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China exchange rate drop could continue into 2020 as it tries to offset US tariff impact: Analysts
South China Morning Post ^ | 08/05/2019 | by Karen Yeung and He Huifeng

Posted on 08/05/2019 9:48:58 AM PDT by SeekAndFind

The decline of China’s yuan on Monday to its lowest level in 11 years against the US dollar could continue into 2020 amid the apparent shift in its policy stance by the Chinese authorities, who are showing increasing reluctance to provide concessions to resolve its trade war with the United States.

The Chinese currency’s drop has also rattled the currency market, sending 11 regional currencies lower. The yuan slid 1.3 per cent to 7.0298 against the dollar on Monday in response to President Donald Trump’s threat to impose a new 10 per cent tariff on the US$300 billion of Chinese imports not yet subject to sanctions, effective from September 1, raising risks to the mainland’s slowing economy. China has vowed to retaliate if the US went ahead with the new tariffs.

The break in the yuan below the key threshold of 7.0 to the US dollar, analysts said, was likely to be a deliberate decision made by the People’s Bank of China (PBOC), China’s central bank, which has now decided that the currency can be part of its arsenal in fighting the trade war.

It was also a reversal from Chinese policymakers’ steadfast defence of the 7.0 level in recent years, including last year in the early months of the trade war and in 2016 after the stock market rout and sharp capital outflows in 2015. Those defences had also been a message of good faith to the Americans that Beijing had no intent to “weaponise” the exchange rate of the yuan, also known as the renminbi (RMB).

In a tweet on Monday, Trump hit out at the yuan’s decline, calling it “currency manipulation”. “This is a major violation which will greatly weaken China over time!” he tweeted.

(Excerpt) Read more at scmp.com ...


TOPICS: Breaking News; Business/Economy; Culture/Society; Foreign Affairs; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: boycotts; china; chinacurrency; chinayuan; currency; currencymanipulation; sanctions; tariff; tariffs; trade; tradewar; trumpchina; trumpchinatrade; yuan
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1 posted on 08/05/2019 9:48:58 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind

It is going to cost them more to buy U.S. politicians.


2 posted on 08/05/2019 9:54:33 AM PDT by Vigilanteman (The politicized state destroys aspects of civil society, human kindness and private charity.)
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To: SeekAndFind

Nixon played the China card. Why can’t Trump play the Vietnam card? Seems to me that we have a trade partner that is willing and able to step into China’s shoes but under terms more favorable to the U.S.


3 posted on 08/05/2019 9:55:07 AM PDT by FlipWilson
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To: SeekAndFind

10% can QUICKLY become 25% which can QUICKLY become 50% which can QUICKLY become 75%. LET IT BE SO. American companies and importers, remember the old maxim — YOU SNOOZE, YOU LOSE!


4 posted on 08/05/2019 9:55:18 AM PDT by House Atreides (Boycott the NFL 100% — PERMANENTLY)
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To: SeekAndFind
Let, them. There economy is going to be hit with mega-hyper inflation.
5 posted on 08/05/2019 9:57:30 AM PDT by cowboyusa (America Cowboy Up)
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To: SeekAndFind

ChiComs all-in on creepy senile Joe Biden in 2020.


6 posted on 08/05/2019 10:05:15 AM PDT by sheehan (DEPORT ALL ILLEGALS.)
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To: SeekAndFind

Close the ports.


7 posted on 08/05/2019 10:05:36 AM PDT by steve8714
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To: SeekAndFind

Chinese thugs have never given a damn about their people starving to death. North Korea’s no different... As long as their effing elites are doing well they don’t care.

It’s gonna be the same here if democrats win.


8 posted on 08/05/2019 10:07:25 AM PDT by GOPJ (Every Democrat-run city is a paradise. Period. OR YOUR'RE A RACIST... freeper Telepathic Intruder)
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To: SeekAndFind
Dear President Trump.

You recently said: China has not made good on a promise to buy American agricultural goods in large quantities.

And also:

Additionally, my friend President Xi said that he would stop the sale of Fentanyl to the United States – this never happened, and many Americans continue to die! Trade talks are continuing.

