Posted on 06/19/2020 5:08:38 AM PDT by Kaslin
Remember the heady days of June 2016, when Hillary Clinton led Donald Trump in every one of twelve major polls — by a margin of 10 points, according to ABC and the Washington Post?
Or August 2016, after the Khan imbroglio, when Clinton was beating Trump by 7 points, according to USA Today/Suffolk? It was hardly an outlier.
Or October 2016, after the exposition of the "Billy Bush tapes," when, coming up on the election, Clinton was beating Trump in virtually every poll? Of the 78 polls started after September 21, 2016, 73 had Clinton winning, four had Trump winning, and one was a tie.
At the time, I said, in two articles that Trump would be the 45th president of the United States. I explained why.
Now, in June 2020, the same press corps has pronounced the Trump presidency dead, has held the funeral, and has lowered the coffin into the grave.
The problem? No corpse.
THE SIX PERCENT RULE: In 2016, I predicted that Trump could lose the popular vote by as much as 4% and still win the Electoral College.
This is because roughly 4,000,000 Democrat voters in California, New York, and Illinois are in excess of the plurality needed to win those states. The difference between winning California by 50.0001% and winning it by 99% is meaningless in a presidential election.
In fact, Trump lost the popular vote by 2.1% in 2016 but won the Electoral College, 304 to 227.
(Excerpt) Read more at americanthinker.com ...
Democrats are Azzholes.
The only apparent difference in 2016 and 2020 elections...will be a higher vote from blacks for Trump, and likely defection of police/firemen votes from the Democratic Party. It’s definitely more than four million votes at risk here with this current strategy of BLM/Antifa.
The rioters and looters in Minneapolis just won MN for Trump this time.
I guess we owe them thank you notes. :-)
I’d rather be leading in the last 2 minutes of a football game. There’s still time and hopefully the Rats will blow their wad by then.
For all the hoopla:
https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/trump_administration/prez_track_jun18
According to Rasmussen, on June 16, Trump had 46% approval, the same as Obama on that date in 2012. On June 18, Trump’s approval ticked up to 47%.
The author states at this point he would give the advantage to Trump. That’s wishful thinking especially with what has been happening this year. It is not to say that Trump can’t win but he is at a disadvantage because of COVID-19 and civil unrest. Being an unconventional candidate he may be able to pull this off. I wouldn’t count him out but I wouldn’t give him the advantage at this point in time. Ask me in 3 months.....
Azzholes? They are psychotic, fascist, America hating, crazed sociopaths.
We will have a *lot* of reverse Bradleyism.
People will *swear* they would never, ever vote from President Trump when the pollsters call. Then, they vote for him because survival matters.
Polls have always been garbage, but, they will be stellar this year. Follow the links and review the methodology. These people are shameless.
Oh, look! We questioned 1500 likely voters on the upper East side of Manhattan and Biden is ahead by 128%!
MN is one of four states that were Hillary-win’s....which I think will flip to Trump easily. NV, NH, and Col in the same category.
If the Democrats think “Black lives matter” is a slogan that will attract Hispanics, they are going to be in for the shock of their lives.
This poll has biden over Trump by 15 points.
4426 registered voters were polled, {that's like warm bodies}.
Of these, 2047 or 46% were demonRATs.
1593 or 36% were pubbies.
784 or 18% were Independents.
Yet, in this group, 51% favored Trump to handle the economy.
How would any news organization have the balls to publish numbers like these?
Roto-rutters can not even half believe their own numbers.
Biden up by 15????
The game hasn’t even started yet. It’s still preseason.
The only polls that count are those on election day. The other ones are totally irrelevant, but we know that, don’t we?
“The rioters and looters in Minneapolis just won MN for Trump this time.”
The good people of Minnesota must at all times prove how good they are. In their estimation, good people don’t vote for President Trump. I think President Trump wins re-election, but he will do so without Minnesota.
Minnesotans are fine people, they are just screwed up in their politics.
That too. Good vision, Vision. 2020. Thanks.
This was the ground truth in the 90’s with Guiliani in NY City. People sowre up and down how much they hated him, would never vote for him, crawl over broken glass to wiz on his grave.
However, they could walk in their neighborhoods without fear for the first time in a generation, visit Central park with a “Warriors” scene in the subway, and actually feel like they were safe.
They voted for him twice, and the State government had to pass a law against multiple terms as Mayor to keep him from winning again.
Safety from the animals has a great effect on the voters when they are standing in the privacy of the booth.
Yep, can't wait to see ole joe stumble out to the football field in a basketball outfit. People are going to see for themselves he just ain't right.
Aside from the memory care patient currently (and perhaps temporarily) holding the lead, every single actual Democrat candidate terrifies a huge segment of the population. A lot of these polls are based on a general dislike of Trump’s Tweets, but once the race is Trump vs. Social Justice Prince/Princess the results will get harder for the media to hide.
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