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This State Will Make Marijuana History Come November
The Motley Fool ^ | Jan 11, 2020 | Sean Williams

Posted on 01/11/2020 11:52:59 AM PST by NobleFree

Despite the drubbing that marijuana stocks took in 2019, it was still a year filled with cannabis firsts. We witnessed Canada become the first industrialized country to launch derivative pot products and watched Illinois do what New Jersey and New York failed to do -- legalize recreational weed while also passing an expungement clause for those people with previous cannabis possession or use convictions.

The current year also looks as if it'll be filled with marijuana milestones. For instance, Mexico should become the third country in the world to give adult-use cannabis the green light by no later than the end of April. But the single-biggest event in 2020 will likely be the November elections in the United States.

Just as we witnessed in 2016, when nine states voted on a marijuana initiative or amendment (eight of which passed), the current year should feature a number of state-level votes on recreational or medical cannabis. However, none of them will be as unique as what South Dakota is bringing to the voting booth.

The Mount Rushmore State is set to make history The Mount Rushmore State has two separate marijuana initiatives that'll be appearing on the ballot. The first is the South Dakota Marijuana and Hemp Initiative, which, if approved, would lead to amendments of the state's constitution. This ballot measure would allow persons aged 21 and over to possess, use, transport, and distribute cannabis, with possession and distribution limits set at one ounce. It would also authorize the State Department of Revenue to handle the issuance of marijuana-related licenses for growing, testing, retailers, and so on, with a 15% excise tax ultimately being slapped on adult-use weed sales. As is consistent with other recreationally legal states, the revenue raised from taxing pot would be used to supplement the in-state education budget.

Interestingly, this amendment doesn't legalize hemp. However, it would require the state's legislature to pass laws regarding the cultivation, processing, and sale of hemp by no later than April 1, 2022, as well as establish regulations regarding a medical cannabis program.

The other initiative, known as Measure 26, is a statutory measure designed to create a medical marijuana program in South Dakota for patients with a debilitating medical condition. As currently written, a "debilitating medical condition" would be one that leads to "cachexia or wasting syndrome, severe debilitating pain, severe nausea, seizures, or severe and persistent muscle spasms, including those characteristic of multiple sclerosis." The Department of Health would be free to add additional qualifying conditions, according to the measure.

In other words, South Dakota residents will be the first ever to vote on adult-use marijuana and medical marijuana in the same election. Ohio tinkered with the idea a few years back, but it never came to fruition.

South Dakota won't be alone come November Although South Dakota will offer the most original marijuana vote to date, it's certainly not going to be the only state with major cannabis implications.

New Jersey residents will absolutely be voting on a recreational cannabis measure come November. The Garden State looked to be on track to legalize adult-use pot at the legislative level in March of last year, but it all fell apart very quickly. Though Democrats in the state legislature are in favor of legalizing and taxing recreational pot, disagreements arose after some lawmakers wanted to see an expungement clause introduced for those folks with prior convictions for possession or use. This caused on-the-fence supporters to back away, ultimately killing momentum. However, support for adult-use weed looks strong among New Jersey residents, making it a good candidate to legalize in 2020.

Even though it's not even guaranteed to have a ballot measure as of yet -- signatures are currently being gathered -- Arizona is a fairly sure bet to legalize recreational pot in 2020. You see, states that fail to pass adult-use weed measures have resounding success on the second go-around. Following Arizona's Proposition 205 failing to pass in 2016 by a mere 2%, it looks highly likely that residents will have softened their stance on cannabis by November.

Even Nebraska, which is traditionally a Republican-led state, looks as if it'll be voting on a medical marijuana initiative in November, assuming residents can gather enough signatures. Though Republican support for recreational cannabis is hit or miss, the general consensus, regardless of party lines, is that medical marijuana being prescribed by a physician is A-OK.

It's possible that, by the beginning of 2021, there could be only 15 (or fewer) states that haven't legalized medical pot in some capacity.

Legalizations mean opportunity for MSOs It's no secret that the U.S. is already the largest marijuana market in the world by sales. If additional states join the ranks of those to have legalized, it's going to mean even more opportunity for vertically integrated multistate operators (MSO). After all, both New Jersey and Arizona are forecast to produce more than $1 billion in annual weed sales by 2024.

Obvious beneficiaries of a November "green sweep" would be those MSOs with the greatest number of licenses at their disposal: Curaleaf (OTC:CURLF) and Harvest Health & Recreation (OTC:HRVSF).

On a pro forma basis (i.e., if all pending acquisitions close), both Curaleaf and Harvest Health will each be able to open around 130 retail dispensaries in 19 and 18 states, respectively. Harvest Health has in the neighborhood of 210 total licenses, which includes cultivation farms and processing sites. Not surprisingly, Wall Street is counting on incredible growth from these MSOs in 2020, with Curaleaf having a shot at $1 billion in full-year sales and Harvest Health expected to top $660 million, making it one of the fastest-growing pot stocks.

We're still a couple of months away from knowing exactly how many states will be voting on cannabis come November, but MSOs appear set for a much better year than 2019.


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Government; News/Current Events; US: South Dakota
KEYWORDS: cannabis; marijuana; pot; wod
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1 posted on 01/11/2020 11:52:59 AM PST by NobleFree
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To: NobleFree

We have 2 Medical Marijuana Dispensaries here in York (PA), and they’re more heavily-guarded than any bank I’ve ever seen. Recreational pot probably isn’t too far off the horizon.


2 posted on 01/11/2020 12:05:37 PM PST by Carriage Hill (A society grows great when old men plant trees, in whose shade they know they will never sit.)
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To: NobleFree

The Rats have perfected putting high rat turnout proposals on the November ballots. Wake up GOP. Get these damn things on the Primary ballots.


