Posted on 03/05/2019 9:52:59 AM PST by SeekAndFind
After more than two years of vicious and sustained attacks on his person and presidency by Democrats and the national media, Donald Trump looks to be doing better than expected in the new NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll.
While Trump faces legal challenges with the Russia probe and personal challenges with the perception that he is dishonest, the humming economy and a lack of strong Democratic challengers gives him a good chance to be re-elected.
Just four in 10 voters say they would re-elect him next year; 58 percent don’t think he’s been honest and truthful regarding the Russia probe; and 60 percent disapprove of his recent national emergency declaration to build a border wall.
But Democrats who want to defeat Trump have hurdles of their own. The president's job rating remains stable with nearly 90 percent of Republicans approving of his job. And a majority of Americans remain confident in the economy, believing that there won’t be a recession in the next year.
Add it up, and 2020 is shaping up to be yet another close presidential race, say the Democratic and Republican pollsters who conducted the NBC/WSJ survey.
“It’s a 45-55 against the president at this stage of the game,” said Democratic pollster Peter Hart.
Bill McInturff, a GOP pollster, added, “As long as these economic numbers look like this, that always keeps an incumbent president in the race.
Voters long ago made up their minds about Trump. His numbers probably won't change much regardless of what the upcoming Mueller report says. So it is likely that Trump's re-election chances will hinge on how the economy is doing on Election Day 2020, and how enthusiastic Republicans will be to vote for him.
Nick Gillespie of Reason.com thinks that Trump's two-hour CPAC speech may have won him the 2020 election. Here's what he wrote:
"There is simply no potential candidate in the Democratic Party who wouldn't be absolutely blown off the stage by him. I say this as someone who is neither a Trump fanboy nor a Never Trumper. But he was not simply good, he was Prince-at-the-Super-Bowl great, deftly flinging juvenile taunts at everyone who has ever crossed him, tossing red meat to the Republican faithful, and going sotto voce serious to talk about justice being done for working-class Americans screwed over by global corporations.
In a heavily improvised speech that lasted over two hours, the 72-year-old former (future?) reality TV star hit every greatest hit in his repertoire ("Crooked Hillary," "build the wall," "America is winning again," and more all made appearances) while riffing on everything from the Green New Deal to his own advanced age and weird hair to the wisdom of soldiers over generals. At times, it was like listening to Robin Williams' genie in the Disney movie Aladdin, Howard Stern in his peak years as a radio shock jock, or Don Rickles as an insult comic. When he started making asides, Trump observed, "This is how I got elected, by going off script." Two years into his presidency and he's just getting warmed up."
And Trump is beginning to display a Reaganesque vision of optimism and confidence that has always appealed to Republican voters:
But the 2020 presidential race is not going to be decided based on which candidate is more tightly moored to reality. It's going to be decided, like these things always are, by the relative health of the economy and the large vision of the future the different candidates put forward. As the economy continues to expand (however anemically compared to historical averages) and he continues to avoid credible charges of impeachable offenses, Trump is becoming sunnier and sunnier while the Democrats are painting contemporary America as a late-capitalist hellhole riven by growing racial, ethnic, and other tensions. National elections over the last decade have not been a battle for "moderates." Barack Obama created a hyperpartisan political culture that Donald Trump is only exploiting for his own benefit and will tap into in order to win in 2020.
There is no "center" in American politics anymore. Elections are won or lost based on how many of your partisan supporters you can get to the polls by any means. Trump's sky-high numbers among Republicans is a sign that he is in pretty good shape going into the campaign that will begin in earnest next fall.
Overwhelming GOP support or overwhelming voter support? The GOP has done jack diddly squat for this POTUS.
Must pain NBC to have to report this..meanwhile, in the newsroom at NBC, they are praying on their Islamic rugs for Mueller to come back with something big to sink Trump, Hey NBC, its not gonna happen so tough cookies
So the question becomes “How does the established elite tank the economy” - it worked to give us Obama, after all.