So it is time to put the Mexican Squeeze on the Chicoms.

Recall the 26 people in Mexico that had their assets frozen, and using your EO of December 2017.

The conversation would go something like this:

Trump negotiator: You are delaying and prevaricating on your end of the agreement:

Chicoms:....more prevaricating

Trump Negotiator: So as a gesture of your sincerity here is a list of 26 people that are supplying Fentanyl to the USA and we would like you to freeze their assets within 24 hours

Chicoms:...more prevaricating

Trump negotiator: Then we have a similar list of 260 people and we we will freeze their assets world wide...maybe your name is on it....do you feel lucky punk?

Chicom negotiator: Yes Sir...please do it....its been so ordered straight away.

9 posted on 08/05/2019 10:08:00 AM PDT by spokeshave (If anything, Trump is guilty of attempting to obstruct injustice.)
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To: SeekAndFind

People have complained about China valuing their currency artificially low for a very long time. The only question is this: How low can you go?

And are we not trying to reduce our national debt by doing the same thing? Isn’t that the real reason behind the push for a high minimum wage - to monetize our debt?

Of course, there is a price to be paid for doing that, as Chinese citizens will discover.


10 posted on 08/05/2019 10:09:10 AM PDT by cuban leaf (We're living in Dr. Zhivago but without the love triangle)
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To: cuban leaf
RE: The only question is this: How low can you go?


11 posted on 08/05/2019 10:11:14 AM PDT by SeekAndFind (look at Michigan, it will)
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To: SeekAndFind

This can’t be the free traitors and the anti-Trump media told us that Americans would be paying the tariffs.

They didn’t say China would devalue their currency to lower their product prices in response to the tariffs.


12 posted on 08/05/2019 10:17:15 AM PDT by DannyTN
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To: SeekAndFind

So wait, you mean that exchange rates adjust to compensate for tariff increases? That’s amazing, no one predicted this. Except for everyone.


13 posted on 08/05/2019 10:22:11 AM PDT by babble-on ("moderation is best in all things" - Hesiod)
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To: babble-on

So Trump’s tariffs resulted in additional revenue to the US treasury paid for by the Chinese with no negative effect on US consumers, I’d call that a win.


14 posted on 08/05/2019 10:25:05 AM PDT by Truthsearcher
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To: Truthsearcher

Tax hikes are a win?


15 posted on 08/05/2019 10:25:59 AM PDT by babble-on ("moderation is best in all things" - Hesiod)
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To: Truthsearcher

Oh wait, you said the Chinese are paying the tariffs. I missed the joke. Good sarcasm.


16 posted on 08/05/2019 10:26:48 AM PDT by babble-on ("moderation is best in all things" - Hesiod)
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To: babble-on
Tax hikes are a win?

Who better to pay taxes than the buyers of foreign made goods? Do you prefer income taxes? This the original plan for the USA 1789 to 1913.

17 posted on 08/05/2019 10:28:51 AM PDT by central_va (I won't be reconstructed and I do not give a damn.)
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To: central_va

Stock market is sure loving the huge stimulus to the US economy you keep yammering about.


18 posted on 08/05/2019 10:42:54 AM PDT by babble-on ("moderation is best in all things" - Hesiod)
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To: SeekAndFind

I do not see how this is bad news. Raise tariffs even more and force them to even dump their currency. That will do a hit on their military and revenues while we get the cheapest deals on Chinese goods ever, at the same time funding our national debt with tariffs.

Maybe Vietnam or Mexico will not be able to export as much, who gives...


19 posted on 08/05/2019 10:44:10 AM PDT by JudgemAll (Democrats Fed. job-security in hatse:hypocrites must be gay like us or be tested/crucified)
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To: babble-on
Stock market is sure loving the huge stimulus to the US economy you keep yammering about.

Yammering? LOL! Telling the truth more like it.

We need to import better economists. Ours suck shit.

20 posted on 08/05/2019 10:45:07 AM PDT by central_va (I won't be reconstructed and I do not give a damn.)
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