]

Year after year we wonder if this will be the year blacks leave the Plantation. It never happens. I am beginning to doubt it ever will. We really need to just stop bothering about it.

[AuH2ORepublican]

I believe that you meant to say Scott and DeSantis. Gillum is the black Democrat who ran for the governorship against DeSantis, and lost in large part because DeSantis got an unexpectedly high 14% of the black vote in the state (for various reasons, including his support for school choice).

[conservatism_IS_compassion]

Republicans should highlight for young blacks the critical importance of capitalism and a free economy for upward mobility. However, they also need to inform them that the same Federal Reserve report showing large gaps in income and wealth between blacks and whites also shows 61 percent of white households as having a married couple or romantic partners, compared with 37 percent of black households.

The message is that wealth is created through freedom and family.

Very true.

But some of the statistical difference between blacks and whites may also be sheer age. The average 65 yo had better have a greater net worth than the average 22 yo, whether black or white. And unfortunately, black life expectancy is low (which BTW makes Social Security a worse deal for blacks than for whites).

[Impy]

To do you think that’s 14% figure in the exit poll is accurate?

It says only 8% of Black men but 18% of Black women(!) (who have seemed far less attainable then men) voted for DeSantis. I have trouble believing this figure.

Nelson did better with Black women (only 9% for Scott) than men (12% Scott) according to the exit poll. Obviously Gillum did much better with White women than White men. Do Black women hate Gillum for some specific reason? Could school choice account for that?

This seems to be getting little attention from either side. I didn’t even know about it. If it’s accurate there must be some specific reason and we need to know what it is.

[AuH2ORepublican]

I assume that the final exit poll used a pretty large sample and that the black women polled were a decent cross-section of the state’s black-female voting population—the only possible problem would be if the exit poll ignored those who voted early, but I don’t think that was the case. True, people sometimes lie in exit polls, but I can’t imagine very many black women would tell a pollster that they didn’t vote for the black Democrat nominee if it wasn’t true.

So could school choice have caused so many more black women to vote for DeSantis over Gillum than for Scott over Nelson? I think that it’s the most logical explanation. School choice would be a state program, and they knew that DeSantis would push for it while Gillum would oppose it; as for Scott and Nelson, they would be on the sidelines. And why didn’t DeSantis get a similar boost from black men? Well, thanks to LBJ’s Great Society, fatherlessness in black communities is now the norm, not the exception, and most absentee baby-daddies probably care a lot less about their children’s education than do the mothers who raise the kids.