The GOPe gives no support for Trumps agenda. They ignore the fact that the GOP and independent voters support him.
The Dems are being pro-active. They are hemorrhaging black votes at an alarming rate, hence the non-stop push to paint Trump and pubs as racist. Trying to stop the loss of votes and win back the ones choosing blexit.
Already, the Russian thing is receding in the rear view mirror and new attacks are being flung about daily faster than zoo monkeys fling poo when dinner is late.
Poll of 900 ADULTS. And 405 with CELL PHONES ONLY.
Trump must be at 60% with LIKELY VOTERS.
Crap Poll. As usual.
Well gosh, that shouldn't be surprising when Trump was caught on camera telling a Putin crony that he would have more flexibility after the election.
No, wait...
To my grave, I will never understand why the people of this country, beset with 25 million illegals infesting the homeland and the constant threat of terrorism hanging like a sword of Damocles over all of us, refuses to be serious about defending itself from further invasion. Are Americans simply wanting to appease their future masters?
Thank you for mentioning that.
Today a majority of Americans believe there won’t be a recession next year.
What will happen if Socialist Bernie Sanders wins the New Hampshire primary and appears to be the Democrats’ inevitable presidential candidate?
A recession would probably be inevitable immediately if Bernie’s poll numbers were strong enough against Trump’s, since many investors would start selling their stocks and bonds and the markets would go into an unavoidable swoon, affecting every aspect of the U.S. economy.
Gold seems like the most sensible investment for the coming year.
Blah blah blah.
Kill the media.
Build the wall.
Agree. They didn’t repeal Obamacare. Didn’t defund planned parenthood. Didn’t give him border money. And participated in this witch of Mueller’s.
Why are news rooms so cheap these days?
Another close race? There hasn’t been a close race since 2004.
Nah, the freaks gibmes illegals and unpatriots along with corrupt ecclesiastical institutions have thrown in their lot with the
public sector to create a co-parasitic ecosystem
To wit
Those who can’t get ahead in the private sector on merit which
requires skill drive and intellect gravitate to lifetime public sector jobs which
are obtained based on connections or quota fulfillment. Through
collective bargaining (good)!backed by intimidation (terrible)!these jobs hire on an inverse ratio to needed work output and bloat municipal budgets
to the point of said municipalities’ resident families needing two working private sector employed spouses to fund and sustain a semblance of solvency.
This public sector is wholly and forcibly funded by the private sector whether they be via property sales income and use taxes, have no regulating for its output ethics and quality other than their own weak rubber stamp. This is how millions, nay billions of hard earned $ Are
frittered away.
Whats worse is the illegal nanny who comes to play mommy at your house because one parent can’t stay home and the other works and pay taxes, that thieving nanny is teaching your kid their sh!thole argot and culture, pockets your after tax cash, sends a lot of it out of local economies and also immorally grifts and games the system into sending their kids to your tax funded schools, getting every handout imaginable for their family without do much as an IOU and worst of all illegally voting all to sustain the ^ (D) Ponzi scheme.
The “cheap labor supporting GOPe wants it too” rationale is moronic because the most outrageous abuses and amount of $ theft occurs in blue states where the GOP has no power and the value of the often sh!tty unskilled labor provided by < 1/2 of these leeches (many are illiterate uneducated women who when not sitting on their tucheses watching tv soap operas from their home countries are popping out anchor bastards) is far outstripped by the value of resources they consume...the public sector is ok with that because the provision of social services sustains their institutions and their power.
No one in town will gripe about a politically imbued and biased educational system when it employs people for life to educate and rewrite history mores and science as it sees fit to a populace who is indifferent to the inadequate but free of cost indoctrination they receive
They want it to happen
They’re stupid
They’re indifferent
They think “the economy” can absorb
any number of illegals whether they
can contribute or not
Pick one ^
“Trump’s re-election chances will hinge on how the economy is doing on Election Day 2020”
In theory this is true. But no matter how the economy is doing, as long as the media tells the story that the economy is doing poorly, it will not be easy for Republican president.
See 1992 for example.
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