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Trump Is An Underdog, But The Electoral College’s Republican Tilt Improves His Chances
Five Thirty Eight ^ | September 28, 2020 | Geoffrey Skelley

Posted on 09/28/2020 2:19:48 PM PDT by LisaS

Even if you’re not following the polls super closely like those of us at FiveThirtyEight, you probably know that Joe Biden has both a sizable and fairly stable lead over President Trump.

However, you shouldn’t count Trump out just yet. Trump currently has a nearly 1 in 4 shot of winning the election,1 according to our presidential forecast, even though he only has a 1 in 10 chance of winning the national popular vote.

(Excerpt) Read more at fivethirtyeight.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2020election; election2020; landslide; trumplandslide
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1 posted on 09/28/2020 2:19:48 PM PDT by LisaS
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To: LisaS

Stuff It Nate


2 posted on 09/28/2020 2:21:57 PM PDT by fastrock
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To: LisaS

Trump lost California by 4.27 million votes, and he’s not campaigning there, as far as I can tell. Wouldn’t surprise me to see him lose California by 5+ million votes this time.


3 posted on 09/28/2020 2:21:59 PM PDT by CatOwner
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To: LisaS

TRANSLATION: “Ballot-harvesting will set you free!”


4 posted on 09/28/2020 2:22:38 PM PDT by E. Pluribus Unum ("Elections have consequences. We won, you lost. Get over it." --Barack Hussein Obama)
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To: LisaS

Biden’s got it in the bag so there’s no need for the Dems to bother voting.


5 posted on 09/28/2020 2:29:44 PM PDT by Ouchthatonehurt
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To: LisaS

But I thought Nate The Genius Oracle Silver pronounced that Biden will get something like 849 electoral votes...


6 posted on 09/28/2020 2:30:06 PM PDT by clintonh8r (Truth is hate speech to those who hate the truth.)
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To: LisaS

Can this guy hedge or what.

Trump is behind but under the rules might win, unless he doesn’t but either way, we predicted it.


7 posted on 09/28/2020 2:30:42 PM PDT by FlipWilson
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To: LisaS

Who the hell is Geoffrey Skelley?


8 posted on 09/28/2020 2:32:23 PM PDT by Osage Orange (TRUMP!!!)
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To: LisaS

they cant beat Trump and they know it!

on this tax fraud..
1. Trump lowered everyones taxes.. he was working for you.

2. the amount he has saved the government in doing good deals.

3. the amount he has put into the economy over the years.

4. and there are some dems who owe taxes for years.

5. obama used the irs against citizens.

wipe up the mess on your side..lefties.. before you get too excited.


9 posted on 09/28/2020 2:32:36 PM PDT by frnewsjunkie
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To: LisaS

Can Trump crack 3m votes in PA and 2.5m in in MI. That’s the question


10 posted on 09/28/2020 2:33:09 PM PDT by wiseprince
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To: FlipWilson

Trump is not behind Dopey Joe.


11 posted on 09/28/2020 2:36:38 PM PDT by dforest
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To: LisaS

Does nate mean just like he was an underdog in 2016 and he won?I

Leftists like nate are such amazing liars.

JoMa


12 posted on 09/28/2020 2:37:34 PM PDT by joma89 (Buy weapons and ammo, folks, and have the will to use them.)
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To: CatOwner

California is a lost cause. Yet they still cheat.


13 posted on 09/28/2020 2:37:59 PM PDT by unixfox (Abolish Slavery, Repeal the 16th Amendment)
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To: LisaS
Nate Tarnished Silver, I was in a neighborhood today (a lower income neighborhood) and in 7 yards, all behind fences, were Trump signs. Saw 1 Biden sign.

The clients wanted us to add on 1800 square feet to their house.

14 posted on 09/28/2020 2:38:24 PM PDT by Deplorable American1776 (Proud to be a DeplorableAmerican with a Deplorable family...even the dog is, too. :-) Trump 2020)
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To: LisaS

you probably know that Joe Biden has both a sizable and fairly stable lead over President Trump.
I want the drugs they are using


15 posted on 09/28/2020 2:38:28 PM PDT by ronnie raygun ( Massive mistakes are made by arrogant fools; massive evils are committed by evil people.")
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To: LisaS

Trump is the BIG dog.


16 posted on 09/28/2020 2:38:55 PM PDT by mylife (Opinions: $1, Today's Special, Half Baked: 50c)
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To: unixfox

They cheat, like in 2018, because it resulted in extra House seats. It’s why I believe, regardless of whether Trump is re-elected or not, regaining the House is not looking good.


17 posted on 09/28/2020 2:39:44 PM PDT by CatOwner
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To: LisaS

Before anyone says crowd size doesn’t matter, remember 2016 where Trump crowd sizes were compared to Hilarity’s crowd size and Trumps were larger. He won.


18 posted on 09/28/2020 2:44:34 PM PDT by frogjerk (We are conservatives. Not libertarians, not "fiscal conservatives", not moderates)
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To: LisaS

Nate, you’re going to lose again. Think about that for a moment. Political prophet??? False Prophet???


19 posted on 09/28/2020 2:45:26 PM PDT by conservativepoet
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To: LisaS

This article has Joe Biden as a lock.


20 posted on 09/28/2020 2:49:00 PM PDT by Lazamataz (The NYT commits acts of violence with their words.)
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