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Four ‘generations’ of spread seen with virus in China, alarming experts
STAT News ^ | JANUARY 23, 2020 | HELEN BRANSWELL

Posted on 01/23/2020 3:30:44 PM PST by PA Engineer

Emerging data on the new virus circulating in China adds to evidence there is sustained human-to-human transmission in the city of Wuhan, and that a single case was able to ignite a chain of other infections.

The World Health Organization reported Thursday that there have been at least four generations of spread of the new virus, provisionally called 2019-nCoV, meaning a person who contracted the virus from a non-human source — presumably an animal — has infected a person, who infected another person, who then infected another person.

It’s not clear from a WHO statement whether transmission petered out after that point, or whether further generations of cases from those chains are still to come.

The WHO said the current estimate of the reproductive rate of the virus — the number of people, on average, that each infected person infects — is between 1.4 and 2.5. To stop an outbreak, the reproduction number has to be brought below one.

(Excerpt) Read more at statnews.com ...


TOPICS: Extended News; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: asia; china; coronavirus; disease
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FYI. "“That gives me no comfort at all that anything that’s happening right now is going to bring this under control any time soon,” Michael Osterholm, director of the University of Minnesota’s Center for Infectious Disease Research and Policy, said of the data the WHO released."
1 posted on 01/23/2020 3:30:44 PM PST by PA Engineer
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To: PA Engineer

It could turn into a global pandemic and no one’s prepared for one.


2 posted on 01/23/2020 3:32:37 PM PST by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: PA Engineer

What do you want to bet that those generations happened in a LAB conveniently located in the city of origin.


3 posted on 01/23/2020 3:33:38 PM PST by Revel
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To: Revel

It was a zoonosis that spread from an animal to a human. It happens.


4 posted on 01/23/2020 3:35:27 PM PST by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: PA Engineer

2 week incubation period ... four generations ... been around two months ?


5 posted on 01/23/2020 3:38:27 PM PST by 11th_VA
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To: 11th_VA

Most of these are species specific. The bad ones are those that can spread to a new host.

This is what occurred here.


6 posted on 01/23/2020 3:41:18 PM PST by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: PA Engineer
Petered out

.

Now that is a real scientific term.

Gives me a warm feeling that WHO has a handle on the problem

7 posted on 01/23/2020 3:42:30 PM PST by eartick (Stupidity is expecting the government that broke itself to go out and fix itself. Texan for TEXIT!)
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To: eartick

Nobody may be able to stop it if the virus turns virulent.


8 posted on 01/23/2020 3:44:20 PM PST by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: eartick

This is all while stupid Democrats have us focused on a nonevent that will kill none of us.

Go figure.


9 posted on 01/23/2020 3:48:28 PM PST by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: 11th_VA
2 week incubation period ... four generations ... been around two months ?

I have wondered the same.
10 posted on 01/23/2020 3:50:58 PM PST by PA Engineer (Liberate America from the Occupation Media.)
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To: goldstategop

11 posted on 01/23/2020 3:51:17 PM PST by Rebelbase
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To: PA Engineer

12 posted on 01/23/2020 3:51:25 PM PST by BenLurkin (The above is not a statement of fact. It is either opinion or satire. Or both.)
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To: goldstategop

Looks like it could sweep across China like wildfire.

Isn’t there at least one case here in the USA, in Washington State?


13 posted on 01/23/2020 3:52:16 PM PST by Syncro (Facts is Facts)
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To: Rebelbase

Is that the antidote?


14 posted on 01/23/2020 3:53:14 PM PST by Syncro (Facts is Facts)
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To: PA Engineer

Impeachment trail isn’t going well for world domination, so Soros decided to unleash a backup strategy.


15 posted on 01/23/2020 3:53:14 PM PST by griffin
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To: BenLurkin
"Contagion."

Caught it recently on Cinemax. The last scenes are haunting and predictive of what's happening now.

16 posted on 01/23/2020 3:53:30 PM PST by Publius ("Who is John Galt?" by Billthedrill & Publius available at Amazon.)
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To: griffin

Ugh. TRIAL.


17 posted on 01/23/2020 3:53:51 PM PST by griffin
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To: Publius

Let’s take it day by day before going all Armageddon about it :)


18 posted on 01/23/2020 3:58:45 PM PST by dp0622 (Radicals, racists Don't point fingers at me I'm a small town white boy Just tryin' to make ends meet)
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To: Publius

Like when obama was building a secret army.

Then secret interment camps.

Or SARS was gonna kill us all.

Or Ebola..

It’s a little early to go into end of days mode :)


19 posted on 01/23/2020 3:59:54 PM PST by dp0622 (Radicals, racists Don't point fingers at me I'm a small town white boy Just tryin' to make ends meet)
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To: PA Engineer

That package that just to my house from China, I just popped a bunch of those packing bubbles. I hope nobody sneezed while they’re filling those up over there.


20 posted on 01/23/2020 4:00:36 PM PST by griffin
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