3 posted on 01/11/2020 12:08:04 PM PST by gibsonguy
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To: carriage_hill

I hate drugs. I hate pot. But make it legal in nys already. I’m sick and tired of tying up the courts for a “violation” and 6 month acod. In NYC they don’t even bother with a violation.


4 posted on 01/11/2020 12:09:14 PM PST by gcparent (Justice Brett Kavanaugh)
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To: gibsonguy
The Rats have perfected putting high rat turnout proposals on the November ballots. Wake up GOP. Get these damn things on the Primary ballots.

Or, failing that, support them as pro-individual-liberty initiatives - so voters know that for the GOP liberty is a principle not just an occasionally useful slogan.

5 posted on 01/11/2020 12:11:47 PM PST by NobleFree ("law is often but the tyrant's will, and always so when it violates the right of an individual")
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To: NobleFree

Any fule no smoking anything is no damn good for you
-pothead crypto-liberals, please pay for your
assured future respiratory ailments yourselves


6 posted on 01/11/2020 12:12:56 PM PST by Phil DiBasquette
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To: NobleFree
The first is the South Dakota Marijuana and Hemp Initiative, which, if approved, would lead to amendments of the state's constitution. This ballot measure would allow persons aged 21 and over to possess, use, transport, and distribute cannabis, with possession and distribution limits set at one ounce.

This is quite a remarkable about-face for SD.

South Dakota is the only state in the union that prohibits internal possession of marijuana.

If you smoke pot in Colorado, then drive through South Dakota, you're in violation of their possession laws and are subject to a potential penalty of a year in jail and a $2,000 fine.

7 posted on 01/11/2020 12:13:32 PM PST by Ol' Dan Tucker (For 'tis the sport to have the engineer hoist with his own petard., -- Hamlet, Act 3, Scene 4)
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To: Phil DiBasquette
Any fule no smoking anything is no damn good for you -pothead crypto-liberals, please pay for your assured future respiratory ailments yourselves

They should - as should tobacco smokers (and chewers for their ailments).

8 posted on 01/11/2020 12:18:35 PM PST by NobleFree ("law is often but the tyrant's will, and always so when it violates the right of an individual")
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To: NobleFree

Just curious, is hash still popular? I haven’t heard it mentioned in many years.........


9 posted on 01/11/2020 12:21:44 PM PST by Hot Tabasco
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The greedy, corrupt scum can’t manage budgets, and instead decriminalize whatever’s necessary to increase tax revenue.

Too bad a demand couldn’t be made to ban the taxation of all tobacco products.


10 posted on 01/11/2020 12:24:22 PM PST by Gene Eric (Don't be a statist!)
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To: gcparent

“I hate drugs.”

Before the VA quit treating vets for chronic pain, they used to give me 5mg morphine per day.

Do you hate that?


11 posted on 01/11/2020 12:25:15 PM PST by dsc (As for the foundations of the Catholic faith, this pontificate is an outrage to reason.)
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To: Hot Tabasco
I'm given to understand there's still a market for THC concentrates - it has been a while since I've heard the term "hash".
12 posted on 01/11/2020 12:29:42 PM PST by NobleFree ("law is often but the tyrant's will, and always so when it violates the right of an individual")
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To: dsc

DO what you have to do. Spouse takes all sorts medication for chronic pain. I don’t even take vitamins. The ER gave my kid morphine for a shoulder dislocation this week. 3 hour wait he couldn’t take the pain any longer as he waited to have it put back in.. When the orthopedist came out to speak with me he said he never gives morphine that it’s really not that strong. Go figure.


13 posted on 01/11/2020 12:30:14 PM PST by gcparent (Justice Brett Kavanaugh)
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To: NobleFree

And then there is this . . .

THERE’S NO STANDARDIZED TEST TO DETECT HIGH DRIVERS

(01/07/20)INN

Law enforcement is struggling with the issue of how to best detect and prevent drivers from getting behind the wheel high.

Executive Director of the Illinois Sheriff’s Association Jim Kaitschuk says there are complications for tracking people who drive under the influence of marijuana. Kaitschuk says there is no standardized test to detect high drivers.


14 posted on 01/11/2020 12:32:23 PM PST by Maudeen (http://ThereIsHopeinJesus.com/)
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To: Maudeen
Kaitschuk says there is no standardized test to detect high drivers.

So give them the old roadside tests: walk a straight line, etc. It may not be enough for a conviction, but it will get them off the road that night.

15 posted on 01/11/2020 12:36:39 PM PST by NobleFree ("law is often but the tyrant's will, and always so when it violates the right of an individual")
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To: Hot Tabasco

Hash has always been really obscure.

I used to be able to get very good hash in New Orleans.

What’s coming up these days is dabs, which is concentrated THC with no plant matter whatsoever.

The taste of this is very similar to hash.


16 posted on 01/11/2020 12:43:46 PM PST by chris37 (Where's Hunter?)
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To: Maudeen
Also, people who before legalization didn't use marijuana because it was illegal, will after legalization not drive stoned because that remains illegal - so legalization won't substantially increase DUI.
17 posted on 01/11/2020 12:47:09 PM PST by NobleFree ("law is often but the tyrant's will, and always so when it violates the right of an individual")
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To: NobleFree

Hash is passe. The kids are into “wax” and “shatter”.


18 posted on 01/11/2020 12:48:04 PM PST by Mr. Blond
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To: NobleFree

Now that’s a good idea.


19 posted on 01/11/2020 12:49:27 PM PST by umgud
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To: NobleFree

Comparing law abiding people with stoners? Apples and oranges.


20 posted on 01/11/2020 12:51:14 PM PST by gcparent (Justice Brett Kavanaugh)
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