Posted on 01/17/2020 10:00:14 AM PST by Zhang Fei
New birthrate figures show that China has so far failed to reverse the effects of its longtime one-child policy — a change that policymakers say is necessary to forestall the long-term economic consequences of an aging and shrinking population.
The National Bureau of Statistics of China released the new data on Friday, the same day it announced that the country's GDP growth has fallen to its lowest level in nearly 30 years.
Last year, there were 10.48 births per 1,000 people, the lowest birthrate since 1949, the year the People's Republic of China was founded. The number was down from 10.94 the year before.
The one-child policy was put in place in 1979 by Chinese leader Deng Xiaoping, who feared that the country's exploding population would hold back economic development.
However, by 2016, China's leadership came to realize that the policy had been too successful and officially relaxed it.
Experts say that improved education and higher incomes in China have led to delayed marriage and childbirth and that once-strict government restrictions on births have made one-child households the norm.
"China should have stopped the policy 28 years ago. Now it's too late," Yi Fuxian, a senior scientist at the University of Wisconsin, Madison and a longtime critic of the country's family-planning policies, told The Guardian last year.
By 2050, a third of China's people will be 60 or older, according to current projections, placing a significant burden on the government to care for the elderly.
Tariffs pinch economic growth
Meanwhile, the world's second-largest economy cooled to its slowest pace in nearly three decades, with China posting year-on-year growth of 6.1% last year — a further sign that the protracted trade war with the U.S. has taken a toll.
The pace of growth in gross domestic product for 2019 was down
(Excerpt) Read more at npr.org ...
China's working age population, those between 16 and 59 years old, also declined by 890,000 from 2018 to 896.4 million, while the number of people aged 60 or older grew by 4.39 million, making up 18.1% of the total population.
The shrinking of China's working age population, along with increases in total GDP (6% for 2019), suggests that per capita incomes continue to rise, thereby limiting the possibility of internal unrest triggered by economic stress.
“” “” By 2050, a third of China’s people will be 60 or older, according to current projections, placing a significant burden on the government to care for the elderly.”” “”
The interesting thing is they don’t know the concept of social security and welfare. Younger people are responsible for their elderly.
Will the communist party replace compulsory abortions with compulsory births?
China’s draconian One-Child Policy may have “worked” in the 70s and 80s.
But by the 1990s, modernity, economic reform, increased cost of living, high housing costs, education etc... came to the fore and become the more powerful means of contraception. As the article indicated, the present trend started 25 years ago.
They only aborted the girl babies.
Now, there are not enough young ladies for all the guys.
SOME TING WONG
[Will the communist party replace compulsory abortions with compulsory births?]
Lots of Chinese anchor babies being born in the US. Article this morning about yachts smuggling in pregnant Chinese women into Florida.
” there were 10.48 births per 1,000 people,”
This is a dumb stat. Its like the number of bullets per rain drop. It means nothing. There are a few different things going on in China that have nothing to do with each other. The average life expectancy is growing and has grown a lot. The government has changed its policy on birth rates. The government does not support old people like America and Europe does. And young women can get good jobs making a lot of money.
So population stats won’t have the same affect in China as they would in other countries. The big population growth is the lower number of deaths. People are living longer. Old people need to be taken care of. So, young women are working to take care of old people. who, in turn, are taking care of grandchildren. So, two sets of grand parents take care of one grandchild while a women of child bearing years needs to work along with her husband in order to pay for her 5 dependents. She would not be interested in having a brood given the fact that she already has so many mouths to feed.
Another factor is how common abortions are. Women have numerous abortions in China. Unlike in America, there is no advantage to having a child out of wedlock. A man would not pay for a child unless he was married. So there are virtually no accidental babies. Women have sex out of wedlock. Then they get abortions in huge numbers.
A big disconnect between economic stats and population stats in China is the fact that the new Chinese population born over the past 30 years through today are far better workers. And far bigger shoppers. You cannot equate a 45 year old and a 25 year old. Most 25 year olds are educated up. They were born into prosperity so they expect to spend more. And they can do more. While population stats give you a quantity, they leave out quality. So China’s slowing prosperity is not a function of population. Its a function of corruption, fraud and central planning that grossly misuses economic resources (think ghost cities).
The one-child policy was put in place in 1979 by Chinese leader Deng Xiaoping,...
...and the one elderly parent policy will be put in place in 2022 by leader Xi Jinping
Let’s make a deal with China and ship all our “asylum seekers” over there to replace their aging population. Win-win!
Anyone who has read about Jouh B. Calhoun would predict this. The Chinese have spent twenty years building highly dense cities. Now they are packed in like rats in a behavioral sink. The whole world is on the verge of a demographic winter.
That’s because their broads are coming to America and dropping those puppies over here. Anchor baby tourism. It’s got to stop. The tourism and the anchor baby debacle.
Answer is simple—people become 60—they just shoot them. Need new workers? Get them from North Korea, Vietnam and other places. Maybe bring them in from Africa—as slaves.
Answer is simple—people become 60—they just shoot them. Need new workers? Get them from North Korea, Vietnam and other places. Maybe bring them in from Africa—as slaves.
Within 10 years we will see China in the same kind of terminal decline that Japan entered three decades ago.
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