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‘Young and dumb’ traders have created a ‘total nightmare’ in the stock market, fund manager warns
https://www.marketwatch.com ^ | Oct. 15, 2020 | By Shawn Langlois

Posted on 10/16/2020 12:54:38 PM PDT by RomanSoldier19

At 40 times earnings, there is a 0% chance that Microsoft stock will produce wealth for someone over the next 10 years to meet their needs, Cole Smead says

That’s Cole Smead, president of Smead Capital Management, explaining in a CNBC interview on Thursday how “young, dumb” investors have created a “total nightmare” in the current climate.

Smead went on to say that these nosebleed valuation levels are an example of a “stock market failure” at the hands of these inexperienced millennials who have gotten lured in to taking oversized risks in equities for the first time in their lives.

“They are buying bullish call options that expire inside two weeks. There was ($500 billion) of bullish call options bought in a four-week stretch by small retail traders,” Smead said. “In ’99 it was $100 billion, in ’07, it was $100 billion.”

In other words, we’ve reached next-level buying fever in U.S. stocks. When it turns, it could get ugly, according to Smead, who said that despite the accommodative monetary policy, the Federal Reserve ultimately “can’t save a stock market” – especially one that’s this top heavy.

(Excerpt) Read more at marketwatch.com ...


TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: daytrade; invisiblehand; markets; stockmarket
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1 posted on 10/16/2020 12:54:38 PM PDT by RomanSoldier19
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To: All

BUY MORE TSLA!!

:)


2 posted on 10/16/2020 1:02:33 PM PDT by SteveH
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To: RomanSoldier19

Wait till these Millennials figure out that all their hard work is going to be confiscated by the very government they elected.

Glad I won’t be around to see the chaos.


3 posted on 10/16/2020 1:04:00 PM PDT by unixfox (Abolish Slavery, Repeal the 16th Amendment)
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To: RomanSoldier19

He’s just noticed this? Greater fool theory took over the market 25 years ago. Buy and hold is the aberration, it’s all buy to sell in 2 weeks for $5 more.


4 posted on 10/16/2020 1:06:02 PM PDT by discostu (Like a dog being shown a card trick)
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To: RomanSoldier19

My nephew recently lost 400k in a single leveraged crypto trade. It was everything in his account, and he had to borrow money from his parents.

He had a working system, .5%-1% per trade, day trading crypto, watching charts, that’s how he got to 400k. But he keeps wanting the big hit. He thought he could get to 40 million on the leveraged trade but it was the wrong call.


5 posted on 10/16/2020 1:06:30 PM PDT by dynoman (Objectivity is the essence of intelligence. - Marilyn vos Savant)
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To: RomanSoldier19

That fits with my general observation of Millenials sadly.


6 posted on 10/16/2020 1:07:59 PM PDT by Buckeye McFrog (Patrick Henry would have been an anti-vaxxer.)
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To: RomanSoldier19

Translation: “We can’t have these dirty rubes in the stock market. It oughta be ILLEGAL for anybody but us Blue-Check elites to be investing! We gave the rubes 401(k) but they insist on acting above their stations!”


7 posted on 10/16/2020 1:08:44 PM PDT by backwoods-engineer (But what do I know? I'm just a backwoods engineer.)
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To: dynoman

Everybody who makes money loses money. Our President has lost big, and won big.


8 posted on 10/16/2020 1:09:30 PM PDT by backwoods-engineer (But what do I know? I'm just a backwoods engineer.)
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To: RomanSoldier19

Robin Hooders making a mess


9 posted on 10/16/2020 1:11:14 PM PDT by PIF (They came for me and mine ... now its your turn)
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To: dynoman

10 posted on 10/16/2020 1:11:26 PM PDT by RomanSoldier19 (Game over, man! Game over! ; : rem ad triarios redisse is)
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To: RomanSoldier19

I can’t imagine young traders could do this on their own?


11 posted on 10/16/2020 1:11:31 PM PDT by nickcarraway
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To: RomanSoldier19

I can’t imagine young traders could do this on their own?


12 posted on 10/16/2020 1:11:31 PM PDT by nickcarraway
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To: backwoods-engineer

13 posted on 10/16/2020 1:12:23 PM PDT by RomanSoldier19 (Game over, man! Game over! ; : rem ad triarios redisse is)
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To: dynoman

He thought it was a good idea to “bet” his entire net worth on one trade?


14 posted on 10/16/2020 1:13:09 PM PDT by nickcarraway
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To: RomanSoldier19

Sounds like a guy that doesn’t believe the market is right. When choosing poorly there are consequences. The market corrects and ignorant people get informed.


15 posted on 10/16/2020 1:13:17 PM PDT by ConservativeInPA ("War is peace. Freedom is slavery. Ignorance is strength." - George Orwell, 1984)
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To: nickcarraway

Professional investors should not ignore the retail wave

https://www.ft.com/content/ddc4630c-c27c-47e6-b13e-1e036d16b0f9


16 posted on 10/16/2020 1:14:08 PM PDT by RomanSoldier19 (Game over, man! Game over! ; : rem ad triarios redisse is)
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To: RomanSoldier19

So young & dumb traders are a new thing?


17 posted on 10/16/2020 1:14:58 PM PDT by Reily
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To: dynoman

That’s an expensive lesson in risk and money management


18 posted on 10/16/2020 1:15:33 PM PDT by ConservativeInPA ("War is peace. Freedom is slavery. Ignorance is strength." - George Orwell, 1984)
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To: dynoman

Trading crypto is a losing proposition. The most liquid market can be turned on a couple million dollar trades.

I have six figures in crypto holdings. I’ve made three sell side trades in the past three years.

Crypto traders have to be cold hearted barracudas.


19 posted on 10/16/2020 1:15:37 PM PDT by Vermont Lt
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To: Reily

20 posted on 10/16/2020 1:16:20 PM PDT by RomanSoldier19 (Game over, man! Game over! ; : rem ad triarios redisse is)
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