Black vote in LA Election (Wow)

Twitter ^ | 10/19/2019 | FloridaDude (on Twit)

[Dave W]

Agreed and it adds up to about 8% of blacks voting republican.

[Political Junkie Too]

Here is the weekly The Economist/YouGov poll of 1,500 Adults generic ballot question.

A poll of "adults" is not my favorite, but this is weekly and the movements are interesting to note.

For this question, the demographic is D+12:

• Party
  • Dem: 37%
  • Ind: 38%
  • Rep: 25%
• Race
  • White: 69%
  • Black: 13%
  • Hispanic: 12%
  • Other: 6%

52. Generic Presidential Vote
If the election for president were held today with Donald Trump as the Republican running against a Democratic Party candidate, who would you vote for?

	Dem %	Ind %	Rep %	White %	Black %	Hispanic %	Other %
The Democratic Party candidate	87	24	6	38	64	48	26
Donald Trump	4	30	85	42	14	21	32
It depends	4	19	6	9	9	15	19
I would not vote	5	27	2	11	13	17	24

Now, here is the same question from one month ago:

For this question, the demographic is D+10:

• Party
  • Dem: 35%
  • Ind: 40%
  • Rep: 25%
• Race
  • White: 69%
  • Black: 13%
  • Hispanic: 11%
  • Other: 6%

33. Generic Presidential Vote
If the election for president were held today with Donald Trump as the Republican running against a Democratic Party candidate, who would you vote for?

	Dem %	Ind %	Rep %	White %	Black %	Hispanic %	Other %
The Democratic Party candidate	83	29	6	37	59	39	41
Donald Trump	6	29	84	42	9	26	37
It depends	7	16	7	10	14	13	11
I would not vote	4	26	3	11	17	21	11

Bottom Line

1. Independent support for the generic Democrat candidate fell -5% in the past month.
2. Independent support for President Trump grew +1% in the past month, giving Trump a net +6% lead over the generic Democrat (was tied).
3. Black support for Trump grew +5% in the past month, moving mostly from the "undecideds" and "stay home" voter.
4. Hispanic support for Trump fell by -5%, moving with "stay home" voters towards the Democrats.
5. Asian+ support for Trump fell by -5%, but the Democrats fell by -15%, moving to the "stay home" group.

-PJ

[ExTxMarine]

Trump is not going to win Calif, Oregon, Washington state, New York, Vermont, Rhode Island, Mass, Illinois, Maryland, Nevada, Virginia, New Mexico or Colorado.

You forgot Hawaii; Trump is not going to win that Leftist hellhole neither.However, I think he could make a good go at Virginia, if nothing else he could force the Dems to spend an exceptional amount of money protecting their home bases (which would be a good thing)!

[LS]

Thanks. Tweeted this & credited you.

So, here’s how I look at it, D+12/adults crap notwithstanding:

If you say Trump gets just half of the “it depends” blacks, he’s at 19%. Then you have 13% “will not vote” which = 1/2 vote for Trump, as we assume blacks will always vote D. That is right in keeping with the 16-26% numbers we’ve seen for a year, and means DemoKKKrats are toast in NC, FL, PA, probably MI and likely VA.

These ares shocking #s for Ds.

[StAnDeliver]

"3) Black turnout is up, so it may mean that I was wrong in thinking that a large number will also stay home. It appears they have taken the extra step."

No you can have both ends of the hamburger, bro.

Black vote was down in 2016, and at the same time, Trump captured a greater percentage.

[StAnDeliver]

"With few exceptions black women are absolutely a lost cause. Just unreachable."

Fortunately they didn't like Cankles either...not enough to force their men to get on the free ham sammich bus to the polls like they did in '08 and '12.

[LS]

No, Trump only got 8%. I think G.H.W. Bush or RR got more.

[spintreebob]

8% is an average.

You have to ask why I gotabout 30% of Blacks in the Chicago suburb of Hanover Park to vote for the most conservative slate in a 3 way with the RINOS and the Union Democrats.

You have to ask how my successor, Toni Carter got at least 87% of the Blacks in that same area to vote for the most conservative, smal government slate when the RINOS and Union Democrats united around a single slate.

You have to ask why here in Mostly Black south side of Atlanta 49% of the Blacks vote for school choice and 49% vote for the Teacher’s union. Now why is nobody, including me, reachng out to welcome them in (as I did in Hanover Park).

You have to ask why the Republican candidate for mayor got 55% and 60% in the mostly Black precincts east of my in Atlanta. She lost the close race to the Democrat because the Republican whites in NW Atlanta stayed home and had. Apparently they thought her race was hopeless. But if they had gone to the polls in the same level of turnout as the less white areas, the Republican would have won.

I am not saying that it is easy. I am saying it can be done. It is like athletics. I guarantee that if you don’t show up you will forfeit and lose. Showing up does not guarantee a victory. But it is an essential part.

And showing up is not sitting in the stands. Showing up is playing the game.

To win, one must work hard and work smart.

[reasonisfaith]

Unless he wins almost every state, or every state.

[WVNan]

“More and more Blacks are walking off the Democrat Plantation. It’s a good thing.”

Don’t discount the effects of people like Dr Carson, Diamond & Silk, and Candace Owens. Those blacks are preaching common sense and I believe they are reaching a lot of people.

[laplata]

That’s right. I understand that.

[Kay]

I really like Candace. Lovely, articulate, strong, gracious, and talented.

May God bless her.

[Blood of Tyrants]

The Rats saw this coming decades ago. That is why they want amnesty and instant citizenship for illegal aliens.

[MayflowerMadam]

“I really like Candace. Lovely, articulate, strong, gracious, and talented.”

AND — maybe the best part — she’s seriously considering running for President eventually. She might be as bold as PDJT.