Posted on 10/18/2018 1:12:55 PM PDT by Ravi
So far so good. About 205,000 ballots cast already with GOP voters 45.3% and Dem voters 31.9%.
We are currently at about 10 to 15% turnout. Still EARLY but not chump change in terms of votes.
Excellent website BTW. Kudos to them.
Comments gentleman?
Still waiting on 2014/2016 data from AZ data guru.
the illegals, those from other states and the dead haven’t voted yet.
This is rather funny from the site:
Dataset of Gender Probability based on First Names
A dataset compiled by Denver University Professor Peter Organisciak of gender likelihood of the most common names in the US since 1910 according to the US Census Bureau. The dataset has been slightly modified to flag names with a gender probability score of under .75 as “Unknown.” This amounts to approximately 2% of the dataset modified.
The names data set is then matched to the Statewide Voter Registration list based on a perfect one to one match in the first name column. The match rate is just under 92% of the statewide file. The data sets are then aggregated to produce an estimate percentage of the gender of registrants. The margin of error for this estimate is .02%.
ARIZONA!
Favorite Quote:”My only fear of dying is, when I’m dead, I’ll vote Democrat”
Trump has made it the La Migre election year.
They are deciding whether to to the polling place for a trip home, or just go to work and make ICE find them.
Kavanaughs have consequences.
With the caravan heading towards our borders the voting folk are going to come out in record numbers on election Day..... 1st kavanuagh and now the caravan..stupid stupid demonRATS !!! I’m fired up and itching to cast my early TX vote come Monday morning!!
McSally is a lock in AZ. Sinema is horribly outmatched and may lose in double digits if that debate is any indication. This is not a close one, folks.
We are currently at about 10 to 15% turnout. Still EARLY but not chump change in terms of votes.
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You Speedy,LS,Baris, AZ data and a few others are doing great work.
Are the excellent numbers so far a result of enthusiasm and possibly the RNC outreach that they said has already reached 50 million
I found this excellent article on Trump rallies and how they sign up new volunteers and voters.
https://gop.com/washington-post-trump-reelection-campaign-has-100-m-head-start-over-democrats
The RNC now has 540 national staff members across 28 states, with more than 22,000 activists whom they describe as “top tier” because they are specifically trained to help sustain the operation. In comparison, 5,000 such volunteers were trained for the 2016 campaign.
…
This is the big question. Aren’t the Dems supposed to be extremely more enthused compared to us? Not seeing it YET in these early voting stats in AZ, FL, GA and other places. We will see.
So am I!
I’ll be there Monday also.
This sounds ominously like Hitlery's people at about this time 2 years ago in reference to President Trump. It ain't over until it's over. So be sure to vote no matter how good the polls look or how bad Sinema appears.
Let’s do this!!!! And take as many friends as possible!!! I’m calling up ALL MY republican buddies on Sunday to remind them to vote early...then I’m calling them again on Wednesday to make sure they voted or offer a ride in case they haven’t and drive them personally to their neared precinct to vote!!
Do we know how this is comparing to Dem efforts? I know they have more doing texting, which is the next wave of contacting voters.
Thanks Ravi.
As I said on another thread today, I am still trying to figure out how in AZ 8th District, the primary winner, Debbie Lesko only won the special election by 5% in a district that Trump carried by 20% (mostly northern Maricopa County). The fake doctor / current SJW she is running against has more name recognition now and I think the race is still going to be close to that 5%. LS says the indications are 8% but I am a worrier.
Burke
“This is not a close one, folks”
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An unsportsmanlike, crushing win for McSally is desirable.
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